Search Results for "iran"
US strikes Iran, Polymarket invasion odds rise to 14.5%
Early Wednesday, the U.S. launched dozens of strikes on Iran after attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, rattling markets and raising escalation fears.
Trump Kharg Island remarks hit Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes sinks to 4.5%
A report said Donald Trump claimed the U.S. attacked Iran’s Kharg Island the previous night and floated reinstating a blockade of Iranian ports.
Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85%
U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran memorandum to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional strikes Wednesday night, sending oil up and stocks lower.
US-Iran strikes hit Hormuz; Polymarket sees 4.5% chance of July traffic normal
Tuesday, US Central Command said it began strikes on Iran after Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran promising a “crushing response.” Polymarket
US strikes on Iran hit Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes drops to 58.5%
On July 8, 2026, the United States launched new strikes on Iran during the seven-day funeral of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, citing attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz.
Polymarket drops Iran regime-fall odds to 8.5% amid ceasefire strain
Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz are testing a fragile Iran–US ceasefire extension amid renewed strikes and missile/drone exchanges.
Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 2.45% as ceasefire rift flares
At a NATO summit in Turkiye, a report says President Trump called the US–Iran ceasefire MOU “over,” after US strikes followed a promised pause tied to Ali Khamenei’s funeral.
Polymarket odds slide to 61.5% on Hormuz traffic normalizing by Dec. 31
Washington said it will lift Syria’s “state sponsor of terrorism” label in 45 days unless Congress blocks it, after Trump met President Ahmed al-Sharaa at a NATO summit in Turkey.
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks
A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S.
Polymarket odds sink to 4.5% on Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31
After a June 17 US-Iran shipping MoU, attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and escalatory strikes revived closure threats, while transits stayed about 28 a day versus 100 pre-war.
Polymarket odds for US invading Iran rise to 16.5% as Hormuz debate flares
At NATO leaders’ talks in Ankara, the US-Israel war on Iran and a dispute over securing the Strait of Hormuz eclipsed Ukraine and spending plans, with European allies refusing a patrol role.
Polymarket odds hit 8.5% for Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31
Explosions were reported across parts of Iran as U.S.