Search Results for "iran"
Polymarket odds: Switzerland leads US-Iran talks venue at 28.5%
Iranian state media reported strikes hitting military headquarters in Bushehr and the port city of Konarak, while the US told Al Jazeera it did not carry them out, on the day of Ali Khamenei’s
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran before 2027 rise to 15.5% on $40M
On July 10, 2026, an analysis said the U.S. is pivoting from direct pressure on Iran to a hybrid, multilayered attrition strategy built around coalitions and peripheral reshaping.
Polymarket: Hormuz normal-by-Jul15 odds at 0.35% as No hits 99.65%
A report says US-Iran tensions spiked during a 60-day negotiation window, with attacks linked to Strait of Hormuz shipping even as officials signal talks may continue.
Polymarket: US invade Iran odds rise to 14.5% on talks and ceasefire noise
Trump said the U.S. would keep talks after Iran sought negotiations, then wrote the June 17 ceasefire is “over,” as Tehran disputed the request and clashes persisted near Hormuz traffic.
Polymarket odds jump to 57.5% for Iran action on July 12 after Hormuz report
After a civilian vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz, a report said the U.S. began a third round of strikes on Iran as Tehran again declared the strait closed.
Polymarket cuts Hormuz normalization odds to 63.5% after Iran closure claim
A report says US forces launched a third round of strikes on Iran this week after the IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed. Polymarket traders care because the “traffic returns to normal by Dec.
Polymarket odds jump to 83.5% for July 12 in Iran Gulf action ladder
After a vessel was hit in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Central Command said roughly 140 targets in Iran were struck, followed by retaliatory attacks affecting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman and Jordan.
Polymarket odds of US invading Iran rise to 16.5% after strike footage report
The U.S. military reportedly released footage described as showing new strikes on Iran, renewing escalation fears.
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by Jul 15 at 0.35% Yes
A new report details rising Iran–US tensions and dueling claims about Strait of Hormuz shipping, even as mediator channels stay active and Iran’s hardliners talk retaliation.
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf action fall to 66.5% after Hormuz claim
Iran’s IRGC said the Strait of Hormuz was closed in response to US interference, as Israel’s attacks in Gaza and Lebanon continued with reported civilian casualties.
Polymarket: Hormuz normalization by July 15 at 0.35% Yes on $9.8M
After a new exchange of fire, the U.S. and Iran each claimed control of the Strait of Hormuz, even as an initial deal to reopen it and extend a shaky ceasefire emerged.