Search Results for "iran"
Polymarket odds of Trump out before 2027 tick up to 7.5% on Iran headline
A report attributed to Trump said Iran released an American detainee as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated, a headline some see as a near-term political-risk catalyst.
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claim
Iran’s Guards said they struck a U.S. base in Jordan, a claim framed as a discrete escalation involving American forces outside Iran.
Polymarket yes odds jump to 22.5% on U.S.–Iran invasion bet after report
A report says Israel is preparing for the possibility of a U.S.–Iran escalation next week, prompting fresh contingency chatter.
Polymarket: No seen 99% on Hormuz normalization by July 31 amid IRGC warning
A July 16 video report says Iran’s IRGC warned it could target the Bab al-Mandeb Strait after Hormuz, potentially with Houthi help to disrupt shipping.
Polymarket odds dip on US–Iran ceasefire by Aug 31 after continued strikes
Reporting says the US launched another wave of strikes on Iran, the sixth consecutive night, signaling escalation rather than de-escalation.
Polymarket prices US-Iran ceasefire by Aug 31 at 53.5% as Knesset dissolves
Israel’s parliament dissolved, triggering an October 27 election framed as a referendum on Netanyahu and the wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran.
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 22.5% on Gulf strike escalation
Overnight reports said Iran fired missiles and drones across parts of the Gulf as the U.S.
Polymarket Hormuz normal-traffic odds sink to 52.5% on escalation risks
An Iranian official reportedly threatened a “full-scale offensive” if US strikes continue, raising fears of wider escalation that could disrupt shipping.
Polymarket: US-Iran invasion odds jump to 27.5% on $44M volume
A report cited explosions in Yazd and other parts of Iran during what it called a latest wave of U.S. strikes, renewing escalation concerns.
Polymarket keeps Aug. 31 US–Iran ceasefire odds at 51.5% after 7 nights
Fresh live updates report the US and Iran traded attacks for a seventh straight night, underscoring an unresolved conflict. Polymarket traders care because the ceasefire ladder still puts the Aug.
Polymarket holds Iran regime-fall Yes at 10.5% despite strike escalation
For a sixth straight night, a report says the U.S. widened airstrikes on Iran, hitting bridges, energy sites, and a key-port tower as Hormuz fighting intensified.
Polymarket: US-Iran invasion Yes jumps to 27.5% on $44M volume
On Sunday, Caitlin Clark erupted for 45 points and 10 assists as Indiana edged Seattle 110-107 in a WNBA roundup that also noted officiating debates and other storylines.