Search Results for "monetary policy"
Screwworm risk and USMCA July 1 clock keep Polymarket at 80% for zero Fed cuts
A June report said ground beef prices are up over 20% since January 2025 as tighter cattle supplies meet a screwworm outbreak spreading from Mexico into the US and looming USMCA renewal risk ahead of
BofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%
After the latest FOMC meeting, Bank of America shifted its call to three quarter-point Fed rate hikes in 2026, citing fading tolerance for above-target inflation and hawkish signals from Chair Kevin
Barclays sees USDHKD capped as Polymarket boosts July Fed hold odds to 75.5%
Barclays said USDHKD’s upside may be capped below 7.84 as rate differentials and policy expectations drive pricing.
Bitcoin slips under $60K as Polymarket pegs 80% odds of 0 Fed cuts in 2026
A broad selloff pushed Bitcoin below $60,000, wiping out about $1 billion as losses spread across major tokens.
Euro holds amid Middle East risk as Polymarket hikes July Fed hold odds to 81.5%
In recent trading, the euro stayed steady versus the U.S. dollar as investors tracked Middle East tensions and shifting expectations for the Fed’s next move.
MUFG warns yen intervention risk as Polymarket sees 80.5% Fed hold in July
A MUFG analysis warned that rising Fed hawkishness is renewing pressure on the yen and raising the odds of Japanese intervention, especially if moves turn rapid.
Warsh speaks after hawkish debut as Polymarket no-cuts bet slips to 78%
On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will appear at an ECB forum panel in Portugal, his first public remarks since his policy-meeting debut.
Fed minutes loom as Polymarket no-cut 2026 odds slip to 77.55%
The US Dollar stayed resilient heading into a week with Federal Reserve meeting minutes and new US jobless claims, key catalysts that could shift rate-path expectations.
Polymarket sees Sept Fed hold at 56.5% as rate-hike bets linger
After the Fed released June meeting minutes showing officials split on where rates end 2026, a Kalshi report put the chance of a hike this year near 54%.
Polymarket prices 2026 Fed at 82% no cuts as yuan note fails to shift odds
A new research note titled “Chinese Yuan: Upside bias against US Dollar” pitches near-term CNY strength versus USD, framed as an FX tilt rather than a Fed forecast.
Polymarket holds Sep 2026 Fed 'No change' at 58.5% despite hike chatter
A July 18 piece spotlights the live debate over whether the Fed will raise rates this month, nudging traders to weigh near-term chatter against September 2026 pricing.
Turkey Names Blockchain Expert to Central Bank Committee
Turkey's central bank embraces blockchain with the appointment of crypto expert Prof. Fatma Ozkul to its monetary policy committee.