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Deribit’s $10B BTC options expiry lifts Polymarket 54K odds to 99.85%

Deribit’s $10B BTC options expiry lifts Polymarket 54K odds to 99.85%

Ahead of Deribit’s roughly $10 billion quarterly options expiry at 8:00 ET, bitcoin slipped from about $67,000 to below $60,000, defying “max pain” forecasts near $72,000.

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%

A live update on the PCE inflation report kept investors focused on the price backdrop shaping Federal Reserve policy expectations.

Anthropic-Alibaba IP spat as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40% for Israel PM

Anthropic-Alibaba IP spat as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40% for Israel PM

Anthropic accused Alibaba of unlawfully copying capabilities from its Claude AI system, escalating tensions over IP in advanced models.

Judge blocks Trump student loan rules as Polymarket puts Vance at 20.55%

Judge blocks Trump student loan rules as Polymarket puts Vance at 20.55%

A U.S. judge on Monday blocked the Trump administration’s new student loan restrictions, stopping the rules from taking effect as litigation continues.

Core PCE jitters hit Bitcoin as Polymarket pegs Anthropic at 98.4%

Core PCE jitters hit Bitcoin as Polymarket pegs Anthropic at 98.4%

Ahead of Thursday’s 8:30 a.m. ET core PCE release, Bitcoin’s one-week options skew showed a near 25-point premium for puts over calls as traders braced for downside.

Bitcoin futures hit $58,995 as Polymarket tags 99% odds above $54K by June 27

Bitcoin futures hit $58,995 as Polymarket tags 99% odds above $54K by June 27

Thursday’s bitcoin futures slide briefly pushed prices to $58,995, the weakest since October 2024, as options activity skewed toward puts.

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%

In May, the PCE inflation index rose to 4.1% year over year, its hottest in three years, keeping the Fed alert to another hike if price pressures persist.

Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%

Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%

After Scotland’s 3-0 loss to Brazil left them seventh among third-placed teams, Steve Clarke said he thinks they’re heading home as qualification hinges on other results.

Hormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%

Hormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%

A maritime agency said a vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring ongoing security risks in the vital shipping corridor.

Anthropic-Alibaba Claude dispute lifts Polymarket lead to 85.5%

Anthropic-Alibaba Claude dispute lifts Polymarket lead to 85.5%

In a June 10 letter to Senators Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren, Anthropic accused Alibaba-linked operators of running 28.8 million Claude exchanges via 25,000 fraudulent accounts from April 22 to

House Dem election-threats forum nudges Bardella down to 24.5% on Polymarket

House Dem election-threats forum nudges Bardella down to 24.5% on Polymarket

On June 25, 2026, House Democrats hosted a live forum on threats to elections, spotlighting concerns about voting risks.

Supreme Court border ruling as Polymarket raises Putin exit odds to 9.5%

Supreme Court border ruling as Polymarket raises Putin exit odds to 9.5%

On Thursday, the U.S. Supreme Court voted 6-3 to lift a lower-court block on an asylum-limiting border practice the Trump administration could revive.

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