According to the source, Polymarket market odds as of Oct 3, 2025 price a 71% chance that BTC reaches $126,000 in October, 46% for $130,000, 24% for $135,000, and 5% for $150,000 or higher, based on Polymarket data. These probabilities from Polymarket highlight $126K–$130K as the highest-likelihood upside targets for near-term breakout monitoring, per Polymarket data. The low 5% tail for $150K+ on Polymarket implies limited odds of extreme upside, signaling conservative sizing on parabolic moves, according to Polymarket pricing.