According to Ki Young Ju, the BTC market is only fine if the widely referenced 4-year halving cycle theory is wrong. Source: Ki Young Ju post on X dated Nov 3, 2025. The 4-year cycle thesis stems from Bitcoin’s programmed block reward halving every 210,000 blocks that cuts new BTC issuance by 50% on a roughly four-year schedule. Source: Bitcoin whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto, 2008. The 2024 halving reduced the block subsidy from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, a structural supply change that traders monitor when evaluating cycle-driven price regimes. Source: Bitcoin.org Developer Guide on subsidy and halving rules.

According to the source, a Bitwise analyst urged investors to be cautious when relying on Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow model even though it projects a $222,000 BTC price for the current cycle. Source: X post dated Oct 27, 2025. For traders, this highlights model risk and indicates S2F should be treated as one input rather than a standalone signal for BTC targets and position sizing. Source: X post dated Oct 27, 2025.

According to Crypto Rover on Twitter, Bitcoin's current price movement is mirroring its previous bullish cycles, as illustrated in a recent chart comparison (source: Crypto Rover, June 2, 2025). This pattern suggests a potential for similar breakout opportunities as observed in past cycles. Traders are closely watching for confirmation signals and increased trading volume, which historically have led to sharp upward price movements. The repetition of this pattern is drawing significant attention from both retail and institutional traders, with implications for Bitcoin derivatives and altcoin momentum.

According to @rektcapital on Twitter, a crucial price level for type #2 investors—swing traders—has been highlighted, emphasizing its importance for those following Bitcoin trend cycles (source: @rektcapital). This level serves as a strategic marker for timing entry and exit points during price swings, differentiating swing traders from hodlers and flash traders. Monitoring this level can help traders optimize their BTC trade setups and risk management, aligning with the broader market trend and maximizing potential profits (source: @rektcapital).

According to Crypto Rover (@rovercrc), it has been 100 days since Bitcoin’s last all-time high (ATH), closely aligning with the 102 days of Trump’s current presidency. This timeline comparison is significant for traders, as historical price cycles often see renewed volatility and potential upward momentum after extended periods without new highs. Market participants may watch for increased BTC price action in the coming weeks, as such milestones have previously correlated with renewed bullish trends (source: @rovercrc on Twitter, May 1, 2025).