TRON DAO shares Milk Road clip on Bitcoin 4-year cycle targeting October bottom with possible $45K dip as BTC trades at $78001.82.

Bitcoin OG traders post record unrealized profits nearly triple the 2021 peak as ETFs and DATs absorb exit liquidity instead of exchange traders.

Bitcoin analyst Michaël van de Poppe calls diminishing returns theory flawed, eyes $500,000+ run on massive adoption curve after gold breakout while BTC trades at $63943.77.

Glassnode rolls out Bitcoin Cycle Position Composite in Market Compass with daily heatmaps for Advanced and Pro plans at $65160.33 BTC levels.

Bitcoin at $64962.53 displays historical cycle bottom signals with 36-112 day lags after final legs down amid bullish EMA structure.

Gary Cardone declares no capitulation this Bitcoin cycle and refuses buys above his average at current $63325 BTC price amid neutral RSI.

Bitcoin bear markets posted drawdowns of 77-93% lasting 163-406 days with mean 327 days as BTC trades at $61411.73 testing upper Bollinger resistance.

Bitcoin at $59849.48 as Kashif Raza highlights ignored 4-year cycle while 4h chart shows bearish EMA structure and neutral RSI.

CZ Binance warns AI could extinguish civilization while crypto cannot, discussing Bitcoin cycles and AI agents in Galaxy Research interview at BTC $62651.66.

Bitcoin volatility falls to 40 this cycle per Schwab, with 20% of spot ETF assets from clients and AI stocks draining momentum, BTC at $61693.

Bitcoin at $60,651.88 sits 50% below October 2025 peak of $126,198, inside historical 77-93% bear market drawdowns that preceded new highs.

Josef Schachter predicts energy stocks will surge 10-20x amid supply cliff, drawing parallels to 1970s bull market and Bitcoin cycles for crypto investors.

According to @CryptoMichNL, a new New Era Finance episode features Dan Held discussing what people get wrong about the Bitcoin (BTC) cycle and whether the market is currently Bear or Bull, with the episode link provided for viewers to watch (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 23, 2025). The post highlights that the episode is designed to address the Bull vs Bear question directly, a core input for BTC cycle positioning for market participants, and invites users to subscribe for ongoing updates (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 23, 2025). The author also notes that weekly episodes will return next year, signaling continued coverage of BTC market narratives relevant for traders tracking cycle dynamics (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 23, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, Raoul Pal stated that the crypto market is likely to peak in 2026 as the traditional 4-year cycle shifts to a 5-year cycle; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025. For trading, this timeline suggests cycle-based profit-taking and risk management may be moved toward 2025–2026 if one follows Pal’s framework; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025. BTC and ETH traders who rely on cycle models may adjust holding periods and entry or exit timing to align with a longer cycle; source: @AltcoinDaily on X, Dec 11, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the BTC priced in Gold ratio has pulled back to the 300-day simple moving average, a level where prior bottoms have formed in BTC versus Gold, implying the current correction could mark a low if this historical behavior holds (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He adds that production cost for BTC is not far from current levels, reinforcing the potential for a cyclical low in this zone for the BTC/XAU ratio (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He reports the ratio is 21 versus a recent high of 40, indicating that even a BTC rally to 150,000 to 175,000 dollars with Gold stalling would not push the ratio to new highs, suggesting upside room without signs of overvaluation in the ratio context (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He concludes that the current Bitcoin cycle is far from over and highlights the BTC/XAU 300-day SMA as a confirmation level traders can monitor for trend resumption (source: @CryptoMichNL on X).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the current roughly 35% BTC drawdown fits a still-intact Bitcoin cycle that no longer aligns neatly with the 4-year halving timeline and should be evaluated through macro and flow indicators, source: @CryptoMichNL. The author argues that spot ETF demand has added nearly 60,000 BTC of buy pressure and lifted BTC’s effective floor from the $30k–$40k range toward $80k–$120k, shifting price action toward institutional flows rather than a pure halving-driven supply model, source: @CryptoMichNL. He highlights that risk assets tend to struggle when Gold accelerates, so traders should track Gold strength, PMI trends, QT and high rates, and USD dynamics to gauge risk-on conditions for BTC, source: @CryptoMichNL. He notes a recurring relationship where CNY/USD bottoms aligned with ETH/BTC bottoms in 2016, 2019, and April 2025, implying today’s placement resembles mid-2016 or late-2019 rather than a late-cycle top, source: @CryptoMichNL. From the business-cycle lens, PMI is starting to improve while the Federal Reserve has begun overnight repos, placing markets near a cycle trough consistent with prior early-bull phases, source: @CryptoMichNL. Forward-looking drivers cited include major bank allocation channels to spot BTC ETFs, pro-clarity policy steps for DeFi, and potential monetary easing, while cautioning against rigidly anchoring to the 4-year template, source: @CryptoMichNL. Trading takeaway: favor buy-the-dip accumulation with strict risk controls while monitoring Gold strength, CNY/USD, ETH/BTC, PMI, and ETF flow trends, with the expectation of moderating volatility and yearly returns as BTC matures, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the current crypto cycle is far from over because no key indicators have peaked, retail interest remains muted, and BTC lacks the extreme overvaluation seen in gold and other commodities; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025. For traders, this view argues against time-based top-calling in BTC and supports a continuation-bias framework rather than a completed peak; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, he collaborated with @therationalroot to use on-chain data to identify potential BTC market bottoms and tops and released a video asking whether BTC has already reached a bottom; source: @CryptoMichNL on X and YouTube. The post directs traders to the clip for the full on-chain methodology and signals under review, highlighting a timing-focused approach to BTC entries and exits; source: @CryptoMichNL on X and YouTube.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the Bitcoin cycle is not over and he urges traders to buy the dip rather than capitulate, indicating a dip-accumulation strategy for BTC exposure (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL, Nov 21, 2025). He further signals positioning for a continued uptrend with an anticipated bull market in 2026, pointing to a longer holding horizon for Bitcoin allocations (source: X post by @CryptoMichNL, Nov 21, 2025).

According to Miles Deutscher on X on Nov 21, 2025, the prior BTC cycle driven by DAT buying, SBR hype, and record ETF flows has ended, signaling a transition into a floor-finding phase before the next catalyst (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Nov 21, 2025). According to Miles Deutscher on X on Nov 21, 2025, he rejects a fixed 4-year cycle and argues BTC now trades as a macro asset led by flows and narratives rather than halving timelines (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Nov 21, 2025). According to Miles Deutscher on X on Nov 21, 2025, the next upside trigger could arrive within weeks to months via fiat debasement, an AI energy race, or broader liquidity expansion, implying traders should adapt positioning to macro-driven volatility and range dynamics (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Nov 21, 2025).