According to GreeksLive, the U.S. government ended a 43-day shutdown that delayed key economic releases and forced macro analysis to rely on projections, with the latest CPI still unpublished and the next print carrying heightened market impact and uncertainty. source: GreeksLive According to GreeksLive, the December Federal Reserve meeting is the pivotal event, with fed funds futures now pricing a 50% probability of a 25-basis-point cut versus earlier expectations, while recent Fed remarks point to a hawkish stance to preserve policy flexibility. source: GreeksLive According to GreeksLive, geopolitical tensions and the AI boom are adding to macro uncertainty, reinforcing the likelihood of a hawkish posture near term. source: GreeksLive According to GreeksLive, BTC is in a wait-for-signal regime with the 100,000 USD level acting as a sensitive trigger, leaving the market vulnerable to macro surprises. source: GreeksLive According to GreeksLive, BTC options open interest and trading volume are rising, out-of-the-money flows are increasing, implied volatility is ticking up across major maturities, block trades are more active, skew is moving toward equilibrium, and the short-term curve is more fragmented—signals of elevated near-term uncertainty. source: GreeksLive According to GreeksLive, this setup means any plausible macro catalyst could trigger a reversal, warranting close monitoring of the CPI release timing, rate expectations, and options IV. source: GreeksLive