According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the recent weekly chart for Bitcoin (BTC) suggests a capitulation candle has occurred, signaling strong buying pressure even during weekends. While consolidation and potential retests of lower levels remain possible, van de Poppe emphasizes that holding above Bitcoin’s 2021 all-time high is crucial. He notes that while a quick reversal is unlikely, the sudden upward bounce suggests a bottom range between $65K and $70K, with potential tests near $85K in the coming weeks.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, Bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a massive correction, plummeting from $98K to $60K within two weeks. The 200-week moving average now lies beneath current prices, indicating a critical support level. Van de Poppe notes that the largest volume candle occurred when BTC dipped below $60K, suggesting a potential local low. If BTC prices recover slightly, a large wick may form, often observed during capitulation events. Traders are advised to monitor the coming hours and days closely.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin's daily RSI has fallen to 18, a level he notes has only appeared during the August 2023 drop, the 2020 COVID crash, and the November 2018 low, highlighting extreme oversold conditions historically tied to capitulation events (source: @CryptoMichNL on X). He interprets the current reading as consistent with capitulation and a bear market low setup for traders to watch (source: @CryptoMichNL on X).

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin’s entity-adjusted realized loss on a 7D SMA basis reached USD 889 million per day on Feb 04, marking the largest daily loss realization since November 2022. Source: @glassnode. @glassnode adds that the BTC capitulation metric posted its second-largest spike in two years, indicating sharp forced selling and stress events that typically align with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as positioning resets. Source: @glassnode.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Glassnode reports its BTC capitulation metric printed the second-largest spike in two years, signaling a sharp escalation in forced selling, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch. Glassnode notes these stress events typically coincide with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as positioning resets, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch. Traders should anticipate rapid positioning shakeouts and wider intraday ranges consistent with these dynamics, source: Glassnode via @Andre_Dragosch.

According to @glassnode, the 3 day SMA of Net Realized Profit and Loss has fallen to negative 317 million per day, a regime last seen in December 2022, signaling sustained realized losses (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, loss realization has regained control while liquidity is fading, indicating weaker on chain conditions (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, patience among participants is being tested in this environment (source: @glassnode).

According to @glassnode, the Realized Profit Loss Ratio 90D SMA is trending lower near 1.5 and moving toward 1, indicating progressively thinner crypto liquidity (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, a sustained break below 1 has historically coincided with broad capitulation as realized losses dominate profit taking across the market (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, any meaningful transition back to a strong rally should be visible in this liquidity sensitive indicator, with a sustained rise above about 5 historically signaling renewed liquidity inflows (source: @glassnode). According to @glassnode, traders should monitor this on chain metric for downside confirmation below 1 and upside confirmation above about 5 as liquidity conditions shift (source: @glassnode).

According to @santimentfeed, social sentiment data shows negative commentary toward Bitcoin at the highest level this year, with traders expressing FUD after BTC fell to its lowest market value since late November. @santimentfeed adds that historically such extreme fear signals capitulation is near, typically triggering retail selloffs followed by smart money accumulation that can drive recoveries. @santimentfeed also warns of continued turbulence as recent pullbacks in equities, gold, and silver are spilling over into crypto.

According to @simplykashif, citing Glassnode, nearly 350,000 BTC were sold below their purchase price, indicating a large wave of loss-taking on Dec 22, 2025 (source: Glassnode via @simplykashif, Dec 22, 2025). Selling below cost constitutes realized losses under Glassnode’s SOPR framework, where SOPR below 1 signals coins spent at a loss (source: Glassnode Academy). Glassnode’s historical research shows clusters of elevated realized losses often coincide with market stress and capitulation phases that traders monitor via SOPR, net realized loss, and exchange inflows dashboards (source: Glassnode Week On-Chain research and Glassnode metrics suite).

According to Michael van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the latest Bitcoin drop could be the final shakeout, with price action resembling prior-cycle fractals but on a longer timeline (source: Michael van de Poppe on X, Dec 2, 2025). He stated that multiple indicators were overextended to the downside in the recent crash, asserting the move had a heavier magnitude than the Luna, FTX, and COVID sell-offs (source: Michael van de Poppe on X, Dec 2, 2025). He added that BTC could still go lower or rebound higher and did not provide specific price levels or timeframes, framing the post as a scenario assessment rather than a directional call (source: Michael van de Poppe on X, Dec 2, 2025). This positions the move as a potential capitulation setup that traders often monitor for reversal risk, though no explicit entry or exit signals were given in the post (source: Michael van de Poppe on X, Dec 2, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, today’s drop across Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins is another final capitulation day, and he stated that new bull runs start with such capitulation events, making this move trading-relevant for timing reversals in the crypto market; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 1, 2025. He added that sweeping recent lows would be constructive, indicating focus on a low sweep before moving higher in BTC and altcoin markets, which traders can monitor as a potential exhaustion cue; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to @CoinMarketCap, investor Lyn Alden said on the What Bitcoin Did podcast that a major Bitcoin (BTC) capitulation is unlikely this cycle because market sentiment has not reached euphoric levels, indicating the cycle may run longer than expected, per @CoinMarketCap. According to @CoinMarketCap, this view reduces near-term odds of a capitulation-led BTC flush and favors positioning for an extended cycle scenario over a final-top setup, per @CoinMarketCap.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the crypto fear and greed index just hit its lowest reading on record, signaling extreme risk-off sentiment at current prices, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, short-term holder supply PnL is the most negative ever, highlighting acute realized loss pressure among recent buyers, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, RSI has dropped to levels last seen during the LUNA, COVID, and FTX market lows, indicating historically oversold momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, despite these extremes many participants still want to buy lower, reflecting persistent bearish bias even at current levels, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025.

According to @litecoin, the official account posted "This is what getting humbled by the market looks like" on Nov 22, 2025, signaling a cautious tone without sharing price levels, guidance, or on-chain metrics; source: @litecoin on X. Research shows social media mood can correlate with short-term returns and volatility, so LTC traders should manage position sizing and risk around sentiment-driven swings; source: Bollen, Mao, and Zeng (2011), PLoS ONE; Garcia, Tessone, Mavrodiev, and Perony (2014), Journal of the Royal Society Interface. Traders should not infer targets from a single social post and should adhere to regulator risk guidance on leverage and volatility; source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Risk Disclosure.

According to @CryptoMichNL, big players prefer to drive altcoin prices lower until belief collapses, then capture the upside as the 4-year cycle thesis is deemed finished and many participants have exited, source: @CryptoMichNL, Nov 10, 2025. He frames this as market game theory and signals that traders should treat extreme disbelief and post-cycle capitulation in altcoins as potential inflection zones, source: @CryptoMichNL, Nov 10, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xc2a3 closed parts of its ETH and SOL long positions at a loss, flipping cumulative PnL from over USD 33M in profits to more than USD 26M in losses, source: @lookonchain. The trader reportedly won the first 14 trades before one wrong bet erased both profits and principal, underscoring how a single adverse move can eliminate cumulative gains, source: @lookonchain.

According to @EmberCN, a trader who bought 7,221 ETH at $4,036 two nights earlier has sold 3,200 ETH at $3,815, totaling roughly $12.2M in proceeds. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, this is the trader’s third cycle of buying into strength and then cutting losses on a pullback. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, about half of the position remains, indicating the trader has not fully exited. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, the author notes ETH rebounded after the trader’s prior two capitulations, highlighting a pattern observed in earlier episodes. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, the post is sponsored by Bitget. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin’s near-term trend hinges on whether BTC holds above the 20-Week Moving Average on the weekly close, making that level the key directional trigger for traders. source: @CryptoMichNL on X He adds that a weekly close above the 20-Week MA accompanied by a solid bounce would likely confirm the final capitulation phase, comparable to the COVID crash and the FTX low. source: @CryptoMichNL on X The author highlights the weekly close versus the 20-Week MA as the primary confirmation signal to watch, indicating a constructive market shift if BTC rebounds and closes above that level. source: @CryptoMichNL on X

According to the source, a CryptoQuant analyst reports that short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders realized over $2.2 billion in losses in the past 24 hours, based on on-chain realized loss metrics from CryptoQuant. CryptoQuant notes that spikes of this size have coincided with capitulation zones in prior drawdowns, so traders are watching SOPR and exchange netflows on CryptoQuant for confirmation of a volatility inflection.

According to @AltcoinGordon, current market dips should be treated as late-cycle buying opportunities while euphoria is a time to sell, targeting contrarian risk-reward edges; source: @AltcoinGordon. He stresses avoiding crowd-driven panic and timeline noise, positioning when others capitulate and exiting when consensus says it will never end; source: @AltcoinGordon. The trading takeaway is a contrarian framework: accumulate weakness, distribute strength, and prioritize discipline over emotion to capture volatility; source: @AltcoinGordon.