According to @CryptoMichNL, the crypto fear and greed index just hit its lowest reading on record, signaling extreme risk-off sentiment at current prices, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, short-term holder supply PnL is the most negative ever, highlighting acute realized loss pressure among recent buyers, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, RSI has dropped to levels last seen during the LUNA, COVID, and FTX market lows, indicating historically oversold momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, despite these extremes many participants still want to buy lower, reflecting persistent bearish bias even at current levels, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 23, 2025.

According to @litecoin, the official account posted "This is what getting humbled by the market looks like" on Nov 22, 2025, signaling a cautious tone without sharing price levels, guidance, or on-chain metrics; source: @litecoin on X. Research shows social media mood can correlate with short-term returns and volatility, so LTC traders should manage position sizing and risk around sentiment-driven swings; source: Bollen, Mao, and Zeng (2011), PLoS ONE; Garcia, Tessone, Mavrodiev, and Perony (2014), Journal of the Royal Society Interface. Traders should not infer targets from a single social post and should adhere to regulator risk guidance on leverage and volatility; source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Risk Disclosure.

According to @CryptoMichNL, big players prefer to drive altcoin prices lower until belief collapses, then capture the upside as the 4-year cycle thesis is deemed finished and many participants have exited, source: @CryptoMichNL, Nov 10, 2025. He frames this as market game theory and signals that traders should treat extreme disbelief and post-cycle capitulation in altcoins as potential inflection zones, source: @CryptoMichNL, Nov 10, 2025.

According to @lookonchain, wallet 0xc2a3 closed parts of its ETH and SOL long positions at a loss, flipping cumulative PnL from over USD 33M in profits to more than USD 26M in losses, source: @lookonchain. The trader reportedly won the first 14 trades before one wrong bet erased both profits and principal, underscoring how a single adverse move can eliminate cumulative gains, source: @lookonchain.

According to @EmberCN, a trader who bought 7,221 ETH at $4,036 two nights earlier has sold 3,200 ETH at $3,815, totaling roughly $12.2M in proceeds. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, this is the trader’s third cycle of buying into strength and then cutting losses on a pullback. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, about half of the position remains, indicating the trader has not fully exited. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, the author notes ETH rebounded after the trader’s prior two capitulations, highlighting a pattern observed in earlier episodes. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025. According to @EmberCN, the post is sponsored by Bitget. Source: @EmberCN on X, Oct 23, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin’s near-term trend hinges on whether BTC holds above the 20-Week Moving Average on the weekly close, making that level the key directional trigger for traders. source: @CryptoMichNL on X He adds that a weekly close above the 20-Week MA accompanied by a solid bounce would likely confirm the final capitulation phase, comparable to the COVID crash and the FTX low. source: @CryptoMichNL on X The author highlights the weekly close versus the 20-Week MA as the primary confirmation signal to watch, indicating a constructive market shift if BTC rebounds and closes above that level. source: @CryptoMichNL on X

According to the source, a CryptoQuant analyst reports that short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders realized over $2.2 billion in losses in the past 24 hours, based on on-chain realized loss metrics from CryptoQuant. CryptoQuant notes that spikes of this size have coincided with capitulation zones in prior drawdowns, so traders are watching SOPR and exchange netflows on CryptoQuant for confirmation of a volatility inflection.

According to @AltcoinGordon, current market dips should be treated as late-cycle buying opportunities while euphoria is a time to sell, targeting contrarian risk-reward edges; source: @AltcoinGordon. He stresses avoiding crowd-driven panic and timeline noise, positioning when others capitulate and exiting when consensus says it will never end; source: @AltcoinGordon. The trading takeaway is a contrarian framework: accumulate weakness, distribute strength, and prioritize discipline over emotion to capture volatility; source: @AltcoinGordon.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin is currently bouncing on the bull market support band, marking a key technical inflection level for traders (source: @rovercrc). If the market avoids full capitulation, a rebound from current levels is likely, per the same analysis (source: @rovercrc). If capitulation occurs, the 50-day moving average becomes the next critical level to monitor for potential support or trend confirmation (source: @rovercrc).

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the altcoin markets characteristically undergo a 'slow bleed' phase that can last for months. He observes that during this period, portfolios can see significant drawdowns of -20% to -40%, and as negative sentiment grows, losses can extend to -60% or even -70%. From a trading perspective, van de Poppe highlights that this prolonged period of decline and capitulation is often followed by a swift and powerful market reversal, with prices recovering 'within weeks.' This pattern suggests that periods of maximum pessimism in the altcoin market can present key opportunities for traders anticipating a sharp bounce.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 experienced a significant drop of 4.8% today, while the Volatility Index ($VIX) remained below 30, indicating an orderly market sell-off. Historically, such a significant decline in the S&P 500 is accompanied by a $VIX above 30, but this was not the case today, suggesting that capitulation may not have occurred yet.

According to @KobeissiLetter, retail investors were trapped during the recent market sell-off. JP Morgan data indicates that retail investors purchased $4.7 billion worth of stocks, marking a 10-year high. This was not a capitulation event, as institutional capital has taken a different position, leaving retail investments vulnerable. Investors should approach future trades with caution and consider the disparity in market behavior between retail and institutional investors.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the VIX index reached a level of 45 and subsequently decreased by approximately 10 points. This indicates a period of significant market volatility, which traders should monitor closely for potential capitulation signals. The VIX, often referred to as the 'fear index,' reflects investor sentiment and expectations of future market volatility. A high VIX level can indicate increased risk and uncertainty, which may impact trading strategies and market positioning.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, today's selloff is marked as the first true sign of panic, with the Volatility Index, $VIX, rising above 40 for the first time since August 2024. This level was last seen during the Yen Carry Trade collapse, indicating heightened market distress. Traders are advised to monitor for signs of capitulation as this may influence market dynamics significantly.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market conditions do not exhibit the characteristics of 'capitulation,' which poses a significant challenge for traders looking to buy the dip. This implies that prices may not have hit their lowest point, suggesting caution for traders anticipating a rebound. The analysis indicates that the market lacks the panic and heavy selling pressure typical of a true capitulation event, which are essential for identifying potential entry points for buying opportunities.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the current market conditions do not exhibit the typical signs of capitulation, posing a challenge for dip buyers looking for entry points. The analysis suggests that the market's behavior is not aligned with the significant sell-offs and panic typically associated with capitulation, indicating that traders should exercise caution when attempting to buy dips. Source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Volatility Index ($VIX) has not shown clear signs of capitulation, indicating an orderly decline in the market. This suggests that true panic selling has not yet occurred, which is often necessary to identify a market bottom.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the Volatility Index ($VIX) has not demonstrated any clear signs of capitulation, indicating that the market has not yet reached a bottom. The initial decline and subsequent post-bull trap drop have been described as orderly, with no true panic observed. This suggests that traders should remain cautious as the market stabilizes without the typical signs of capitulation.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 has experienced a significant decline of 250 points over the last three trading days, raising concerns about potential market capitulation. This rapid drop highlights increased market volatility and may impact traders' strategies as they assess risk and potential entry points. Such a downturn could signal further bearish trends if the selling pressure continues, necessitating close monitoring of market conditions for potential signs of stabilization or further decline.

According to @AltcoinGordon, traders are more likely to capitulate due to market boredom rather than price movements. The market is expected to show sideways action and slow declines, which could lead to a future period of significant gains. This suggests a current trading strategy focused on patience and long-term holding as the market prepares for a potential upswing. [Source: @AltcoinGordon on Twitter]