According to @KobeissiLetter, a viral thread claims Nvidia and AMD agreed to remit 15% of revenue from chip sales in China to the U.S. in exchange for removing export controls, an arrangement described as unprecedented. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X (Aug 11, 2025). The thread does not include official confirmations from Nvidia, AMD, the U.S. government, or filed documents; traders should treat this strictly as an unconfirmed headline until company statements or regulatory filings emerge. Source: The Kobeissi Letter thread content (no supporting documents attached), The Kobeissi Letter on X (Aug 11, 2025). Context: U.S. export controls have restricted shipment of advanced AI GPUs to China since 2022 and were tightened in 2023, so any policy reversal would be market-moving for AI chip supply and China-exposed semiconductor revenues. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of Industry and Security public export-control announcements (2022–2023). Trading takeaways: Expect headline-driven volatility and potential gap risk in NVDA, AMD, and semiconductor ETFs such as SOXX and SMH pending any confirmation or denial; consider liquidity planning and hedging around news flow. Source: The Kobeissi Letter headline as the immediate catalyst, The Kobeissi Letter on X (Aug 11, 2025). Crypto angle: Changes to AI compute export policy can influence sentiment across AI-linked crypto narratives and related tokens; monitor cross-asset flows if official confirmation or rejection is issued. Source: The Kobeissi Letter headline and BIS export-control context cited above.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) have reportedly agreed to remit 15% of revenues from China chip sales to the US government in order to secure export licenses for their chips, source: @KobeissiLetter. The post describes this as an "unusual agreement" with Trump tied to obtaining export licenses for shipments to China, source: @KobeissiLetter. If confirmed, a 15% revenue give-up would mechanically reduce retained revenue on affected China sales by the same percentage while potentially restoring some sales via export licenses, which is a key trade-off for margin versus volume that equity traders will price, source: @KobeissiLetter. Equity traders should monitor NVDA, AMD, and semiconductor ETFs for headline-driven gap risk and shifts in options implied volatility pending any official confirmations on licensing, source: @KobeissiLetter. Crypto traders should track BTC and ETH for risk-sentiment spillover from US–China AI chip policy headlines given the report’s focus on export licensing to China, source: @KobeissiLetter. The post does not include links to official company filings or US government notices, so confirmation risk remains central to position sizing and timing, source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Senate Democrats, including Schumer, Warren, and Warner, have issued a strongly worded letter opposing the resumption of chip sales to China. This political stance increases regulatory uncertainty for semiconductor companies and may lead to volatility in related stocks. Crypto markets could also experience indirect effects, as tighter export controls on advanced chips could slow AI development and blockchain innovation in China, potentially shifting global market dynamics. Source: @StockMKTNewz