According to @BullTheoryio, 2025 performance shows Silver +165%, Gold +72%, Nasdaq +22%, while BTC is down 6.60% and ETH is down 12.32%, highlighting a sharp divergence between precious metals/equities and crypto (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). The author states that if Gold and Silver have topped, a major crypto move could arrive in early 2026, implying a potential catch-up rally in BTC and ETH (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). They outline two scenarios: either something broke in crypto around Oct 10, 2025 that has not surfaced, or the market is lagging and will resolve with a powerful 2026 rally (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). For traders, the thesis centers on timing a rotation from Gold/Silver into BTC/ETH and monitoring the Oct 10, 2025 pivot as a risk marker for positioning (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947).

According to André Dragosch, BTC’s recent performance has not been driven by macro factors, with the majority of the downside attributed to coin-specific long-term holder selling, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This LTH distribution helps explain the divergence between Bitcoin and major assets like the Magnificent 7 equities and Gold, which are pricing a benign macro backdrop, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading decisions, the source indicates coin-specific flow dynamics are more relevant than macro prints in the near term when assessing BTC direction, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @EricBalchunas on X, silver is up about 150% year to date and is now doubling gold’s performance this year (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, SLV posted $21 billion in weekly trading volume, the highest in 15 years despite the Christmas week (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, SLV’s year-to-date net inflows are $3.4 billion, while GLD’s are $23 billion and spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT’s are $25 billion (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, the $21 billion weekly volume signals elevated liquidity for SLV execution and risk management based on the reported figure (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, the larger YTD flows into GLD and IBIT versus SLV indicate stronger investor allocation to gold and BTC exposure than to silver ETFs based on the cited flow data (source: @EricBalchunas on X).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the final week of the year may bring heightened volatility across Bitcoin (BTC), Silver, Gold, and Platinum as seasonal liquidity remains low and capital rotation is likely, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, silver premiums are unusually high with Dubai pricing cited at $91, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin could break $90K and run toward $100K in the coming week, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, year-to-date in 2025 silver is up 165%, gold is up 72%, and the Nasdaq is up 22%, while Bitcoin (BTC) is down 6.60% and Ethereum (ETH) is down 12.32% (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 28, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, this divergence is linked to a pivotal Oct 10 date for crypto, with the author outlining two possibilities: either a behind-the-scenes issue in the crypto market since Oct 10 that has not surfaced yet, or an alternative explanation not detailed in the excerpt (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the 2025 view is to own assets or be left behind, with just about all assets pushing higher this year (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, gold and silver have recently led performance, rising 4 and 8 times as much as the S&P 500 year-to-date, signaling strong relative momentum in precious metals versus equities (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, the move started with a weaker US Dollar, identifying USD weakness as the catalyst behind the broad asset advance (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, year-end 2025 discourse contrasts momentum in physical gold and silver with weakness in cryptocurrencies and asks which short is more dangerous for traders, altcoins or precious metals during a breakout (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 27, 2025). For crypto shorts, thin order books and funding rate flips during fast rallies can accelerate short squeezes and liquidation cascades, increasing slippage and risk of forced exits (source: Binance Futures documentation on funding rates and liquidations). For gold and silver shorts, futures carry theoretically unlimited loss with gap risk, and exchanges can raise margins rapidly in volatility spikes, stressing capital and risk limits (source: CFTC Risk Disclosure Statement; source: CME Group margin and risk advisories). Defined risk options can cap downside on both sides, such as buying calls to hedge metals shorts or using call buys and put spreads for altcoin exposure, helping contain tail risk while maintaining directional views (source: Cboe Options education resources).

According to @CryptoMichNL, prior market lows coincided with lows in the BTCUSD to Gold ratio, indicating BTC is undervalued relative to gold while gold appears overvalued, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He notes that RSI readings below 30 marked major lows in 2015, 2018, and during the 2022 Luna capitulation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He now identifies a developing daily bullish divergence on BTC that suggests near-term upside potential, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. For trading, he implies watching the BTCUSD/Gold ratio for a higher low and monitoring BTC daily RSI reclaiming above 30 as momentum confirmation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He further signals potential relative rotation out of gold into BTC if the divergence plays out, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC saw a brief CPI-led bounce followed by a sharp pullback, signaling fragile momentum in the current range, source: @CryptoMichNL. He identifies $88K as the decisive resistance that must break to revive upside momentum, making it the key level for breakout traders, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that the Bank of Japan decision is the week’s crucial macro catalyst and that despite the Nasdaq rallying and gold holding steady, BTC is sliding as traders fear a widely expected rate hike, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin (BTC) underperformed Gold in 2025 and requires an urgent quantum-proof upgrade, which he described as an existential risk, and he outlined an action plan along with how the Capriole Fund is managing this risk today. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 18, 2025. He stated these remarks were delivered at the 0xGBS event in Abu Dhabi with a recording coming soon, and added he will speak at TOKEN2049 in Dubai in 2026. Source: @caprioleio on X, Dec 18, 2025.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, oil and gold rose while Bitcoin (BTC) and the Nasdaq declined around a fresh geopolitical risk shock, signaling a near-term risk-off regime for crypto and equities (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155). He reports that across the top 20 geopolitical risk events since BTC’s inception, BTC averaged +64.6% by day 50 after the event with a +17.3% median, framing geopolitics as short-term bearish but medium-term bullish for BTC (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804). He advises planning for initial downside followed by potential medium-term upside consistent with this historical 50-day rebound pattern (source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 17, 2025, https://twitter.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/2001419304827224155; https://x.com/Andre_Dragosch/status/1933498166516891804).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the U.S. unemployment rate has risen from 4.0% in Feb 2025 to 4.6% now, the highest level since Nov 2021, according to @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, the softer labor market keeps the Federal Reserve focused on stimulating domestic demand, increasing the likelihood of policy easing and liquidity support. According to @CryptoMichNL, this is bullish for scarce assets and could fuel a BTC bull run, though recession fears may add near-term volatility. According to @CryptoMichNL, key charts to monitor for trade timing are JPY/USD, Nasdaq, Gold, and government bond rates.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the Counterpoint Team at BCA Research noted that the fractal dimension of BTC/Gold performance has collapsed, which they said signals an imminent reversal. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the collapse in fractal dimension typically indicates rising herding and excessive one-sided positioning among investors, implying elevated reversal risk in the BTC/Gold cross.

According to @godbole17, the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy highlights AI and quantum computing but contains no explicit reference to cryptocurrencies or any crypto strategic reserve, as reflected in the published document, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf. The document underscores re-industrialization and elevated defense investment alongside sustained U.S. engagement in the Indo-Pacific, aligning with a pro-defense-spending stance noted by the author, source: whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf; @godbole17 on X. From a trading perspective, the author frames this as supportive for defense equities and consistent with strength in gold and pressure on long-duration bonds, while offering no policy tailwind for BTC or digital assets due to the omission, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf. The author also interprets the text as reviving a Monroe Doctrine posture and tighter migration, implying a tilt toward multipolar risk and geopolitics-led rotations that traders may weigh, source: @godbole17 on X; whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf.

According to @EricBalchunas, bitcoin (BTC) is a non-productive asset comparable to gold, fine art, and rare stamps, and such assets can still be valuable without producing income, source: @EricBalchunas. He adds that the tulip bubble analogy is misguided because tulips were defined by euphoria and a crash, whereas BTC is a different animal, source: @EricBalchunas.

According to @AltcoinDaily, a new X video features the Binance Founder debating Peter Schiff on Bitcoin versus gold, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516. The post confirms the debate content and provides the video link without disclosing any price levels, market performance, or outcome details, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516. For trading, align the video publication time with intraday checks on BTC spot volume, BTC dominance, and XAU/USD to gauge any short-term sentiment change driven by the BTC vs gold narrative, source: https://x.com/AltcoinDaily/status/1997428310461366516.

According to @charliebilello, gold is up about 60% year to date in 2025, making it the best-performing major asset. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, Bitcoin (BTC) is down about 4% year to date in 2025, ranking as the worst-performing major asset. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. According to @charliebilello, this gold-leads and Bitcoin-lags setup has not occurred in any prior calendar year and is the inverse of 2013. Source: Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025); bilello.blog/newsletter. For traders, the GLD versus BTC year-to-date performance spread is roughly 64 percentage points, underscoring extreme cross-asset dispersion to monitor in momentum and rotation screens. Source: Calculated from @charliebilello’s reported figures; Charlie Bilello on X (Dec 6, 2025).

According to @AltcoinDaily, gold has compounded at roughly 7% per year since 1971, highlighting a historical baseline for store-of-value returns and a benchmark for risk-adjusted comparisons, source: @AltcoinDaily. According to @AltcoinDaily, Michael Saylor believes Bitcoin could average 20% annually over the next 50 years, positioning BTC as digital gold with higher expected long-term CAGR than gold, source: @AltcoinDaily. According to @AltcoinDaily, this view supports a pro-BTC allocation tilt versus gold and frames a BTC-over-gold rotation narrative that traders may track via the BTC-to-gold ratio as a sentiment signal, source: @AltcoinDaily.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the current crypto cycle is far from over because no key indicators have peaked, retail interest remains muted, and BTC lacks the extreme overvaluation seen in gold and other commodities; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025. For traders, this view argues against time-based top-calling in BTC and supports a continuation-bias framework rather than a completed peak; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Nov 30, 2025.

According to @paoloardoino, he posted the phrase Physical Gold and Bitcoin with a link on Nov 27, 2025, explicitly naming Bitcoin BTC and physical gold. Source: Paolo Ardoino on X, Nov 27, 2025. This timestamped mention constitutes a discrete social sentiment data point that references BTC and gold for traders tracking mentions. Source: Paolo Ardoino on X, Nov 27, 2025.