According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin and gold are showing a strong inverse correlation, with Bitcoin getting a modest bump while Trump's speech leaves broader markets largely unmoved (source: @CryptoMichNL). He notes BTC must reclaim the 21-day and 50-day moving averages and is currently holding a crucial support zone (source: @CryptoMichNL). He adds that if a break of those moving averages coincides with Bank of Japan action, gold could drop sharply and BTC could move up by roughly 4-6% (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to Andre Dragosch, geopolitics has accelerated a breakdown in the monetary order, shifting demand from sovereign bonds toward hard assets like gold and setting conditions favorable for Bitcoin BTC as a hedge. Dragosch cites the freezing of Russian foreign assets by G7 nations as the catalyst for a decoupling by major developing countries toward hard assets, reflected in the divergence between US real yields and gold prices, implying persistent bid for non sovereign collateral. Dragosch argues that a declining US trade deficit reduces foreign inflows into US capital markets, pressuring US Treasuries first, and raising the risk of a domestic central bank backstopping bond markets at the expense of the currency, a setup that typically supports scarce assets. Dragosch highlights Japan as a live example of rising yields alongside currency depreciation, a pattern associated with capital flight and eventual policy intervention that can further debase the currency, reinforcing the hard asset bid. Dragosch maintains that while gold and silver have already re-rated, Bitcoin is the ultimate trade due to finite supply, lack of counterparty risk, and apolitical design, though investor familiarity may delay adoption relative to gold, leaving a potential opportunity for staged allocation once other hedges are extended.

According to @CryptoKing4Ever, gold (XAU) is up 14% early this year while Bitcoin (BTC) is down 11%, with geopolitics pressuring both assets. The source cites Donald Trump’s stance on Greenland and a new 10% tariff on Europe as added tension, and says markets need fresh data to calm.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the OTHERSBTC versus Gold chart has been in a bear market since 2021, which he says explains weak altcoin sentiment, source: X post on Jan 18, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, the key trigger to watch is the 21-week moving average, where a break above would mark the first upward trend break since 2020, source: X post on Jan 18, 2026. According to @CryptoMichNL, a bullish divergence appears to be forming that could precede a market rotation into altcoins, source: X post on Jan 18, 2026.

According to @CryptoMichNL, gold is likely to pull back over the next week after riskier commodities have already shown weakness, signaling potential near-term downside for XAUUSD; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 16, 2026. He adds that if gold declines, it could be time for Bitcoin (BTC) to shine as capital rotates toward crypto, implying a bullish near-term setup for BTC; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Jan 16, 2026.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is printing higher lows versus gold with a strong bullish divergence, indicating a shifted trend and building upside momentum, source: @CryptoMichNL, Jan 16, 2026. He expects gold to consolidate next week while Bitcoin breaks higher, framing a short-term BTC outperformance setup against XAU for traders to monitor, source: @CryptoMichNL, Jan 16, 2026.

According to @GracyBitget, gold remains a key barometer of investor psychology while Bitcoin (BTC) is increasingly viewed as a parallel safe-haven hedge rather than a replacement for gold, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026. She adds that both BTC and gold are available to trade on Bitget, positioning the venue for cross-asset hedge execution, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026. She notes she shared this perspective in Forbes, indicating broader mainstream coverage of BTC’s safe-haven role, source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 14, 2026.

According to @EmberCN, a whale allocated $42.42 million across BTC exposure and gold and today transferred 264.8 WBTC to Binance after a BTC rally, source: @EmberCN on X, Jan 14, 2026. The position was bought in late October for $30 million at 113,262 dollars per BTC and is valued at 24.85 million dollars, implying a 5.15 million dollar loss versus cost basis, source: @EmberCN on X, Jan 14, 2026. After cutting BTC exposure, the address still holds 13.49 million dollars in gold, source: @EmberCN on X, Jan 14, 2026. Historically, exchange inflows by large holders have correlated with near-term sell-side liquidity and BTC price volatility that traders monitor for risk management, source: Glassnode Insights research. On-chain analytics frameworks flag sizable inflows to Binance as potential supply overhang for spot markets, source: CryptoQuant research.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTCUSD shows a strong bullish divergence versus Gold, indicating underlying relative strength in Bitcoin despite macro uncertainty (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, Gold making a new high implies BTC could print a fresh local low to complete a triple-bottom base, rather than invalidating the divergence (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, the divergence remains intact, with a higher low on BTC preferred for confirmation; however, given robust commodities momentum, the primary scenario is a triple bottom on BTC (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026). According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should monitor whether Bitcoin holds prior lows and forms a higher low for validation, while a marginal new low would still fit the triple-bottom structure alongside Gold’s strength (source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Jan 12, 2026).

According to @GracyBitget, Bitget stated it became the first exchange this month to exceed $10B in stock contracts trading volume, marking a key industry milestone; source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 4, 2026. The company said it is expanding instrument coverage by bringing gold, forex, and CFD products to the crypto community, aligning product access for cross-asset traders on its platform; source: @GracyBitget on X, Jan 4, 2026. Bitget outlined three strategic pillars for 2026—UEX, AI, and compliance—in its published New Year letter; source: bitget.com/zh-CN/blog/articles/bitget-ceo-new-year-letter-2026.

According to the source, BTC has declined about 20% since early November, while gold gained roughly 9% and the S&P 500 added around 1% over the same period. According to the source citing market intelligence firm Santiment, 2026 will offer opportunities for crypto to catch up following this relative underperformance.

According to @BullTheoryio, 2025 performance shows Silver +165%, Gold +72%, Nasdaq +22%, while BTC is down 6.60% and ETH is down 12.32%, highlighting a sharp divergence between precious metals/equities and crypto (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). The author states that if Gold and Silver have topped, a major crypto move could arrive in early 2026, implying a potential catch-up rally in BTC and ETH (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). They outline two scenarios: either something broke in crypto around Oct 10, 2025 that has not surfaced, or the market is lagging and will resolve with a powerful 2026 rally (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947). For traders, the thesis centers on timing a rotation from Gold/Silver into BTC/ETH and monitoring the Oct 10, 2025 pivot as a risk marker for positioning (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 30, 2025, x.com/BullTheoryio/status/2005968926409383947).

According to André Dragosch, BTC’s recent performance has not been driven by macro factors, with the majority of the downside attributed to coin-specific long-term holder selling, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. This LTH distribution helps explain the divergence between Bitcoin and major assets like the Magnificent 7 equities and Gold, which are pricing a benign macro backdrop, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025. For trading decisions, the source indicates coin-specific flow dynamics are more relevant than macro prints in the near term when assessing BTC direction, source: André Dragosch on X, Dec 30, 2025.

According to @EricBalchunas on X, silver is up about 150% year to date and is now doubling gold’s performance this year (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, SLV posted $21 billion in weekly trading volume, the highest in 15 years despite the Christmas week (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, SLV’s year-to-date net inflows are $3.4 billion, while GLD’s are $23 billion and spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT’s are $25 billion (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, the $21 billion weekly volume signals elevated liquidity for SLV execution and risk management based on the reported figure (source: @EricBalchunas on X). According to @EricBalchunas on X, the larger YTD flows into GLD and IBIT versus SLV indicate stronger investor allocation to gold and BTC exposure than to silver ETFs based on the cited flow data (source: @EricBalchunas on X).

According to @CryptoMichNL, the final week of the year may bring heightened volatility across Bitcoin (BTC), Silver, Gold, and Platinum as seasonal liquidity remains low and capital rotation is likely, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, silver premiums are unusually high with Dubai pricing cited at $91, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin could break $90K and run toward $100K in the coming week, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 28, 2025.

According to @BullTheoryio, year-to-date in 2025 silver is up 165%, gold is up 72%, and the Nasdaq is up 22%, while Bitcoin (BTC) is down 6.60% and Ethereum (ETH) is down 12.32% (source: @BullTheoryio on X, Dec 28, 2025). According to @BullTheoryio, this divergence is linked to a pivotal Oct 10 date for crypto, with the author outlining two possibilities: either a behind-the-scenes issue in the crypto market since Oct 10 that has not surfaced yet, or an alternative explanation not detailed in the excerpt (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to @KobeissiLetter, the 2025 view is to own assets or be left behind, with just about all assets pushing higher this year (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, gold and silver have recently led performance, rising 4 and 8 times as much as the S&P 500 year-to-date, signaling strong relative momentum in precious metals versus equities (source: @KobeissiLetter). According to @KobeissiLetter, the move started with a weaker US Dollar, identifying USD weakness as the catalyst behind the broad asset advance (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @ai_9684xtpa, year-end 2025 discourse contrasts momentum in physical gold and silver with weakness in cryptocurrencies and asks which short is more dangerous for traders, altcoins or precious metals during a breakout (source: @ai_9684xtpa on X, Dec 27, 2025). For crypto shorts, thin order books and funding rate flips during fast rallies can accelerate short squeezes and liquidation cascades, increasing slippage and risk of forced exits (source: Binance Futures documentation on funding rates and liquidations). For gold and silver shorts, futures carry theoretically unlimited loss with gap risk, and exchanges can raise margins rapidly in volatility spikes, stressing capital and risk limits (source: CFTC Risk Disclosure Statement; source: CME Group margin and risk advisories). Defined risk options can cap downside on both sides, such as buying calls to hedge metals shorts or using call buys and put spreads for altcoin exposure, helping contain tail risk while maintaining directional views (source: Cboe Options education resources).

According to @CryptoMichNL, prior market lows coincided with lows in the BTCUSD to Gold ratio, indicating BTC is undervalued relative to gold while gold appears overvalued, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He notes that RSI readings below 30 marked major lows in 2015, 2018, and during the 2022 Luna capitulation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He now identifies a developing daily bullish divergence on BTC that suggests near-term upside potential, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. For trading, he implies watching the BTCUSD/Gold ratio for a higher low and monitoring BTC daily RSI reclaiming above 30 as momentum confirmation, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025. He further signals potential relative rotation out of gold into BTC if the divergence plays out, source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Dec 20, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC saw a brief CPI-led bounce followed by a sharp pullback, signaling fragile momentum in the current range, source: @CryptoMichNL. He identifies $88K as the decisive resistance that must break to revive upside momentum, making it the key level for breakout traders, source: @CryptoMichNL. He adds that the Bank of Japan decision is the week’s crucial macro catalyst and that despite the Nasdaq rallying and gold holding steady, BTC is sliding as traders fear a widely expected rate hike, source: @CryptoMichNL.