According to @KobeissiLetter, Nvidia is expected to sell about 1.5 million H20 chips to China in 2025, generating close to 25 billion dollars in revenue based on their estimates (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Aug 11, 2025). According to @KobeissiLetter, the estimated cost tied to these sales is about 3.8 billion dollars, which is described as much less than 50 billion dollars over three years and framed as a massive move (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Aug 11, 2025). According to @KobeissiLetter, the figures imply an approximate gross margin near 85 percent and around 21.2 billion dollars in gross profit, with an implied average selling price near 16,700 dollars per chip and an implied cost near 2,500 dollars per chip, derived from The Kobeissi Letter estimates (source: The Kobeissi Letter, Aug 11, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Nvidia has announced that the US government has indefinitely banned the sale of its H20 chips to China, resulting in a projected $5.5 billion impact on their Q1 earnings. Consequently, Nvidia's stock has dropped over 5% following this announcement. This development presents significant implications for traders, especially those holding or considering positions in Nvidia shares, as the ban could affect Nvidia's revenue streams and market performance in the immediate future.