According to the source, prediction market data on MyriadMarkets now assigns a 55% probability that BTC moves down to $100K, indicating a bearish skew in near-term positioning (source: user-provided content citing MyriadMarkets odds, Oct 16, 2025). The source frames $100K versus $120K as the key range, making these the critical levels for breakout or breakdown trades and for setting stops and targets in futures and options strategies (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds). If the $100K outcome stays above 50% on MyriadMarkets, short bias and protective hedges such as put spreads around the 100K strike have higher expected value; if odds flip toward the $120K scenario, momentum longs regain edge with invalidation below recent range lows (source: user-provided content; MyriadMarkets odds).

According to the source, users on MyriadMarkets assign roughly a 40% probability that Aster reaches $4 before November, but a verifiable primary market link and the asset’s exact ticker are not provided, which prevents independent confirmation and chart-based analysis (source: MyriadMarkets, link requested). To produce a trading-grade summary, please supply the MyriadMarkets market URL and the official ticker and exchange pairs so we can validate odds, current price, and liquidity from exchange data (source: MyriadMarkets; major exchanges/TradingView, links requested). With those sources, we will quantify the required percentage move to $4, map key resistance/support levels from recent highs/lows, and assess volume, open interest, and funding to gauge whether the market structure supports the implied probability (source: exchange order books/derivatives data, links requested).