According to Eric Balchunas, the US jobs report sets up a two-way trade: a weak print would increase expectations of Fed stimulus he calls Fed sugar, while a strong print would lower the odds of rate cuts. source: Eric Balchunas, X/Twitter, Sep 4, 2025 He notes the political optics may diverge from the market reaction, with weak jobs making Trump look bad and strong jobs helping the administration, and raises the possibility that markets could revert to a regime where bad news is treated as good news. source: Eric Balchunas, X/Twitter, Sep 4, 2025

According to @52kskew, the $ES 4H chart is at a critical juncture with no clear trend established yet. According to @52kskew, U.S. employment releases starting Thursday and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls are major catalysts for market positioning between risk-on and risk-off. According to @52kskew, these catalysts are likely to affect BTC through equity-crypto correlation and could increase volatility around the data.

According to Andre Dragosch, the financial markets are observing 'NFP-Day,' highlighting the significance of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data release for traders. This key economic indicator heavily influences the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, which in turn impacts risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). A stronger-than-expected NFP report could lead to a stronger dollar and bearish pressure on crypto, while a weaker report could fuel expectations for rate cuts, potentially boosting the crypto market. Traders should therefore anticipate heightened volatility and prepare their strategies for potential price swings following the announcement.

According to @cas_abbe, $NFP is currently exhibiting a classic cup and handle pattern, with the price having surged nearly 30% from its recent bottom. The token is now approaching a crucial resistance level at $0.094. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger significant upward momentum, making $NFP a key watch for crypto traders seeking high-potential setups. Source: @cas_abbe on Twitter, May 9, 2025.

According to Material Indicators, the BTC order book on Binance is positioned strategically ahead of the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and ENRATE reports, indicating potential volatility in trading activity as traders anticipate the economic data release.

According to André Dragosch, PhD, today's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release is potentially one of the most significant in a long time, with consensus expecting an increase of +137k jobs. Dragosch highlights that the risks are clearly to the downside, which may impact cryptocurrency markets as investors reassess risk levels and liquidity conditions. This data could influence Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies due to its implications on economic health and potential monetary policy adjustments. Source: André Dragosch's Twitter.

According to CrypNuevo, the latest significant observation in the lower time frames (LTF) is the appearance of a new wick to the downside, which suggests a high probability of it being filled soon. The challenge lies in predicting the market's reaction to this movement, especially with the upcoming release of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which is critical for assessing labor market conditions. Traders should closely monitor these developments for potential market shifts.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), the BTC order book on Binance shows a setup that could dampen volatility ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) reports. The analysis suggests that liquidity levels are key to understanding potential market movements, with higher liquidity typically reducing price volatility.

According to Cas Abbé, $NFP is exhibiting a breakout from a giant falling wedge pattern. The 2D RSI breakout suggests potential upward price movement. As noted, NFP's utility in staking and governance contributes to consistent demand, with a target price of $0.5 by April 2025. Source: Twitter (@cas_abbe).

According to Keith Alan, there is a significant divergence between the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data and the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) and Participation Rate, which raises concerns about data accuracy and suggests potential revisions. Traders should be cautious as these inconsistencies might impact market expectations and trading strategies. Alan describes the current data as a 'joke,' indicating dissatisfaction with the reports presented.

According to Omkar Godbole, the post-NFP reaction for Bitcoin has established a price range of $98.2K to $97.2K, which is considered a no trade zone at the moment, indicating limited trading opportunities within this range.

According to Greeks.live, the upcoming weeks are packed with significant events that could influence cryptocurrency markets. The final week of tax selling strategies for the years 2024 and 2025 is approaching. This will be followed by the release of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. Additionally, the United States presidential inauguration is scheduled, making January a month full of potential market-moving events. Traders should be aware of these developments as they could lead to increased volatility and trading opportunities.

According to Greeks.live, the upcoming week will be crucial for traders as it marks the final week of tax selling strategies for the years 2024 and 2025. This will be followed by significant economic indicators such as the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Additionally, the US presidential inauguration is scheduled, making January a month packed with events that could influence the cryptocurrency markets. The tweet also suggests a potential discussion on these topics via a Twitter Spaces session.

According to GreeksLive, three traders who held long put options were able to profit significantly during the recent Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report release. This indicates a successful bearish bet on the market's reaction to the economic data.