According to @ReetikaTrades, stocks and gold are rising while crypto underperforms, highlighting a cross-asset divergence that can shape near-term flows in BTC and ETH, source: Reetika (@ReetikaTrades). Empirically, Bitcoin’s correlation with equities has been positive in recent cycles, so sustained equity strength can later spill into crypto when risk appetite broadens, though correlations can break during stress, source: International Monetary Fund 2022; Bank for International Settlements 2022. When gold and stocks advance together, it often reflects liquidity plus hedging demand, and momentum effects can persist across assets, source: Baur and Lucey 2010; Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen 2012. Traders can monitor BTC dominance and the ETH/BTC spread for rotation signals, and track funding rates and CME futures basis for evidence of leverage returning to crypto, source: TradingView; CoinMarketCap; CME Group.

According to @cas_abbe, Bitcoin BTC has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, with the author comparing it to April and June breakouts that preceded a new all-time high and implying a bullish continuation bias if the breakout holds, source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 15, 2025. @cas_abbe also notes fresh highs in Gold and the S&P 500 as supportive macro context for BTC upside but provides no specific price targets, timeframes, or invalidation levels, source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 15, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, since 1975 there have been only six instances where the S&P 500 rose 30% or more over five months, and 2025 is one of them. Source: @KobeissiLetter; Carson Research via @KobeissiLetter. In those prior cases, the S&P 500 finished higher at both six and twelve months, with an average 12‑month gain of 18.1%. Source: Carson Research via @KobeissiLetter. The post adds that the Federal Reserve is about to begin cutting rates as the AI cycle accelerates, framing a pro‑risk backdrop. Source: @KobeissiLetter. For traders, this macro setup is being monitored as a potential tailwind for liquidity and risk appetite across equities and crypto markets. Source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to @rovercrc, the U.S. stock market has reached a new all-time high, shared on X on Sep 12, 2025 (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 12, 2025). This headline is not yet corroborated by official index providers or exchange data, so traders should confirm with S&P Dow Jones Indices or Nasdaq before executing equity-crypto correlation trades (source: S&P Dow Jones Indices; Nasdaq). If confirmed, monitor BTC and ETH alongside equity strength using correlation metrics from institutional data providers such as Kaiko and Coin Metrics to time entries and manage risk (source: Kaiko Research; Coin Metrics).

According to @EricBalchunas, he wagered on ETF IQ that U.S. small caps will lag large caps through year-end 2025, signaling a bearish small-cap versus large-cap relative view. Source: @EricBalchunas on X, Sep 8, 2025. This view maps to favoring S&P 500 large-cap exposure over Russell 2000 small-cap exposure, typically tracked via SPY versus IWM for relative performance. Source: State Street Global Advisors, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fund description; iShares, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) fund description. Crypto traders should note that Bitcoin has shown periods of elevated correlation with U.S. equities since 2020, making equity leadership trends a relevant risk indicator for digital assets. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022.

According to @rovercrc, Michael Saylor hinted at a potential S&P 500 inclusion for MicroStrategy (MSTR) in a post on X. Per S&P Dow Jones Indices’ S&P U.S. Indices Methodology, S&P 500 additions are determined by the Index Committee and only take effect after an official S&P DJI announcement. S&P Dow Jones Indices states that eligibility includes market capitalization, liquidity, public float thresholds, U.S. domicile, and a record of positive GAAP earnings over recent quarters. According to MicroStrategy’s annual report, Bitcoin is the company’s primary treasury reserve asset, linking MSTR’s fundamentals to BTC on its balance sheet. If inclusion occurs, index-tracking funds replicate changes by purchasing the added stock, per S&P Dow Jones Indices’ index implementation practices, which would extend indirect BTC exposure into those passive portfolios given MicroStrategy’s disclosed Bitcoin strategy. Traders should await confirmation via S&P Dow Jones Indices’ official index announcements and MicroStrategy’s investor relations disclosures before positioning, per S&P Dow Jones Indices’ communications on index changes and MicroStrategy’s reporting practices.

According to @Ultra_Calls, SPY put options moved from 0.24 to above 1.50 for roughly a 500% intraday gain on Sep 6, 2025, source: @Ultra_Calls on X, Sep 6, 2025. According to @Ultra_Calls, the trader will post the next big options trade publicly following this SPY put win, source: @Ultra_Calls on X, Sep 6, 2025.

According to Eric Balchunas, several major stocks such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Tesla (TSLA) had their S&P 500 admissions delayed by the Index Committee, and he calls for a comprehensive list of all such delayed entrants for analysis; source: Eric Balchunas, X, Sep 5, 2025. According to Eric Balchunas, he proposes constructing a backtest basket of these delayed entrants and comparing its historical performance against SPX to evaluate any index-inclusion delay effects that could be trade-relevant; source: Eric Balchunas, X, Sep 5, 2025. According to Eric Balchunas, the post does not provide performance results or discuss cryptocurrency market implications; source: Eric Balchunas, X, Sep 5, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, Robinhood stock (HOOD) surged nearly 10 percent on news it will be added to the S&P 500, reported on Sep 5, 2025 (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @EricBalchunas, MicroStrategy ($MSTR) was not admitted to the S&P 500 despite meeting criteria because the S&P Index Committee declined the addition (source: Eric Balchunas on X, Sep 5, 2025). The S&P Dow Jones Indices methodology confirms the S&P 500 is selected by a committee with discretion to deviate from mechanical rules, effectively making SPX an actively chosen basket within stated guidelines (source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, S&P U.S. Indices Methodology). Without inclusion, S&P 500 index-tracking funds will not purchase MSTR as part of routine rebalancing, limiting automatic passive inflows relative to an inclusion scenario (source: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF IVV, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOO prospectuses). S&P Dow Jones Indices notes that trillions of dollars are indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500, so committee decisions can materially influence demand and liquidity for would-be constituents (source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, S&P 500 benchmarked assets disclosures). Given MicroStrategy states it holds bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset, traders often treat MSTR as a high-beta proxy for BTC; exclusion means SPX-linked passive portfolios will not gain that direct BTC-sensitive exposure via MSTR (source: MicroStrategy Form 10-K and investor relations; S&P Dow Jones Indices methodology).

According to Santiment, Bitcoin’s market value has dropped 5.9% since Aug 22 while the S&P 500 is up 0.4% and gold is up 5.5% over the same period, source: Santiment on X Sep 4 2025 and app.santiment.net/s/3Y7dSZez. Santiment states that since early 2022 cryptocurrencies have shown elevated correlation with equities as institutions added exposure alongside stocks, source: Santiment on X Sep 4 2025. In such two-week divergences, Santiment expects Bitcoin and altcoins to have a high probability of playing catch-up after trailing broader market trends for a sustained period, source: Santiment on X Sep 4 2025 and app.santiment.net/s/3Y7dSZez. Santiment adds that a larger gap between equities and BTC strengthens the case for an upcoming crypto bounce and recommends monitoring the correlation via its chart, source: Santiment on X Sep 4 2025 and app.santiment.net/s/3Y7dSZez.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the U.S. stock market finished the last trading day of both the week and the month in the red, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Aug 29, 2025. This risk-off month-end close is a primary input traders can use to gauge near-term sentiment across risk assets including BTC and ETH, source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Aug 29, 2025.

According to Miles Deutscher, the S&P 500 is setting new highs while BTC retraces, a divergence he says is not unusual after BTC front-ran and became relatively overextended (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 29, 2025). He notes that a move back toward parity makes sense, framing BTC’s decline as mean reversion rather than a structural breakdown (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 29, 2025). He further states that stocks making fresh highs are bullish for the overall business cycle, underscoring a constructive macro backdrop even amid BTC’s pullback (source: Miles Deutscher on X, Aug 29, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, 75 percent of stocks in three of four major cyclical sectors are now trading above their 200-day moving averages, based on SentimenTrader data cited by @KobeissiLetter. In every historical instance since 1953 when this breadth condition occurred, the S&P 500 posted strong gains over the following 12 months, according to SentimenTrader as referenced by @KobeissiLetter. Crypto market participants may track this equity breadth signal as a macro risk-on indicator for BTC and ETH sentiment, with the underlying breadth statistics sourced to SentimenTrader via @KobeissiLetter.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the S&P 500 index (SPX) closed above 6,500 for the first time ever on August 28, 2025, marking a new all-time closing high for the benchmark (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Aug 28, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, last week’s alert called for a higher low near 6400 on the S&P 500 with a subsequent push to 6500+, and they reiterate that the technicals remain clear, source: The Kobeissi Letter post dated August 28, 2025. For crypto positioning, the International Monetary Fund reported rising correlation between Bitcoin and U.S. equities since 2020, making equity momentum signals relevant for BTC and ETH risk management, source: International Monetary Fund analysis on crypto stock correlation in 2022. Key levels to monitor are 6400 as higher low support and 6500+ as the upside area on the S&P 500, source: The Kobeissi Letter post dated August 28, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the U.S. stock market opened slightly green today. Source: @StockMKTNewz. This matters for crypto because Bitcoin BTC and U.S. equities have exhibited elevated positive correlation since 2020, increasing cross-market risk transmission. Sources: IMF Global Financial Stability Note (October 2022); BIS Bulletin (2022). In correlated regimes, BTC and ETH often move in the same direction as major U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq during risk-on sessions, making equity direction relevant for short-term crypto positioning. Sources: IMF 2022; BIS 2022.

According to @KobeissiLetter, an intraday alert called for a move back to 6500+ in the S&P 500 on an imminent higher low, with reported long positions up roughly 100 points in under one hour; Source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Aug 22, 2025. For crypto traders, a risk-on spike in U.S. equities can coincide with higher beta in BTC and ETH given documented stock–crypto return correlations since 2020; Source: IMF Research, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022.

According to @StockMKTNewz, the S&P 500 closed lower for the fourth consecutive trading day on August 20, 2025 (source: @StockMKTNewz). IMF research shows the Bitcoin–S&P 500 return correlation climbed to about 0.36 during 2020–2021 from near zero pre‑pandemic, increasing the likelihood that equity risk-off episodes transmit to crypto assets such as BTC and ETH (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, 2022). BIS analysis similarly documents stronger co-movement between crypto and tech equities during market stress, underscoring spillover risk when U.S. stocks extend losing streaks (source: BIS Bulletin, Crypto shocks and real economy, 2022).

According to @StockMKTNewz, the Magnificent 7 started today’s U.S. session trading in the red, signaling a synchronized negative open across mega-cap tech leaders that traders use for early momentum and breadth reads (source: X post by @StockMKTNewz, Aug 20, 2025). The group’s moves exert outsized influence on cap-weighted indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, making a red open a potential headwind for index-level price action and related futures at the open (source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2023 research on Magnificent Seven concentration). With documented periods of stronger stock–crypto correlations, crypto traders often monitor BTC and ETH for sentiment spillover on tech-led risk-off opens (source: International Monetary Fund, 2022, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks).