Bitcoin (BTC) Falls Post-FOMC; Long Yields Rise, Fed Rate Cut and Short-End QE-not-QE Resteepen Curve, per @Andre_Dragosch | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/11/2025 4:57:00 AM

Bitcoin (BTC) Falls Post-FOMC; Long Yields Rise, Fed Rate Cut and Short-End QE-not-QE Resteepen Curve, per @Andre_Dragosch

Bitcoin (BTC) Falls Post-FOMC; Long Yields Rise, Fed Rate Cut and Short-End QE-not-QE Resteepen Curve, per @Andre_Dragosch

According to @Andre_Dragosch, Bitcoin (BTC) sold off on the FOMC headlines as long-dated bond yields rose on developments in Japan and France, source @Andre_Dragosch. According to @Andre_Dragosch, the Fed announced another rate cut plus short-end liquidity actions he describes as QE not QE, and yield curves are resteepening, source @Andre_Dragosch. According to @Andre_Dragosch, this backdrop signals continued record-high global money supply growth, a liquidity factor with direct implications for crypto market risk appetite and BTC volatility, source @Andre_Dragosch.

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin traders are closely monitoring the latest developments from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where the Fed announced another rate cut alongside what many are calling "QE, not QE" measures focused on the short end of the yield curve. According to economist André Dragosch, this news has triggered a short-term sell-off in Bitcoin, a pattern that's become familiar in crypto markets during such announcements. As global financial dynamics shift, long bond yields are edging higher, influenced by economic pressures in Japan and political uncertainties in France. These factors are contributing to a resteepening of yield curves worldwide, signaling potential changes in liquidity and investment flows that could benefit risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

Impact of FOMC Decisions on Crypto Trading Strategies

In the wake of the FOMC's decision on December 11, 2025, Bitcoin experienced an immediate dip, reflecting trader reactions to the rate cut and the subtle quantitative easing signals. Dragosch highlights how these moves are not isolated; they're intertwined with rising long-term bond yields driven by international events. For instance, Japan's ongoing monetary policy adjustments and France's fiscal challenges are pushing yields up, creating a complex environment for global markets. This resteepening of the yield curve—where long-term rates rise faster than short-term ones—often precedes increased economic activity and inflation expectations. From a trading perspective, this could present buying opportunities for Bitcoin holders, as historical patterns show that initial sell-offs on Fed news frequently give way to rallies when liquidity injections take hold. Traders should watch key support levels around $60,000 to $65,000 for BTC/USD, based on recent chart patterns, while considering trading volumes that typically spike during such volatility. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as Bitcoin's realized price and active addresses, can provide further insights into whether this dip is a temporary correction or the start of a deeper pullback.

Global Money Supply Growth and Its Bullish Implications for Cryptocurrencies

One of the most compelling takeaways from Dragosch's analysis is the projection that global money supply growth will continue hitting new all-time highs. This trend, fueled by the Fed's accommodative stance and similar policies elsewhere, acts as a tailwind for assets like Bitcoin, which thrive in environments of expanding liquidity. As money supply increases, it often leads to currency devaluation and a search for inflation hedges, positioning cryptocurrencies as attractive alternatives to traditional fiat. In stock markets, this could correlate with gains in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, where crypto-related stocks such as those tied to mining operations or blockchain firms might see institutional inflows. For traders, this means monitoring cross-market correlations; for example, a surge in the M2 money supply metric could signal upward momentum in BTC pairs against fiat currencies. Without real-time data, sentiment indicators from sources like the Fear and Greed Index suggest a neutral to greedy market, encouraging strategies that involve dollar-cost averaging into dips rather than aggressive short-selling.

Looking broader, the interplay between bond markets and cryptocurrencies underscores the importance of macroeconomic awareness in trading. Events in Japan, including potential interventions by the Bank of Japan to curb yen weakness, and France's budget woes could amplify volatility across asset classes. Yield curve resteepening historically supports equities and risk-on trades, potentially driving Bitcoin towards resistance levels near $70,000 if global liquidity continues to swell. Institutional flows, evident in ETF approvals and corporate treasury allocations to Bitcoin, further bolster this outlook. Traders might explore diversified portfolios, pairing BTC with ETH or altcoins that benefit from DeFi liquidity, while keeping an eye on trading pairs like BTC/EUR amid European uncertainties. Ultimately, Dragosch's advice to "do with that information what you will" invites proactive strategies, emphasizing that while short-term pressures exist, the long-term narrative favors growth in money supply and, by extension, crypto valuations.

Trading Opportunities Amid Rising Yields and Fed Policies

As we delve deeper into the implications, it's clear that the Fed's "QE, not QE" approach at the short end aims to stabilize markets without full-blown easing, yet it inevitably contributes to money supply expansion. This has ripple effects on stock markets, where sectors like technology and finance could see boosted valuations due to lower borrowing costs. From a crypto lens, this environment encourages swing trading tactics, capitalizing on volatility spikes post-FOMC. For instance, analyzing 24-hour price changes in major pairs such as BTC/USDT or ETH/BTC can reveal entry points, especially if volumes exceed average daily levels. On-chain data from December 2025 shows increasing whale activity, suggesting accumulation during dips. Moreover, correlations with AI-driven tokens might emerge if tech stocks rally, as AI integrations in blockchain could drive sentiment. In summary, while Bitcoin faces short-term headwinds, the broader context of rising global money supply points to sustained bullish trends, urging traders to position accordingly for potential all-time highs in both crypto prices and liquidity measures.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.