According to the source, traders should focus on USD liquidity mechanics rather than headlines: when the Treasury General Account rises and the Fed’s ON RRP absorbs cash, bank reserves decline and financial conditions tighten, a backdrop that has historically pressured risk assets including BTC and ETH. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances; Federal Reserve Bank of New York, System Open Market Account data. A divided FOMC raises uncertainty about the rate path, which can lift real yields and the dollar—both typically negative for crypto returns via tighter financial conditions. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, FOMC minutes; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, National Financial Conditions Index. Even if QT slows or ends, Treasury refunding and TGA rebuild phases can temporarily drain private-sector liquidity and offset easing impulses, sustaining pressure on risk assets. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Quarterly Refunding Announcement; Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee minutes. Crypto-native liquidity also matters: declines in aggregate stablecoin market value reduce spot buying power and often coincide with weaker crypto spot demand. Source: Federal Reserve, Financial Stability Report (stablecoin section); Coin Metrics, Stablecoin Supply data. For trading, monitor DXY, 10-year TIPS real yield, weekly changes in ON RRP/TGA, and net stablecoin issuance; improvements in these indicators have aligned with stronger crypto performance during prior cycles. Source: ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) methodology; U.S. Treasury Daily/Monthly Statements; Federal Reserve H.4.1; Coin Metrics; IMF Global Financial Stability Note on crypto-equity correlations.

According to @Ashcryptoreal, BTC has traded sideways on the daily chart since June and has dropped after each of the past four FOMC meetings, a pattern that appears to be repeating now (source: @Ashcryptoreal, Oct 30, 2025). According to @Ashcryptoreal, this could be the final post-FOMC shakeout before the next major move in Bitcoin (source: @Ashcryptoreal, Oct 30, 2025).

According to Santiment, the firm asked its audience how a 25bps US Fed rate cut on Wednesday will impact crypto markets, signaling active sentiment tracking around this macro catalyst (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025). According to Santiment, the post frames the policy move’s relevance for traders assessing near-term volatility and price direction in BTC and ETH (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025). According to Santiment, this crowd-sentiment read can inform positioning for crypto market reaction around the rate decision window (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025).

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the prudent trade is to stay flat through FOMC day with no leverage due to anticipated chop within the current range, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, majors remain too low in the present range and traders should hold existing positions and prioritize spot accumulation rather than leveraged exposure, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, a new BTC all-time high is expected in Q4, but the market is likely to shake out participants with volatility before it materializes, so patience and discipline are essential, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 fell nearly 1% from its intraday high after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December rate cut is "far from" certain, triggering a risk-off move in U.S. equities (source: @KobeissiLetter). For traders, the update signals reduced confidence in near-term easing into December, a macro headwind that desks are watching across equity futures and volatility gauges (source: @KobeissiLetter). Crypto market participants tracking macro-driven risk sentiment can monitor cross-asset volatility for spillover effects from the Fed outlook shift (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Federal Reserve will stop quantitative tightening from December 1 and the source frames this as bullish for altcoins, with the post published on Oct 29, 2025. Source: @BullTheoryio on X. Traders should seek confirmation via official FOMC statements and the New York Fed’s System Open Market Account operating schedule, which detail balance sheet policy decisions and implementation. Source: FederalReserve.gov; Federal Reserve Board; Federal Reserve Bank of New York Markets. For context, the FOMC voted on May 1, 2024 to slow the pace of balance-sheet runoff starting June 2024 by reducing Treasury redemption caps, altering the expected path of reserve balances versus prior QT. Source: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement, May 1, 2024; Federal Reserve H.4.1 Statistical Release. If confirmed, a QT stop would mechanically halt SOMA portfolio runoff and is consistent with stabilizing reserve balances relative to continuing QT; crypto traders can monitor H.4.1 reserve balances, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), 2Y U.S. Treasury yields, and stablecoin net issuance for liquidity cues. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York SOMA; Federal Reserve H.4.1; ICE Data Indices DXY; U.S. Department of the Treasury; Coin Metrics network data. Positioning per the source’s bullish-alt view: watch ETH/BTC relative strength, total altcoin market cap ex-BTC, and perpetual funding rates around any official announcement window. Source: @BullTheoryio on X; TradingView market aggregates; Binance Futures data.

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 basis points and the move is framed as long-term bullish for markets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio on X on Oct 29, 2025. For trading, confirm the decision via the Federal Reserve’s official statement and press conference before positioning, then monitor BTC and ETH for potential risk-on follow-through tied to easier policy, source: @BullTheoryio on X and Federal Reserve Board official communications.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts order book heatmaps show whales buying dips in BTC and ETH ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision announcement, indicating real-time accumulation on pullbacks (source: @MI_Algos on X, Oct 29, 2025). Based on @MI_Algos' FireCharts data, concentrated bid liquidity below spot can serve as reference zones for intraday risk management into the FOMC window, with traders watching shifts in bid/ask walls and absorption to gauge BTC and ETH direction as headlines hit (source: @MI_Algos).

According to @CryptoMichNL, crypto is pulling back in a typical pre-FOMC risk-off move, with BTC and altcoins trending lower, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477. He advises avoiding leverage into tonight’s FOMC due to likely whipsaws and fake moves before the real trend emerges, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477. He adds that a Fed rate cut combined with stopping quantitative tightening would be extremely bullish for risk-on assets including BTC, citing the recent gold correction as evidence of a shifting regime, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the author asked the market for expectations going into the FOMC and whether the event will provide enough fuel for Bitcoin (BTC) and Altcoins to surge. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. The post underscores trader focus on the FOMC as a potential near-term catalyst for crypto price action and liquidity. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. No specific price targets, timeframes, or forecasts were provided by the author. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, markets are bouncing back swiftly this morning, source: @CryptoMichNL. He notes that elections are being held today in the Netherlands and suggests the outcome could be a surprise, source: @CryptoMichNL. He also links Bitcoin (BTC) performance to the FOMC timing and hints that an up only phase could start after today, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the latest dip is a standard pre-FOMC correction rather than a structural breakdown, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025). He states Bitcoin (BTC) is holding above the crucial $112K level and looking for support, which he expects to hold, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025). He expects the uptrend to continue after this test, making $112K the key level for traders to monitor into the FOMC event, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding gains after a strong breakout with a slight retest, which he notes is typical pre-FOMC price action; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 28, 2025. He adds that BTC may be bottoming today with an uptrend likely through the remainder of the week; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 28, 2025.

According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing a 97.8% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at this Wednesday's FOMC decision; source: CME Group FedWatch Tool. According to the Federal Reserve's published meeting schedule, the policy statement and press conference are set for Wednesday, a timing that typically concentrates event risk for rate-sensitive assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to the Federal Reserve's policy implementation framework, a 25 bps cut reduces the target federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points, filtering through to short-term funding costs that traders monitor for positioning across risk assets; source: Federal Reserve Board. According to CME Group product documentation, BTC and ETH futures and options offer liquidity to hedge and express views around macro policy outcomes, making FOMC days focal for crypto derivatives activity; source: CME Group. According to ICE's U.S. Dollar Index methodology, DXY is a key USD benchmark that traders reference when valuing BTC/USD and ETH/USD during rate decisions, linking policy moves to crypto-dollar pair pricing; source: ICE

According to @CryptoMichNL, as the FOMC approaches, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to see a pre-FOMC correction with a potential retest of the $112,000 area. According to @CryptoMichNL, a successful retest of $112,000 would be constructive and could precede a move to a new all-time high. According to @CryptoMichNL, the near-term setup centers on FOMC timing and whether $112,000 holds as support.

According to @santimentfeed, Bitcoin BTC briefly eclipsed 116,000 dollars and Ethereum ETH moved above 4,240 dollars, with both hitting two-week highs on a bullish Monday. Source: Santiment @santimentfeed, Oct 27, 2025. According to @santimentfeed, the positive momentum aligns with FOMC meetings starting tomorrow and trader optimism around Trump’s Crypto Advisory Board, indicating a risk-on tone in crypto markets. Source: Santiment @santimentfeed, Oct 27, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, gold fell about 10% in a single week after a roughly 70% one-year rally, implying elevated volatility at current levels (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, gold still trades approximately 30-40% above its 20-month moving average, a stretch he notes was last seen during the 1970s run (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, a further 20% pullback could occur while the long-term uptrend remains intact and closer to fair value (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, for crypto traders the signal to watch is gold’s decline stalling, which in the last cycle preceded rotation into altcoins and broader risk-on (source: @CryptoMichNL). According to @CryptoMichNL, gold weakness into FOMC suggests improving risk appetite, with stock indices at all-time highs and the view that BTC could be on track for a new ATH in time (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 finished the week at a new all-time high, the 34th record close of the year, highlighting easy financial conditions even as inflation rises; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025. According to @charliebilello, he expects the Federal Reserve to cut the Fed Funds Rate again this week to a 3.75-4.00% target range, positioning policy more dovish into the upcoming decision; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025. For crypto-focused portfolios, traders are likely to treat the FOMC decision as a key macro catalyst and monitor volatility in liquidity-sensitive assets like BTC and ETH around the announcement window; source: @charliebilello on X, Oct 26, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is facing a crucial resistance zone, so he expects limited price movement around the CPI release based on his Oct 24, 2025 market update on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, he anticipates a potential breakout next week if the FOMC ends quantitative tightening and begins rate cuts, per the same source. According to @CryptoMichNL, a potential US government shutdown could add to market volatility and act as a catalyst, as stated in his Oct 24, 2025 commentary.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC has moved sideways between $100K and $120K for nearly six months, keeping price action choppy until fresh macro data such as CPI and the upcoming Fed meeting provide direction, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He highlights $112K as a crucial resistance; a decisive break above that level could signal renewed strength and the next volatile leg higher, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He frames a bullish bias around potential FOMC-driven rate cuts, adjusted monetary policy, and an improving business cycle expected to start later this quarter, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He argues BTC around $110K is not expensive versus 2021 when BTC was $69K with zero rates, while current rates are about 4%-4.5%, implying room for upside if rates decline, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). Trading takeaway: monitor CPI and FOMC guidance for confirmation and watch for a daily close above $112K to validate breakout momentum within the $100K-$120K range, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025).