According to @cas_abbe, December FOMC rate cut odds nearly doubled today after a New York Fed governor stated that current policy remains restrictive (source: @cas_abbe). According to @cas_abbe, despite the surge in odds, he expects no December rate cut because there will be no October jobs data available to guide the decision (source: @cas_abbe).

According to CoinMarketCap, crypto market fear is rising as Federal Reserve rate cut odds have crashed, highlighting a potential no-cut December scenario for traders to watch, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025. According to CoinMarketCap, community creators Doodles and Sasha_why_N are posting real-time reactions on the CoinMarketCap Community page, offering intraday sentiment signals for market participants, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025. According to CoinMarketCap, the dedicated Community topic provides ongoing updates that traders can monitor for volatility cues into the December FOMC window, source: CoinMarketCap Community, linked by CoinMarketCap on X, Nov 13, 2025.

According to @WhiteHouse, the administration stated that President Trump is making America more affordable, signaling a focus on cost-of-living issues for households and businesses (source: @WhiteHouse). The post includes no specific policy actions, timelines, or economic statistics, offering no immediate, tradeable datapoints by itself (source: @WhiteHouse). Traders assessing affordability should anchor on official inflation releases such as CPI and PPI from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the PCE price index from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis to gauge macro impact and risk sentiment (sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis). Rate decisions and guidance that influence risk appetite across crypto and equities, including BTC and ETH, are set by the Federal Reserve’s FOMC and communicated via policy statements and projections (source: Federal Reserve).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Atlanta Fed President Bostic announced he plans to retire at the end of his current term on February 28, 2026; the update includes no additional policy or succession details. source: @StockMKTNewz

According to the source, BTC traders are focused on this week’s U.S. CPI because the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the index at 8:30 a.m. ET on its official schedule and CPI prints are among the most market-moving macro data, source: BLS CPI calendar https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm. CPI surprises versus expectations can rapidly shift market-implied probabilities for the next FOMC meeting, as tracked in real time by the CME FedWatch Tool, which often triggers cross-asset repositioning that spills into crypto, source: CME FedWatch Tool https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html. Within CPI, core inflation and shelter carry outsized influence because shelter has the largest weight in the basket, making sticky shelter a key risk to rate-cut timelines that risk assets monitor, source: BLS CPI relative importance tables https://www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/relative-importance/home.htm. Given the documented rise in co-movement between crypto and U.S. equities, especially during macro shocks, BTC can mirror stock reactions to inflation surprises, so traders watch S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures into the print, source: IMF research blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks https://blogs.imf.org/en/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks/. Options markets also price event risk; BTC implied volatility typically adjusts into and immediately after CPI, and many use listed crypto options for hedging directional exposure around the release, source: Deribit Insights overview and DVOL resources https://insights.deribit.com and Deribit options marketplace https://www.deribit.com. Futures traders monitor basis and liquidity on CME Bitcoin futures to gauge institutional positioning and potential gap risk around the headline, source: CME Bitcoin futures product page https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/cryptocurrencies/bitcoin/bitcoin.html.

According to @StockMarketNerd, a 50 bps rate cut would signal Federal Reserve panic and heighten market anxiety, making a smaller 25 bps cut the preferable outcome for stability, as stated on X on Nov 10, 2025 (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025). For trading, this view points to risk-off reactions if a 50 bps cut arrives as a surprise and relatively steadier pricing around a 25 bps move, with potential spillover to BTC and ETH given their increased correlation with equities documented by the IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022 (sources: @StockMarketNerd on X, Nov 10, 2025; IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2022).

According to Crypto Rover, a return of quantitative easing could trigger an outsized rally in altcoins, stating that once QE returns, altcoins will go ballistic. Source: Crypto Rover on X https://twitter.com/cryptorover/status/1987248005100290050. For confirmation, traders should watch for renewed asset purchases or balance sheet expansion in the Federal Reserve H.4.1 release and FOMC communications. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System H.4.1 statistical release and FOMC statements. Liquidity proxies to track include M2 money stock acceleration and central bank balance sheet growth alongside crypto market breadth and dominance shifts. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data for M2 and Board of Governors balance sheet data; CoinGecko global crypto market data. Historically, the 2020-2021 QE phase coincided with strong crypto performance, underscoring altcoins sensitivity to liquidity while not guaranteeing future results. Source: Board of Governors balance sheet series and CoinGecko historical price data. Until an official QE program is announced by a major central bank, the thesis remains conditional rather than a confirmed trading signal. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System policy communications.

According to the source, traders should focus on USD liquidity mechanics rather than headlines: when the Treasury General Account rises and the Fed’s ON RRP absorbs cash, bank reserves decline and financial conditions tighten, a backdrop that has historically pressured risk assets including BTC and ETH. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances; Federal Reserve Bank of New York, System Open Market Account data. A divided FOMC raises uncertainty about the rate path, which can lift real yields and the dollar—both typically negative for crypto returns via tighter financial conditions. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, FOMC minutes; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, National Financial Conditions Index. Even if QT slows or ends, Treasury refunding and TGA rebuild phases can temporarily drain private-sector liquidity and offset easing impulses, sustaining pressure on risk assets. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Quarterly Refunding Announcement; Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee minutes. Crypto-native liquidity also matters: declines in aggregate stablecoin market value reduce spot buying power and often coincide with weaker crypto spot demand. Source: Federal Reserve, Financial Stability Report (stablecoin section); Coin Metrics, Stablecoin Supply data. For trading, monitor DXY, 10-year TIPS real yield, weekly changes in ON RRP/TGA, and net stablecoin issuance; improvements in these indicators have aligned with stronger crypto performance during prior cycles. Source: ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) methodology; U.S. Treasury Daily/Monthly Statements; Federal Reserve H.4.1; Coin Metrics; IMF Global Financial Stability Note on crypto-equity correlations.

According to @Ashcryptoreal, BTC has traded sideways on the daily chart since June and has dropped after each of the past four FOMC meetings, a pattern that appears to be repeating now (source: @Ashcryptoreal, Oct 30, 2025). According to @Ashcryptoreal, this could be the final post-FOMC shakeout before the next major move in Bitcoin (source: @Ashcryptoreal, Oct 30, 2025).

According to Santiment, the firm asked its audience how a 25bps US Fed rate cut on Wednesday will impact crypto markets, signaling active sentiment tracking around this macro catalyst (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025). According to Santiment, the post frames the policy move’s relevance for traders assessing near-term volatility and price direction in BTC and ETH (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025). According to Santiment, this crowd-sentiment read can inform positioning for crypto market reaction around the rate decision window (Source: Santiment on X, Oct 30, 2025).

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the prudent trade is to stay flat through FOMC day with no leverage due to anticipated chop within the current range, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, majors remain too low in the present range and traders should hold existing positions and prioritize spot accumulation rather than leveraged exposure, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025. According to @KookCapitalLLC, a new BTC all-time high is expected in Q4, but the market is likely to shake out participants with volatility before it materializes, so patience and discipline are essential, source: @KookCapitalLLC on X, Oct 29, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the S&P 500 fell nearly 1% from its intraday high after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said a December rate cut is "far from" certain, triggering a risk-off move in U.S. equities (source: @KobeissiLetter). For traders, the update signals reduced confidence in near-term easing into December, a macro headwind that desks are watching across equity futures and volatility gauges (source: @KobeissiLetter). Crypto market participants tracking macro-driven risk sentiment can monitor cross-asset volatility for spillover effects from the Fed outlook shift (source: @KobeissiLetter).

According to @BullTheoryio, the US Federal Reserve will stop quantitative tightening from December 1 and the source frames this as bullish for altcoins, with the post published on Oct 29, 2025. Source: @BullTheoryio on X. Traders should seek confirmation via official FOMC statements and the New York Fed’s System Open Market Account operating schedule, which detail balance sheet policy decisions and implementation. Source: FederalReserve.gov; Federal Reserve Board; Federal Reserve Bank of New York Markets. For context, the FOMC voted on May 1, 2024 to slow the pace of balance-sheet runoff starting June 2024 by reducing Treasury redemption caps, altering the expected path of reserve balances versus prior QT. Source: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement, May 1, 2024; Federal Reserve H.4.1 Statistical Release. If confirmed, a QT stop would mechanically halt SOMA portfolio runoff and is consistent with stabilizing reserve balances relative to continuing QT; crypto traders can monitor H.4.1 reserve balances, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), 2Y U.S. Treasury yields, and stablecoin net issuance for liquidity cues. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York SOMA; Federal Reserve H.4.1; ICE Data Indices DXY; U.S. Department of the Treasury; Coin Metrics network data. Positioning per the source’s bullish-alt view: watch ETH/BTC relative strength, total altcoin market cap ex-BTC, and perpetual funding rates around any official announcement window. Source: @BullTheoryio on X; TradingView market aggregates; Binance Futures data.

According to @BullTheoryio, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the policy rate by 25 basis points and the move is framed as long-term bullish for markets including crypto, source: @BullTheoryio on X on Oct 29, 2025. For trading, confirm the decision via the Federal Reserve’s official statement and press conference before positioning, then monitor BTC and ETH for potential risk-on follow-through tied to easier policy, source: @BullTheoryio on X and Federal Reserve Board official communications.

According to @MI_Algos, FireCharts order book heatmaps show whales buying dips in BTC and ETH ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision announcement, indicating real-time accumulation on pullbacks (source: @MI_Algos on X, Oct 29, 2025). Based on @MI_Algos' FireCharts data, concentrated bid liquidity below spot can serve as reference zones for intraday risk management into the FOMC window, with traders watching shifts in bid/ask walls and absorption to gauge BTC and ETH direction as headlines hit (source: @MI_Algos).

According to @CryptoMichNL, crypto is pulling back in a typical pre-FOMC risk-off move, with BTC and altcoins trending lower, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477. He advises avoiding leverage into tonight’s FOMC due to likely whipsaws and fake moves before the real trend emerges, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477. He adds that a Fed rate cut combined with stopping quantitative tightening would be extremely bullish for risk-on assets including BTC, citing the recent gold correction as evidence of a shifting regime, source: @CryptoMichNL on X - https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1983563900701274477.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the author asked the market for expectations going into the FOMC and whether the event will provide enough fuel for Bitcoin (BTC) and Altcoins to surge. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. The post underscores trader focus on the FOMC as a potential near-term catalyst for crypto price action and liquidity. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025. No specific price targets, timeframes, or forecasts were provided by the author. Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 29, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, markets are bouncing back swiftly this morning, source: @CryptoMichNL. He notes that elections are being held today in the Netherlands and suggests the outcome could be a surprise, source: @CryptoMichNL. He also links Bitcoin (BTC) performance to the FOMC timing and hints that an up only phase could start after today, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the latest dip is a standard pre-FOMC correction rather than a structural breakdown, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025). He states Bitcoin (BTC) is holding above the crucial $112K level and looking for support, which he expects to hold, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025). He expects the uptrend to continue after this test, making $112K the key level for traders to monitor into the FOMC event, source: @CryptoMichNL on X (Oct 28, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding gains after a strong breakout with a slight retest, which he notes is typical pre-FOMC price action; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 28, 2025. He adds that BTC may be bottoming today with an uptrend likely through the remainder of the week; source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Oct 28, 2025.