According to @WatcherGuru, crypto prediction platform Polymarket is pricing a 90% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month, source: Polymarket. A rate cut lowers the target federal funds rate and eases financial conditions by reducing borrowing costs, a transmission channel the Federal Reserve outlines that can influence risk appetite and market liquidity relevant to BTC and ETH, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

According to the source, Uptober refers to BTC’s historically strong October, but CoinGlass’s monthly return heatmap shows October is often positive yet not uniformly so, and losses can still occur. Source: https://www.coinglass.com/BitcoinMonthlyReturn For trade timing, map October macro catalysts that impact USD liquidity and risk appetite, notably the U.S. CPI release and any Federal Reserve communications; use the BLS CPI schedule and the Fed FOMC calendar to plan exposure. Sources: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm and https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm Track spot BTC ETF net flows and AUM to gauge incremental demand, as daily creations and redemptions can influence intraday direction and closing imbalances. Source: https://farside.co.uk/crypto/research/bitcoin-etf-flows/ Monitor perpetual funding rates, futures basis, and open interest to avoid crowded positioning around catalysts; dashboards for funding and OI are available. Sources: https://www.coinglass.com/FundingRate and https://www.coinglass.com/OpenInterest Liquidity risk can rise on thinner order books during off-hours, increasing wick risk; market depth analyses highlight variance by venue and time. Source: https://kaiko.com/research

According to Glassnode, Bitcoin shows post-FOMC exhaustion as long-term holders realized 3.4M BTC in profit, indicating distribution into strength, source: Glassnode. According to Glassnode, spot BTC ETF inflows have slowed, reducing a key demand pillar, source: Glassnode. According to Glassnode, both spot and futures markets are weak, underscoring fragile market structure, source: Glassnode. According to Glassnode, the $111K short-term holder (STH) cost basis is the critical support; a breakdown would elevate downside risk, source: Glassnode.

According to the source, an economist warned that rapid Federal Reserve rate cuts could jolt BTC and altcoins up substantially. According to the source, the economist expects at least two more rate cuts this year.

According to the source, Bitcoin could test 120,000 after a Federal Reserve rate cut, with traders potentially needing about one week to digest the impact, suggesting a near-term consolidation window before the next move. The source also reports that 92 percent expect another Fed cut in October, reinforcing a bullish bias for BTC and risk assets in the short term. For trade setup, the source’s guidance implies watching the 120,000 psychological level on upside breaks and managing risk during the one-week digestion period.

According to @santimentfeed, the Federal Reserve officially lowered interest rates and traders largely got what they wanted, putting the focus on whether the move was already priced into BTC and broader crypto markets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, analysis centers on potential further rate cuts and how the policy path could influence risk appetite and year-end sentiment across digital assets (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, heightened social buzz around Trump's Bitcoin statue is being assessed for its impact on market sentiment and positioning (source: @santimentfeed). According to @santimentfeed, traders should monitor post-FOMC price reaction, shifts in sentiment into year-end, and narrative-driven volatility that could affect BTC dominance (source: @santimentfeed).

According to @cookiedotfun, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 bps yesterday and broader markets saw only a modest uptick despite high expectations (source: @cookiedotfun). According to @cookiedotfun, Solana (SOL) meme coin project @FartCoinOfSOL is up 11% since the announcement, prompting questions about any correlation between FOMC decisions and SOL memecoin moves (source: @cookiedotfun).

According to @CrypNuevo, BTC was range-bound on Monday and Tuesday during FOMC week, then turned highly volatile on Wednesday with a classic retrace of the initial false move, flagging a whipsaw-prone environment for traders (source: @CrypNuevo on X, Sep 17, 2025). According to @CrypNuevo, roughly $105M in positions were liquidated within 30 minutes during the FOMC reaction, underscoring the need for tighter risk controls and caution around the event window (source: @CrypNuevo on X, Sep 17, 2025).

According to @GreeksLive, a live stream with @4blkswans is scheduled for September 19 at 8:00 PM EST / 12:00 UTC covering 15 years of options trading experience, FOMC views, retail crypto options trading strategies, and Q4 predictions. According to @GreeksLive, the session will be hosted by @satoshiheist and the stream link will be shared via notifications. According to @GreeksLive, the agenda is trading-focused and targets practical insights for retail traders on crypto options and macro event positioning.

According to the source, the shared link points to an analysis of Bitcoin’s reaction to recent Federal Reserve policy moves. To deliver a compliant, trading-focused summary with verifiable data and citations, please provide the article text or key facts such as the specific FOMC decision and timing, BTC price levels before/after the announcement, derivatives metrics (funding, open interest, basis), on-chain flows, and any primary sources referenced.

According to @ReetikaTrades, traders want Jerome Powell to name specific altcoins to buy rather than parsing complex macro commentary, underscoring demand for straightforward, actionable crypto signals; source: @ReetikaTrades on X, Sep 17, 2025. For trading relevance, the post provides no altcoin symbols, allocations, or policy cues, so there is no direct trade signal or asset-specific guidance from this comment; source: @ReetikaTrades on X, Sep 17, 2025.

According to @52kskew, BTC is showing typical FOMC price action with shorts piling into price, source: @52kskew on X, Sep 17, 2025. According to @52kskew, the order book is shifting with asks moving lower toward spot, signaling sell-side liquidity stepping closer to market, source: @52kskew on X, Sep 17, 2025. According to @52kskew, spreads will likely normalize from here, after which the market can start to trend again, highlighting a potential transition from chop to directional movement for BTC traders, source: @52kskew on X, Sep 17, 2025.

According to @AltcoinGordon, the post highlights retail traders with small crypto balances waiting for Jerome Powell to cut rates, underscoring how crypto positioning is keyed to Federal Reserve policy shifts, source: @AltcoinGordon. FOMC decisions and statements set the policy rate and shape financial conditions that transmit to asset prices, turning Fed days into high-volatility events for BTC and ETH, source: Federal Reserve. Research shows Bitcoin’s correlation with equities strengthened post‑2020, implying macro policy shocks like rate changes can spill over into crypto returns, source: International Monetary Fund. For trading, monitor CME FedWatch rate probabilities, BTC/ETH options implied volatility and skew on Deribit, and funding rates plus open interest via analytics to manage event risk around FOMC, source: CME Group; source: Deribit; source: Glassnode.

According to @DecryptMedia, Bitcoin whales moved millions ahead of a highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate decision, highlighting increased large-holder activity that traders often monitor for near-term liquidity shifts and volatility catalysts (source: @DecryptMedia on X).

According to @CryptoMichNL, traders should avoid trading the FOMC move unless they are scalpers because the initial reaction is often wrong and volatility is expected to surge, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Sep 17, 2025. He recommends staying on the sidelines and waiting for Bitcoin's (BTC) post-FOMC price action to establish clearer direction before engaging, source: @CryptoMichNL, X, Sep 17, 2025.

According to the source, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at a neutral reading ahead of the FOMC decision, indicating balanced risk appetite by design; source: the source; Alternative.me. Option markets typically see implied volatility build into Fed decisions and expand on the announcement, making short-dated BTC and ETH straddles a common event-driven strategy; source: Deribit Insights. Rate guidance that moves US Treasury yields and the US Dollar Index DXY often steers BTC’s direction via macro correlation, so monitor the FOMC statement, dot plot, and press conference for cues; source: Federal Reserve; Kaiko. To manage risk, traders commonly reduce leverage pre-event and map liquidation clusters and open interest levels to prepare for post-FOMC breakouts on BTC and ETH perpetuals; source: Glassnode; Binance Research.

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin is attacking range resistance ahead of the FOMC, a setup he notes often becomes a run before a drop, implying fakeout risk near the highs (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 17, 2025). He adds that the outcome is uncertain and will be one to watch into the FOMC timing (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 17, 2025).

According to @cas_abbe, BTC ETFs recorded $292M in net inflows while ETH ETFs saw $62M in net outflows ahead of the FOMC, indicating active positioning into the policy event (source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 17, 2025). According to @cas_abbe, this flow divergence suggests a market bias toward BTC over ETH into Chair Powell’s remarks, with Wall Street preparing for elevated volatility today (source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 17, 2025). According to @cas_abbe, traders may prioritize BTC over ETH pairs, manage exposure tighter, and monitor implied volatility into the announcement given the pre-FOMC flow skew and volatility expectations (source: @cas_abbe on X, Sep 17, 2025).

According to @MI_Algos, the Federal Reserve is set to cut the federal funds rate this week, with the decision justified by a recent uptick in unemployment rather than political pressure (source: @MI_Algos on X, Sep 16, 2025). According to @MI_Algos, the market has already priced in this cut plus two additional cuts for the year, reducing the probability of a sustained risk-on rally in crypto on the headline alone (source: @MI_Algos on X, Sep 16, 2025). According to @MI_Algos, consensus favors a 25 bps move, while a 50 bps cut would likely be read bearishly as a sign that conditions are worse and that the Fed is late, which could pressure risk assets including BTC and ETH (source: @MI_Algos on X, Sep 16, 2025). According to @MI_Algos, this setup raises the odds of a sell-the-news reaction in BTC, ETH, and altcoins if the Fed delivers the expected 25 bps cut, given that the easing path is already embedded in prices (source: @MI_Algos on X, Sep 16, 2025). According to @MI_Algos, the White House improved its position by nominating Stephen Miran to the Fed Board and securing Senate approval ahead of the meeting, but the rate cut decision is driven by labor data rather than political pressure (source: @MI_Algos on X, Sep 16, 2025).

According to @glassnode, short-term investors on-chain behavior confirms the market is anticipating a positive outcome from this week’s FOMC meeting, implying a bullish setup into the decision window (source: @glassnode on X, Sep 16, 2025). According to @glassnode, multiple on-chain signals back this setup, underscoring heightened positive expectations ahead of the rate announcement this week (source: @glassnode on X, Sep 16, 2025).