Bitcoin holds lower-timeframe uptrend at $64047 but risks $61000 test as FOMC looms with Warsh comments in focus and CPI data easing.

CNBC flags the next 48 hours as decisive for the bull market with FOMC July 29, 2026 decision ahead and historical 48-hour move patterns in focus.

Bitcoin bounces at $64365.89 after South Korean wick low as FOMC prices extreme fear, supporting upward rally with neutral RSI and bullish MACD.

Bitcoin at $63185.43 faces volume resistance rejection as Clarity Act delays and FOMC decision loom, with next 24 hours critical for BTC price action.

FOMC futures at 34% hike probability while 3M T-Bill yields exceed target by 25 bps, historically signaling imminent rate increases per André Dragosch.

Kevin Warsh chairs first FOMC with sticky inflation and divided Fed, as BTC and risk assets track liquidity flows from the June 16-17 meeting.

Bitcoin price falls to $76,442 after Powell's final FOMC signals no rate cuts soon, amid MEGA token's $2B+ FDV launch impacting crypto markets.

Bitcoin drops below $76,000 after Fed Chair Powell's last FOMC meeting, amid bearish signals in BTC price prediction and crypto market trends.

Bitcoin holds lower timeframe uptrend at $75,686 despite FOMC risk-off move, with experts eyeing May rally amid bearish 4h signals like MACD death cross.

Bitcoin traders ramp up bearish leverage with rising OI and negative funding ahead of FOMC at $75426.84, signaling potential BTC price prediction downside amid crypto market volatility.

Bitcoin surges upward at $75,505 amid FOMC today and GDP tomorrow, signaling more upside despite bearish trends in BTC price prediction.

According to Santiment (@santimentfeed), the latest FOMC meeting concluded with interest rates remaining steady at 3.50-3.75%. Despite no immediate changes, traders are anticipating a bullish relief rally, as bearish price action occurred prior to the announcement. Expectations for rate cuts are projected for 2026 and 2027, influencing market sentiment.

According to the source, Bitcoin ETFs have amassed an impressive $1.2 billion streak, but this momentum may face challenges as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting takes center stage. The outcome of the discussions could significantly influence investor sentiment and trading strategies surrounding Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs.

According to GreeksLive, Bitcoin's forward implied volatility (FWD IV) exhibits a noticeable peak, or 'hump,' at approximately 62% for the March 19, 2026 expiration. This volatility spike aligns closely with the date of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Following the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin's FWD IV is expected to drop significantly for later expirations, signaling potential short-term trading opportunities.

According to GreeksLive, Bitcoin (BTC) options forward implied volatility (IV) has dropped to 24% around March 15, with a noticeable increase expected around March 20 due to the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The rest of the volatility curve remains flat, showing no significant term premium. Additionally, inflation data, expected shortly, is anticipated to have a muted impact.

According to Gary Black, Oracle (ORCL) rose 11% pre-market after a strong third-quarter earnings beat and raised full-year revenue guidance, driven by accelerating demand for its AI cloud services. Despite broader market stagnation, Brent crude climbed above $90 per barrel, and Bitcoin (BTC) declined. The upcoming FOMC meeting will focus on updated economic projections amid concerns over sustained high oil prices potentially delaying interest rate cuts.

According to Charlie Bilello, the Fed has matched market expectations at every FOMC since 2009, and the bond market is pricing only a 2.8% chance of a rate cut heading into the meeting (source: Charlie Bilello on X). According to Charlie Bilello, the committee is expected to hold the policy rate at 3.50–3.75% with no cut, a setup traders can use as a baseline for positioning in risk assets including BTC and ETH into the event (source: Charlie Bilello on X).

According to Charlie Bilello, derivatives pricing implies less than a 3% chance of a Fed rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, and he argues the probability should be zero given credit and equity markets at all-time highs and inflation running above the Federal Reserve’s 2% objective over the past decade (source: Charlie Bilello on X; source: Federal Reserve). This points traders toward a higher-for-longer baseline when calibrating risk exposure in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and other liquidity-sensitive assets into the policy decision and communication (source: Charlie Bilello on X).

According to @glassnode, the 1-week volatility risk premium has remained positive since the latest FOMC, indicating implied volatility is above realized volatility and supporting carry from short-volatility positioning. source: @glassnode on Dec 19, 2025, glassno.de/4oZhPhj This regime favors volatility sellers as IV continues to compress into year-end, with hedging flows helping keep realized moves contained. source: @glassnode on Dec 19, 2025, glassno.de/4oZhPhj

According to @glassnode, after the latest FOMC event, crypto options implied volatility has compressed, downside risk remains consistently priced, and skew plus flow data point to expectations of limited upside, range-bound trading, and continued sensitivity to macro drivers rather than new policy catalysts; source: @glassnode, Dec 12, 2025.