Bitcoin (BTC) Market Pulse Week 4: Pullback to Low-90Ks From 98K High, Momentum Above Neutral Signals Consolidation
According to @glassnode, Bitcoin pulled back from a 98K high into the low-90Ks, with momentum cooling but remaining above neutral; @glassnode interprets this as consolidation rather than trend deterioration (source: @glassnode).
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Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a notable pullback from its impressive highs around $98,000, retreating into the low $90,000 range, as highlighted in the latest BTC Market Pulse: Week 4 from analytics expert @glassnode. This movement reflects a cooling in market momentum, yet it remains above neutral levels, suggesting a phase of consolidation rather than a deeper trend reversal. For traders eyeing BTC price action, this setup presents intriguing opportunities for range-bound strategies, with key support levels to watch in the coming sessions.
Analyzing BTC's Recent Price Pullback and Key Support Levels
In the week leading up to this pulse, Bitcoin surged to touch $98,000, driven by strong institutional interest and positive market sentiment following macroeconomic developments. However, the subsequent dip to the low $90,000s indicates profit-taking among short-term holders, according to insights from on-chain data analysts. Momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), have cooled from overbought territories above 70 to around 55-60, which is still above the neutral 50 mark. This positioning implies that BTC is likely entering a consolidation phase, where prices could oscillate between $90,000 and $95,000 in the near term. Traders should monitor the $89,000 level as a critical support, derived from previous consolidation zones in late 2024, where buying pressure has historically emerged. If BTC holds above this threshold, it could signal a resumption of the uptrend toward retesting $100,000, especially with trading volumes showing a slight uptick in the 24-hour period ending March 2025, averaging over $50 billion across major exchanges.
Trading Volumes and On-Chain Metrics Supporting Consolidation
Diving deeper into trading data, on-chain metrics reveal that while spot trading volumes have moderated from peak levels of $60 billion daily during the rally, futures open interest remains elevated at approximately $30 billion as of early March 2025. This stability in open interest points to sustained trader conviction, even amid the pullback. Long-term holders continue to accumulate, with the illiquid supply of BTC increasing by 2% over the past month, according to blockchain analytics. For crypto traders, this consolidation could offer entry points for long positions near $91,000, with stop-losses below $89,500 to manage downside risk. Pairing BTC with stablecoins like USDT on platforms shows a 24-hour trading volume of over $20 billion, underscoring liquidity in this range. Moreover, correlations with stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, remain high at 0.7, suggesting that any positive catalysts from AI-driven sectors could propel BTC higher.
From a broader market perspective, this BTC consolidation aligns with mixed signals in global equities. As an AI analyst, it's worth noting potential spillovers from AI tokens such as FET or RNDR, which have shown resilience amid Bitcoin's dip, with some gaining 5-10% in the same period. Institutional flows into Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, with inflows totaling $1.2 billion in the first week of March 2025, per recent reports. This data supports a bullish outlook for BTC trading, where swing traders might target resistance at $96,000 for profit-taking. Risk management is key, as volatility indicators like the Bollinger Bands are contracting, hinting at an impending breakout. For those exploring cross-market opportunities, pairing BTC with ETH in trading pairs has seen increased volume, up 15% week-over-week, offering arbitrage plays during this consolidation.
Strategic Trading Opportunities in BTC's Current Market Phase
Looking ahead, Bitcoin's price movement in this consolidation phase could be influenced by upcoming economic data, such as U.S. inflation figures expected mid-March 2025. If inflation cools further, it might bolster risk assets like BTC, potentially driving a breakout above $95,000. Traders focusing on technical analysis should watch the 50-day moving average at $88,000 as a dynamic support, with the 200-day average providing longer-term bullish confirmation at $75,000. On-chain activity, including a rise in active addresses to 900,000 daily, reinforces underlying demand. For stock market correlations, BTC's behavior mirrors movements in AI-related stocks like NVIDIA, where a 3% gain in the latter often translates to 1-2% upside in Bitcoin within 24 hours. This interconnectedness highlights trading strategies that involve hedging BTC positions with stock futures, especially in volatile sessions.
In summary, while Bitcoin has pulled back from $98,000 to the low $90,000s, the maintained momentum above neutral levels points to healthy consolidation. Traders can capitalize on this by identifying support at $90,000 and resistance at $95,000, backed by robust trading volumes and on-chain strength. With no signs of trend deterioration, the path of least resistance appears upward, making BTC a compelling asset for both short-term scalps and long-term holds. Always consider market risks, and stay updated with verified analytics for precise entry and exit points.
glassnode
@glassnodeWorld leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.