Bitcoin (BTC) Pre-FOMC: 2 Trading Scenarios From @ReetikaTrades - Support Hold or Short-Term Sell-the-News Dip

According to Reetika (@ReetikaTrades), if BTC chops heading into the FOMC, she wants the purple-box support on her chart to hold, setting up a post-FOMC move higher, source: Reetika @ReetikaTrades, Sep 13, 2025. According to Reetika (@ReetikaTrades), if BTC continues rising into the FOMC, the likelihood increases of a short-term sell-the-news dip before resuming higher later, source: Reetika @ReetikaTrades, Sep 13, 2025.
SourceAnalysis
As Bitcoin traders gear up for the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, market sentiment is buzzing with anticipation over potential price movements in BTC. According to trader ReetikaTrades, if BTC experiences choppy price action leading into the FOMC announcement, the key focus will be on whether the purple box support level holds firm, potentially setting the stage for a bullish send-off afterward. This scenario underscores the importance of monitoring support zones during periods of uncertainty, as they often dictate short-term trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency market. With BTC's price history showing resilience around major economic events, traders are advised to watch for consolidation patterns that could signal a breakout. Incorporating real-time market context, even without immediate data, highlights how external factors like FOMC decisions influence BTC's volatility, often leading to heightened trading volumes and swift price swings.
Analyzing BTC Price Action Ahead of FOMC
In her analysis shared on September 13, 2025, ReetikaTrades emphasizes the scenario where BTC chops sideways into the FOMC event. This choppy behavior, characterized by range-bound trading without clear directional momentum, could provide savvy traders with entry points if the purple box—a presumed support range—maintains its integrity. For context, such support levels in BTC charts are critical, often aligned with historical price floors where buying interest surges. If this holds, it might pave the way for a post-FOMC rally, as markets digest the news and shift toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin. Traders should consider technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or moving averages to gauge overbought or oversold conditions during this phase. Moreover, on-chain metrics like Bitcoin's active addresses and transaction volumes could offer additional insights into underlying demand, potentially validating the hold at the purple box and signaling a bullish continuation.
Potential Sell-the-News Scenario and Long-Term Outlook
Conversely, if BTC continues its upward trajectory directly into the FOMC meeting, ReetikaTrades suggests an increased likelihood of a short-term 'sell the news' event. This classic market reaction occurs when prices pump in anticipation of positive news, only to correct sharply once the announcement is made, as participants take profits. However, she notes that this dip could be temporary, with BTC likely to push higher in the longer term regardless. This perspective aligns with historical patterns where FOMC rate decisions, especially hints at easing monetary policy, have bolstered BTC's appeal as an inflation hedge. For traders, this implies monitoring key resistance levels above current prices, perhaps around recent highs, and preparing for volatility spikes. Trading pairs like BTC/USD on major exchanges could see amplified volumes during such events, offering opportunities for scalping or swing trades. It's essential to factor in broader market indicators, such as the US Dollar Index (DXY) movements, which often inversely correlate with BTC prices, providing a macroeconomic layer to this analysis.
From a trading strategy standpoint, integrating these insights means setting up conditional orders around the purple box for potential longs if support holds, or preparing shorts for a sell-the-news pullback. Risk management remains paramount, with stop-losses placed below critical supports to mitigate downside risks. Looking at cross-market correlations, FOMC outcomes could also impact altcoins and stock indices, creating ripple effects in the crypto ecosystem. For instance, a dovish FOMC stance might boost institutional flows into BTC ETFs, driving sustained upward momentum. Traders should stay attuned to real-time developments, as even minor shifts in Fed rhetoric can trigger rapid price adjustments. Overall, this analysis from ReetikaTrades provides a balanced view, encouraging patience amid chop and readiness for post-event trends, ultimately aiming to capitalize on BTC's dynamic market behavior.
Broader Market Implications and Trading Opportunities
Expanding on the FOMC's influence, Bitcoin's performance often sets the tone for the entire cryptocurrency market, with trading volumes surging as investors position themselves. If the purple box holds during chop, it could reinforce bullish sentiment, potentially leading to a breakout above key resistance levels like $60,000 or higher, depending on current charts. On the flip side, a sell-the-news event might test lower supports, offering dip-buying opportunities for those eyeing long-term holds. Market indicators such as the Fear and Greed Index could shift dramatically post-FOMC, providing sentiment-based trading signals. Additionally, on-chain data like whale activity and exchange inflows might correlate with these movements, helping traders anticipate shifts. For diversified portfolios, considering BTC's ties to stocks—especially tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq—highlights cross-asset trading strategies. A positive FOMC could spur risk appetite, benefiting AI-related tokens if broader tech sentiment improves. In summary, this setup presents multiple trading avenues, from short-term plays to strategic longs, all rooted in vigilant monitoring of support levels and news reactions.
Reetika
@ReetikaTradesEx Siemens Engineer turned Full time trader, Professional Shitposter.