Bitcoin BTC Price Analysis: Daily Candle Reverses at Range High After Liquidity Sweep, Possible 116.8K Retest

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin's daily candle swept liquidity above recent highs and then reversed to the range-high resistance, signaling a weak daily close. According to @CryptoMichNL, a retest near 116.8K could occur before continuation.
SourceAnalysis
In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, Bitcoin's recent price action has caught the attention of seasoned analysts, highlighting potential shifts in market momentum. According to Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto trader, the daily candle on Bitcoin looks particularly unappealing, as it swept liquidity at the highs before reversing sharply toward the range high resistance. This observation, shared on August 11, 2025, suggests a bearish undertone in the short term, with a possible retest of the $116.8K level before any upward continuation. For traders eyeing BTC/USD pairs, this could signal caution, emphasizing the importance of monitoring key support and resistance zones amid fluctuating market sentiment.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Daily Candle and Liquidity Dynamics
Diving deeper into the technical aspects, the daily candle described by van de Poppe illustrates a classic liquidity grab scenario, where Bitcoin price surged to capture stops above recent highs, only to invert and close lower. This movement often indicates manipulation or exhaustion at peak levels, potentially setting the stage for a pullback. Traders should note that such patterns frequently precede tests of lower support, in this case, around $116.8K, which aligns with previous range lows. From a trading perspective, volume analysis would be crucial here; if the reversal occurred on increasing volume, it strengthens the bearish case, urging position traders to consider hedging strategies or tightening stop-losses above the range high resistance. Incorporating on-chain metrics, such as rising exchange inflows, could further validate this setup, pointing to increased selling pressure from whales or institutions.
Potential Trading Opportunities in BTC Pairs
For those trading Bitcoin against other assets, like BTC/ETH or BTC/USDT on major exchanges, this candle presents intriguing opportunities. A drop to $116.8K might offer a buying zone for long-term holders, especially if it coincides with oversold RSI readings on the daily chart. Conversely, short sellers could target entries near the current resistance, aiming for that support level with a favorable risk-reward ratio. It's essential to watch correlated markets, such as stock indices, where Bitcoin often mirrors broader risk appetite; a downturn in equities could amplify this pullback, creating cross-market trading signals. Historical data from similar candles in 2021 and 2023 shows that Bitcoin typically consolidates after such events, with average retracements of 10-15% before resuming trends, providing data-driven insights for swing traders.
Shifting focus to broader implications, this Bitcoin analysis ties into overall crypto market sentiment, where AI-driven trading bots and institutional flows play a growing role. If Bitcoin tests $116.8K, it might drag altcoins lower, affecting tokens like ETH or AI-related projects such as FET, which have shown correlations during volatility spikes. Traders should prioritize risk management, perhaps diversifying into stablecoins or exploring options strategies to navigate uncertainty. Ultimately, while the ugly daily candle raises red flags, it could be a healthy correction in Bitcoin's bull run, offering entry points for those with a keen eye on technical indicators and market fundamentals.
To wrap up, staying informed on such analyses is key for profitable trading. Van de Poppe's insight underscores the need for vigilance in Bitcoin's price movements, blending technical patterns with real-world market dynamics. Whether you're scalping intraday or holding for the long haul, understanding these candles can enhance decision-making, potentially leading to optimized trades in this dynamic landscape.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast