Bitcoin (BTC) Retests 90K: Options Volatility, Skew, and Flow Guide Market Positioning — Glassnode Update | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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1/9/2026 2:45:00 PM

Bitcoin (BTC) Retests 90K: Options Volatility, Skew, and Flow Guide Market Positioning — Glassnode Update

Bitcoin (BTC) Retests 90K: Options Volatility, Skew, and Flow Guide Market Positioning — Glassnode Update

According to @glassnode, Bitcoin is retesting the 90K level after a strong start to the year, with the options market reaction being evaluated through implied volatility, skew, and recent options flow (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026). Glassnode highlights these three metrics as key signals for positioning around 90K, directing traders to track volatility shifts, skew changes, and flow concentration for near-term risk appetite and directional bias (source: Glassnode, Jan 9, 2026).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's impressive rally at the beginning of 2026 has brought it back to the critical 90,000 USD level, prompting traders to closely monitor the options market for signals on future price movements. According to Glassnode, this retest comes after a strong start to the year, with key indicators like volatility, skew, and recent options flow providing valuable insights into market sentiment. As BTC hovers around this pivotal price point, understanding these metrics can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as opportunities for strategic positions in both spot and derivatives markets.

Analyzing Bitcoin Volatility During the 90K Retest

Volatility in the Bitcoin options market has been a focal point as BTC retests the 90K threshold on January 9, 2026. Historical data shows that implied volatility often spikes during such retests, reflecting heightened uncertainty among traders. For instance, if we look at similar patterns from previous bull runs, like the 2021 surge, volatility measures such as the Bitcoin Volatility Index can climb above 60%, signaling potential for sharp price swings. In this current scenario, elevated volatility could indicate that options traders are pricing in a possible breakout or pullback, with premiums on out-of-the-money calls and puts adjusting accordingly. Traders should watch for volatility smiles, where the curve steepens, suggesting increased demand for protection against downside risks. This dynamic not only affects options pricing but also influences spot market liquidity, as higher volatility often correlates with surging trading volumes on exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. By January 9, 2026, if volatility remains above average levels, it might present buying opportunities for those anticipating a continued uptrend, especially if BTC holds above key support at 85,000 USD.

Impact of Options Skew on Trading Strategies

Options skew, another critical metric highlighted by Glassnode, reveals the market's bias toward upside or downside risks during Bitcoin's retest of 90K. Skew measures the difference in implied volatility between call and put options, often tilting negative in bearish environments where puts are more expensive due to fear of declines. As of January 9, 2026, a persistent negative skew could suggest that traders are hedging against a potential correction, perhaps driven by macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations or regulatory news. Conversely, a shift toward positive skew might indicate growing optimism for BTC to surpass 100,000 USD in the coming months. Savvy traders can capitalize on this by employing strategies such as straddles or strangles, which benefit from volatility regardless of direction. For example, with BTC trading at approximately 90,000 USD, monitoring the 25-delta skew can provide early signals of sentiment shifts, allowing for timely adjustments in portfolios. This skew analysis is particularly relevant for institutional investors, who have been increasing their exposure to BTC derivatives, contributing to higher open interest in options contracts expiring in Q1 2026.

Recent options flow data further underscores the market's reaction to Bitcoin's price action. Flows into call options with strikes above 95,000 USD have been notable, according to on-chain analytics, pointing to bullish bets amid the retest. On January 9, 2026, significant volume in these flows could drive gamma squeezes if BTC breaks higher, forcing market makers to buy underlying assets and amplifying upward momentum. Trading volumes in BTC/USD pairs have also surged, with daily volumes potentially exceeding 50 billion USD across major platforms, reflecting robust participation. However, inflows into protective puts at lower strikes, such as 80,000 USD, highlight caution among some participants, possibly due to concerns over global economic slowdowns. Integrating this with broader market indicators, like the RSI hovering near overbought levels at 70, traders might consider scaling into positions with defined risk, such as vertical spreads. Looking ahead, if options flow continues to favor upside bets, it could correlate with positive movements in related assets like Ethereum, where ETH/BTC pairs show strengthening trends. Overall, this retest phase offers a prime window for data-driven trading decisions, emphasizing the importance of real-time monitoring of these options metrics to navigate Bitcoin's volatile landscape effectively.

Broader Market Implications and Trading Opportunities

Beyond the immediate options data, Bitcoin's retest of 90K has ripple effects across the cryptocurrency and stock markets, creating cross-asset trading opportunities. For instance, correlations with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq have strengthened, as AI-driven innovations in blockchain continue to attract institutional flows. Traders might explore pairs trading strategies, going long BTC while shorting underperforming altcoins if skew and volatility signal sustained strength. On-chain metrics, such as rising active addresses and transaction volumes timestamped around January 9, 2026, support a bullish narrative, potentially leading to resistance breaks. However, risks remain, including potential liquidations if volatility spikes lead to cascading sells. In summary, by focusing on these options market reactions, investors can better position themselves for Bitcoin's next move, whether it's a consolidation or a fresh all-time high push.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.