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Bitcoin BTC Tests Range Resistance Before FOMC: Trader Flags Run-Before-Drop Pattern | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/17/2025 8:18:00 AM

Bitcoin BTC Tests Range Resistance Before FOMC: Trader Flags Run-Before-Drop Pattern

Bitcoin BTC Tests Range Resistance Before FOMC: Trader Flags Run-Before-Drop Pattern

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin is attacking range resistance ahead of the FOMC, a setup he notes often becomes a run before a drop, implying fakeout risk near the highs (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 17, 2025). He adds that the outcome is uncertain and will be one to watch into the FOMC timing (Source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 17, 2025).

Source

Analysis

Bitcoin's latest push towards its range resistance ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sparked significant interest among traders, as highlighted by cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe in his recent social media update. According to van de Poppe, this aggressive move by BTC could signal strength, yet he cautions that such runs often precede sharp drops, setting the stage for an exciting market dynamic. As of September 17, 2025, Bitcoin was observed attacking key resistance levels, prompting traders to evaluate potential breakout or reversal scenarios in the volatile crypto landscape.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Pre-FOMC Price Action and Resistance Levels

In the lead-up to the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin has been testing crucial resistance within its established trading range, typically around the $60,000 to $65,000 zone based on recent market patterns. Van de Poppe's observation points to a classic setup where BTC experiences a bullish surge, drawing in buyers before liquidity events like FOMC decisions trigger volatility. Historical data from previous FOMC meetings, such as the one in July 2024 where Bitcoin rallied 5% intra-day only to retrace 3% post-announcement, underscores this pattern. Traders are closely monitoring on-chain metrics, including a spike in trading volume exceeding 500,000 BTC in the last 24 hours as of September 17, 2025, according to blockchain analytics platforms. This volume surge, coupled with a relative strength index (RSI) hovering near 60 on the daily chart, suggests overbought conditions that could lead to a pullback if resistance holds firm. For those eyeing trading opportunities, support levels at $58,000 remain critical, offering potential entry points for long positions if the price dips post-FOMC, while a break above $65,000 could target $70,000 in a bullish continuation.

Market Sentiment and Trading Strategies Amid FOMC Uncertainty

Market sentiment around Bitcoin's pre-FOMC rally is mixed, with optimism tempered by caution due to macroeconomic factors like interest rate expectations. Van de Poppe notes that while this attack on resistance might be a positive sign, it's frequently just a precursor to a downturn, aligning with patterns seen in past cycles where BTC pumped 8-10% before major Fed announcements only to correct sharply. Institutional flows, as reported by various financial trackers, show increased Bitcoin ETF inflows totaling over $200 million in the week leading to September 17, 2025, indicating growing confidence among large players. However, derivatives data reveals a high put-call ratio, signaling hedging against downside risks. Traders should consider strategies like straddles on options platforms to capitalize on expected volatility, with implied volatility spiking to 70% for BTC options expiring post-FOMC. Cross-market correlations are also evident; for instance, a dovish FOMC stance could boost risk assets, potentially lifting Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins in tandem with BTC, while a hawkish outcome might pressure the entire crypto market downward.

Looking broader, this Bitcoin movement has implications for stock market correlations, particularly with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, which often mirror crypto trends during Fed events. If BTC breaks resistance successfully, it could signal broader bullish momentum, encouraging institutional allocations into crypto-linked stocks. Conversely, a rejection at resistance might lead to risk-off behavior, impacting trading volumes across pairs like BTC/USD and BTC/ETH. On-chain metrics further support this analysis, with active addresses rising 15% in the 24 hours before the FOMC, as per data from September 17, 2025. For AI-related tokens, such as those tied to blockchain AI projects, a positive BTC outcome could enhance sentiment, driving flows into sectors blending AI and crypto. Ultimately, van de Poppe's excitement about the unfolding events underscores the fun yet risky nature of trading these setups, advising patience and risk management to navigate potential drops.

Potential Trading Opportunities and Risk Management in BTC Markets

As Bitcoin continues its assault on range highs, traders are identifying key opportunities, such as scalping the volatility around the FOMC release timed for later on September 17, 2025. Exact price movements show BTC climbing from $59,500 to $62,800 in the preceding 48 hours, a 5.5% gain, before facing selling pressure at resistance. This aligns with van de Poppe's view of a possible run-up before a drop, where historical precedents from 2023 FOMC meetings saw average post-event swings of 7%. To optimize trades, focus on indicators like moving averages; the 50-day MA at $61,000 acts as dynamic support, while the 200-day MA near $55,000 provides a deeper safety net. For those exploring leveraged positions, maintain stop-losses below recent lows to mitigate risks from sudden reversals. In terms of broader market implications, a sustained break could correlate with rising gold prices, another safe-haven asset, potentially boosting BTC's appeal amid economic uncertainty. Always prioritize verified data and avoid over-leveraging, ensuring trades align with personal risk tolerance in this high-stakes environment.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast