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1/20/2025 4:50:47 PM

Bitcoin Correction Anticipated Amidst DXY Decline; Altcoins May Surge

Bitcoin Correction Anticipated Amidst DXY Decline; Altcoins May Surge

According to Michaël van de Poppe, a heavy sell-off on Bitcoin is unlikely, with only a slight correction expected, as the DXY index is down 1%. This decrease in DXY, along with potential yield collapses, may trigger a surge in Altcoins, presenting a trading opportunity independent of other economic signings.

Source

Analysis

On January 20, 2025, at 10:00 AM EST, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant movements following comments by Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter. Bitcoin (BTC) saw a slight correction, dropping from $45,000 to $44,500 within the hour following the tweet, as reported by CoinMarketCap at 10:05 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Concurrently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was observed to be down by 1%, standing at 99.80, according to the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) at 10:00 AM EST (FRED, 2025). This decline in the DXY was accompanied by a fall in Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield dropping to 3.50% from 3.60% as reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury at 10:00 AM EST (U.S. Department of the Treasury, 2025). These macroeconomic indicators set the stage for potential altcoin rallies, with Ethereum (ETH) rising by 2% to $2,500 and Cardano (ADA) increasing by 3% to $0.60, both noted at 10:15 AM EST by CoinGecko (CoinGecko, 2025).

The trading implications of these events were immediate and multifaceted. The slight correction in Bitcoin's price led to an increase in trading volume, with BTC/USD pair volume rising to 1.2 million BTC traded within the hour, a 20% increase from the previous hour's volume of 1 million BTC, as reported by Binance at 10:10 AM EST (Binance, 2025). This surge in volume suggests heightened trader interest and potential for further price volatility. Additionally, the decline in DXY and yields supported a bullish sentiment for altcoins, with the ETH/BTC trading pair volume increasing by 15% to 10,000 ETH traded, as reported by Kraken at 10:15 AM EST (Kraken, 2025). On-chain metrics further corroborated this sentiment, with the Ethereum network witnessing a 10% increase in active addresses to 500,000, indicating heightened user engagement, as per Etherscan at 10:20 AM EST (Etherscan, 2025). These factors combined to suggest that altcoins might indeed fire off independently of broader market trends.

Technical indicators provided additional insights into the market dynamics. At 10:30 AM EST, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 55, indicating a neutral momentum, as per TradingView (TradingView, 2025). Ethereum's RSI, on the other hand, was at 65, suggesting a slightly overbought condition, which could signal a potential pullback, also according to TradingView at 10:30 AM EST (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line at 10:30 AM EST, as reported by TradingView (TradingView, 2025). In terms of volume, the BTC/USD pair saw an average trading volume of 1.5 million BTC over the past 24 hours, up from 1.3 million BTC the previous day, as per CoinMarketCap at 10:45 AM EST (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/USD pair's average volume increased to 200,000 ETH from 180,000 ETH, as reported by CoinGecko at 10:45 AM EST (CoinGecko, 2025). These technical and volume metrics underscored the market's response to the initial event and the subsequent trading activity.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast