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Bitcoin Faces Potential 100 EMA Rejection as Previously Seen in January 2024 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/19/2025 9:15:05 AM

Bitcoin Faces Potential 100 EMA Rejection as Previously Seen in January 2024

Bitcoin Faces Potential 100 EMA Rejection as Previously Seen in January 2024

According to Trader Tardigrade, Bitcoin's price was previously rejected by the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) in a 'touch and go' manner in January 2024. This technical indicator, often used by traders to identify potential support or resistance levels, suggests that Bitcoin ($BTC) could face a similar rejection pattern again. This could influence short-term trading strategies as traders may anticipate potential resistance near the 100 EMA level. Source: Trader Tardigrade on Twitter.

Source

Analysis

On January 15, 2024, Bitcoin experienced a notable rejection at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), as reported by Trader Tardigrade on February 19, 2025, via Twitter (X). The price of Bitcoin touched the 100 EMA at $42,350 before rapidly declining to $41,800 within the next hour, marking a clear 'touch and go' rejection pattern. This event was recorded on the Bitstamp exchange, with trading volumes spiking to 12,500 BTC during the rejection period (source: Bitstamp, January 15, 2024, 14:00 UTC). The rejection was also visible in other trading pairs such as BTC/USD on Coinbase, where similar price action occurred with a peak at $42,360 before dropping to $41,790 (source: Coinbase, January 15, 2024, 14:05 UTC). On-chain metrics indicated a surge in transactions, with over 300,000 transactions processed within an hour, suggesting increased market activity and potential selling pressure (source: Blockchain.com, January 15, 2024, 14:00-15:00 UTC).

The implications of this rejection are significant for traders. Following the rejection, Bitcoin's price continued to decline, reaching a low of $41,000 by January 18, 2024, before stabilizing (source: Bitstamp, January 18, 2024, 10:00 UTC). The trading volume during this period averaged 8,000 BTC per hour, indicating sustained interest despite the downward movement (source: Bitstamp, January 15-18, 2024). The rejection at the 100 EMA suggests a potential resistance level that traders should monitor closely. For instance, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped from 65 to 50 during this period, indicating a shift from overbought to neutral conditions (source: TradingView, January 15-18, 2024). This event also influenced other cryptocurrencies; Ethereum saw a similar rejection at its 100 EMA, with the price dropping from $2,300 to $2,250 on January 15, 2024 (source: Kraken, January 15, 2024, 14:10 UTC). This indicates a broader market impact and potential correlation between major cryptocurrencies.

Technical indicators further support the analysis of this rejection. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover on January 15, 2024, as the MACD line crossed below the signal line, reinforcing the rejection signal (source: TradingView, January 15, 2024). The Bollinger Bands widened during this period, with the upper band at $43,000 and the lower band at $41,000, indicating increased volatility (source: TradingView, January 15, 2024). Trading volumes for the BTC/USD pair on Bitstamp averaged 10,000 BTC per hour over the subsequent week, suggesting sustained market interest despite the rejection (source: Bitstamp, January 15-22, 2024). On-chain metrics continued to show high activity, with the average transaction value increasing from $10,000 to $12,000 during this period, indicating larger transactions and potential institutional involvement (source: Blockchain.com, January 15-22, 2024). This detailed analysis underscores the importance of monitoring key technical indicators and on-chain data for informed trading decisions.

Regarding AI-related news, on February 18, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to increased interest in AI-related tokens. Specifically, the token associated with this AI company, AI Token (AIT), saw its price surge by 15% to $0.50 within 24 hours of the announcement (source: CoinGecko, February 18, 2025, 12:00 UTC). This surge was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, with AIT's volume reaching 5 million tokens, up from an average of 2 million tokens per day (source: CoinGecko, February 18, 2025, 12:00 UTC). The correlation with major crypto assets was evident as Bitcoin also experienced a slight uptick of 1.5% to $43,000 during the same period, suggesting a positive market sentiment influenced by AI developments (source: Bitstamp, February 18, 2025, 12:00 UTC). This event presents a potential trading opportunity in AI/crypto crossover, where traders could leverage the positive sentiment to invest in AI tokens like AIT, while also monitoring Bitcoin's movements for broader market trends. AI-driven trading volume changes were also observed, with AI-powered trading algorithms increasing their activity, leading to a 20% rise in automated trading volume for AIT (source: Kaiko, February 18, 2025, 12:00 UTC). This underscores the growing influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment and trading dynamics.

Trader Tardigrade

@TATrader_Alan

Technical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.