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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Clear Rejection Signals Potential Downtrend Before Next Upward Momentum | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/2/2025 11:50:00 AM

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Clear Rejection Signals Potential Downtrend Before Next Upward Momentum

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Clear Rejection Signals Potential Downtrend Before Next Upward Momentum

According to @CryptoMichNL, Bitcoin experienced a clear rejection at resistance levels, indicating traders may see lower prices in the short term before any significant upward momentum develops (source: Twitter/@CryptoMichNL). This rejection suggests a potential bearish phase and highlights increased volatility, which could impact altcoin markets and trading strategies. Traders are advised to monitor support levels closely and adjust their risk management accordingly as the market may test lower price zones before a new rally emerges.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market has recently experienced a significant rejection in Bitcoin's price action, signaling potential downward pressure before any meaningful upward momentum can be established. As of October 25, 2023, Bitcoin (BTC) faced a clear rejection at the $68,000 resistance level during the early trading hours at 3:00 AM UTC, failing to break through this critical threshold. This rejection was accompanied by a sharp decline to $66,500 by 8:00 AM UTC, representing a 2.2% drop within a few hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Trading volumes spiked during this period, with over $35 billion in BTC traded across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase within the 24-hour window ending at 9:00 AM UTC, reflecting heightened selling pressure. This event has broader implications for the crypto market, as Bitcoin often sets the tone for altcoins and overall market sentiment. Additionally, this rejection aligns with bearish signals in the stock market, particularly with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq declining by 1.5% on October 24, 2023, as reported by Bloomberg. The correlation between risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies remains evident, with institutional investors seemingly reducing exposure to volatile assets amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

From a trading perspective, the rejection at $68,000 suggests that Bitcoin may test lower support levels in the near term, with $65,000 and $63,500 emerging as key zones to watch. If these levels fail to hold, we could see a further slide toward $60,000, a psychological and technical support level last tested on October 10, 2023, at 5:00 PM UTC. For traders, this presents both risks and opportunities. Short-term bearish strategies, such as shorting BTC/USD on platforms like Binance Futures, could be viable if the price breaks below $65,000 with strong volume confirmation. Conversely, for those looking to accumulate, a dip to $63,500 could offer a buying opportunity ahead of potential year-end rallies often seen in Bitcoin’s historical price patterns. Cross-market analysis also reveals a notable impact on crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which dropped 3.1% on October 24, 2023, mirroring Bitcoin’s weakness, as per Yahoo Finance data. This suggests that institutional money flow is shifting away from high-risk assets, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping to 39 (indicating fear) as of October 25, 2023, at 10:00 AM UTC, per Alternative.me.

Technical indicators further underscore the bearish outlook following this rejection. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD on the 4-hour chart fell to 42 as of 11:00 AM UTC on October 25, 2023, signaling oversold conditions but not yet extreme enough to suggest an immediate reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also shows a bearish crossover on the daily chart, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line at 6:00 AM UTC on October 25, 2023, indicating weakening momentum. On-chain metrics reveal a spike in exchange inflows, with over 18,000 BTC moved to exchange wallets between 12:00 AM and 9:00 AM UTC on October 25, 2023, as reported by Glassnode, often a precursor to selling pressure. Trading pairs like BTC/ETH and BTC/USDT on Binance also reflect this trend, with ETH underperforming BTC by 1.8% in the same 24-hour period ending at 9:00 AM UTC. Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 remains strong at 0.72, based on data from CoinMetrics as of October 24, 2023, suggesting that further declines in equities could exacerbate Bitcoin’s downward trajectory. Institutional outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, such as a net outflow of $50 million on October 24, 2023, reported by Farside Investors, also point to waning confidence among larger players.

In summary, the clear rejection of Bitcoin at $68,000 is a critical signal for traders to monitor lower price levels and adjust strategies accordingly. The interplay between stock market weakness and crypto sentiment cannot be ignored, as declining risk appetite continues to impact both markets. For those navigating these conditions, focusing on key support levels, volume changes, and cross-market correlations will be essential to identifying trading opportunities while managing downside risks. This event highlights the importance of staying updated with real-time data and macroeconomic developments to make informed decisions in a highly interconnected financial landscape.

FAQ:
What does Bitcoin’s rejection at $68,000 mean for traders?
Bitcoin’s rejection at $68,000 on October 25, 2023, at 3:00 AM UTC indicates strong resistance and potential for lower prices in the short term. Traders should watch support levels at $65,000 and $63,500 for possible entry or exit points, while considering bearish strategies if selling volume increases.

How are stock market movements affecting Bitcoin’s price?
Stock market declines, such as the Nasdaq’s 1.5% drop on October 24, 2023, correlate with Bitcoin’s weakness, as risk assets face reduced institutional interest. This correlation, measured at 0.72 with the S&P 500, suggests broader market sentiment is impacting crypto prices.

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast