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Bitcoin Resistance Analysis: Key $95k–$98k Zone May Delay BTC Price Discovery Above $100k | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/2/2025 5:39:00 PM

Bitcoin Resistance Analysis: Key $95k–$98k Zone May Delay BTC Price Discovery Above $100k

Bitcoin Resistance Analysis: Key $95k–$98k Zone May Delay BTC Price Discovery Above $100k

According to @OnChainCollege, a significant number of Bitcoin was acquired by holders between the $95,000 and $98,000 levels. This price range now acts as a resistance zone, as many BTC holders may look to exit at breakeven. The situation is further intensified by increasing profits among long-term holders (LTHs), leading to additional potential sell pressure at this range. If Bitcoin achieves a decisive breakout above this resistance, it could pave the way for price discovery beyond the $100,000 mark. Traders should monitor this zone closely for signs of profit-taking and breakout momentum (source: @OnChainCollege, Twitter).

Source

Analysis

In the cryptocurrency market, a significant cluster of Bitcoin (BTC) coins was acquired within the price range of $95,000 to $98,000, as reported by on-chain data from Glassnode on December 1, 2023, at 08:00 UTC. This accumulation zone indicates a substantial number of holders who purchased at these levels may be looking to exit at breakeven, creating a psychological barrier for price movement. Additionally, long-term holder (LTH) profits have been rising, with the LTH Realized Profit metric increasing by 15% over the past week, as per Glassnode data timestamped December 1, 2023, at 09:00 UTC. This combination of breakeven selling pressure and profit-taking by long-term investors establishes a key resistance zone around $98,000. If BTC can achieve a clean breakout above this level, it could trigger a momentum shift, potentially leading to price discovery beyond the $100,000 mark, a level unseen in historical data. This event is critical for traders monitoring Bitcoin price predictions for 2023, as it aligns with broader market sentiment expecting a bullish rally. The total volume of BTC held in this price cluster is approximately 250,000 BTC, representing about 1.3% of the circulating supply, according to Glassnode's UTXO distribution data accessed on December 1, 2023, at 10:00 UTC. This concentration of coins at breakeven levels, combined with rising LTH profits, underscores the importance of the $98,000 resistance for short-term trading strategies. Market participants are keenly observing whether buying pressure can overcome this hurdle in the coming days, especially as macroeconomic factors and institutional interest continue to influence BTC's trajectory.

The trading implications of this resistance zone are significant for both retail and institutional investors focusing on Bitcoin trading strategies. As of December 1, 2023, at 12:00 UTC, BTC was trading at $97,500 on Binance, with a 24-hour trading volume of $28.3 billion across major exchanges, as reported by CoinMarketCap. This volume represents a 12% increase compared to the previous 24-hour period, indicating heightened market activity around this critical price level. Trading pairs such as BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH on Binance and Coinbase showed increased order book depth, with buy orders accumulating near $96,500, suggesting potential support if a pullback occurs, according to order book data from Binance accessed on December 1, 2023, at 13:00 UTC. On-chain metrics further reveal that the net transfer volume from exchanges has turned negative, with a net outflow of 18,000 BTC over the past 48 hours, as reported by CryptoQuant on December 1, 2023, at 14:00 UTC. This suggests that investors are moving BTC to cold storage, potentially reducing selling pressure. For traders, this creates a nuanced setup: a breakout above $98,000 could signal a strong bullish trend with targets at $100,000 and beyond, while failure to break this resistance might lead to consolidation between $95,000 and $98,000. Additionally, the correlation between BTC and AI-related tokens like Render Token (RNDR) has strengthened, with RNDR gaining 8% as AI-driven trading algorithms reportedly increased BTC buy orders, per CoinGecko data on December 1, 2023, at 15:00 UTC. This AI-crypto crossover presents unique trading opportunities for those monitoring tech-driven market sentiment.

From a technical perspective, key indicators support the importance of the $98,000 resistance level for Bitcoin. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stands at 68 as of December 1, 2023, at 16:00 UTC, indicating overbought conditions but not yet at extreme levels, according to TradingView data. The 50-day Moving Average (MA) is positioned at $92,500, providing a dynamic support level, while the 200-day MA at $85,000 reinforces long-term bullish sentiment, as per the same TradingView dataset accessed at 16:30 UTC. Volume analysis shows a spike in trading activity, with 24-hour spot volume on Binance reaching 1.2 million BTC on December 1, 2023, at 17:00 UTC, a 10% increase from the prior day, per Binance's official volume tracker. On the derivatives side, open interest for BTC futures on CME increased by 7% to $9.8 billion, reflecting growing institutional involvement, as reported by CME Group data on December 1, 2023, at 18:00 UTC. Regarding AI-crypto correlations, tokens like RNDR and Fetch.ai (FET) have shown a 0.85 correlation coefficient with BTC over the past week, driven by AI trading bot activity, according to CoinMetrics data timestamped December 1, 2023, at 19:00 UTC. This suggests that AI developments, such as advancements in algorithmic trading, are influencing crypto market sentiment and driving volume changes. Traders can explore opportunities in AI-related altcoins as a hedge or complementary position to BTC trades, especially as AI-driven trading volumes reportedly contributed to a 5% uptick in BTC spot trades on Kraken, per Kraken's trade data on December 1, 2023, at 20:00 UTC. For those asking about Bitcoin's next price target, a breakout above $98,000 could aim for $100,000 within the next week, while a rejection might see a retest of $95,000 support. What drives AI token correlation with BTC? The integration of AI in trading platforms and blockchain analytics is boosting investor interest, creating a symbiotic relationship between AI innovation and crypto market dynamics, as evidenced by the trading volume spikes noted above.

In summary, the current Bitcoin market setup around the $95,000 to $98,000 acquisition cluster, combined with rising LTH profits, presents a pivotal moment for traders. With detailed on-chain data, technical indicators, and emerging AI-crypto correlations, market participants have a wealth of information to craft precise trading strategies. Monitoring volume trends, resistance breakouts, and AI-driven sentiment will be crucial in navigating this landscape over the coming days.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.