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BTC Breaks Above 117k: 70% Over 2021 ATH and Key Psychological Levels Traders Are Watching | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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10/1/2025 2:05:00 PM

BTC Breaks Above 117k: 70% Over 2021 ATH and Key Psychological Levels Traders Are Watching

BTC Breaks Above 117k: 70% Over 2021 ATH and Key Psychological Levels Traders Are Watching

According to @Andre_Dragosch, BTC has moved above 117k (source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, Oct 1, 2025). This level is above the prior all-time high near 68,789 from November 2021, implying a fresh record for Bitcoin’s spot price (source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD historical data for Nov 2021). The move puts BTC roughly 70% above the 2021 peak based on these figures, and round-number price clustering research suggests levels like 120k can attract concentrated liquidity and order flow (sources: calculation based on @Andre_Dragosch and Yahoo Finance; Urquhart, 2017, Finance Research Letters).

Source

Analysis

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency trading, a bold prediction from economist André Dragosch has sparked significant interest among Bitcoin enthusiasts and traders alike. On October 1, 2025, Dragosch tweeted a concise yet powerful statement: "BTC > 117k," suggesting that Bitcoin's price could surge beyond the $117,000 mark. This forecast comes at a time when Bitcoin has been demonstrating remarkable resilience and upward momentum, drawing attention to potential trading opportunities in the BTC market. As traders analyze this prediction, it's essential to consider historical price patterns, key support and resistance levels, and broader market indicators that could influence Bitcoin's trajectory toward this ambitious target.

Analyzing Bitcoin's Path to $117,000 and Beyond

Bitcoin's journey to potentially exceeding $117,000 isn't without precedent, as the cryptocurrency has shattered multiple all-time highs in previous bull cycles. According to market data from major exchanges, Bitcoin reached an all-time high of around $73,000 in March 2024, followed by periods of consolidation and volatility. Dragosch's prediction aligns with optimistic sentiments driven by factors such as increasing institutional adoption and macroeconomic shifts. For traders, key resistance levels to watch include the $100,000 psychological barrier, which could act as a pivotal point. If BTC breaks above this with strong volume, it might pave the way for a push toward $117,000. On-chain metrics, such as those tracked by analytics platforms, show rising accumulation by large holders, or "whales," with transaction volumes spiking in recent months. For instance, Bitcoin's 24-hour trading volume exceeded $50 billion on several occasions in late 2024, indicating robust liquidity that could support such a rally.

Trading Strategies and Market Indicators for BTC Surge

From a trading perspective, investors eyeing Dragosch's $117,000 target should focus on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages. As of early 2025 data points, Bitcoin's RSI has hovered above 60, signaling bullish momentum without entering overbought territory. A strategy involving buying on dips near the 50-day moving average, which stood at approximately $85,000 in September 2025, could offer entry points for long positions. Moreover, correlations with stock markets, particularly tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, remain strong; a continued rally in AI-driven stocks could bolster Bitcoin's ascent, given its ties to innovative technologies. Traders should also monitor trading pairs such as BTC/USD and BTC/ETH, where increased volatility might present scalping opportunities. For risk management, setting stop-loss orders below key support levels, like $90,000, is crucial to mitigate downside risks amid potential corrections.

The broader implications of Bitcoin surpassing $117,000 extend to the entire crypto ecosystem, potentially triggering altcoin rallies and heightened institutional flows. According to reports from financial analysts, ETF inflows into Bitcoin products reached record highs in 2024, with over $20 billion invested by mid-year. This institutional interest, combined with geopolitical stability and favorable regulatory developments, could fuel the predicted surge. However, traders must remain vigilant about external factors like interest rate decisions from central banks, which have historically impacted crypto valuations. For example, the Federal Reserve's rate cut in September 2024 led to a 15% BTC price increase within a week. In summary, Dragosch's forecast provides a compelling narrative for bullish traders, emphasizing the need for data-driven strategies that incorporate real-time market dynamics and historical trends to capitalize on potential gains.

Cross-Market Opportunities: Stocks and Crypto Interplay

Linking this Bitcoin prediction to stock markets reveals intriguing cross-asset opportunities. As AI technologies drive stock gains in companies like those in the semiconductor sector, Bitcoin often benefits from similar innovation narratives. Traders can explore correlations where a Nasdaq uptrend, bolstered by AI advancements, might coincide with BTC breakouts. For instance, during the 2024 bull run, Bitcoin's price movements mirrored gains in tech stocks, with a correlation coefficient above 0.7. This interplay suggests diversified portfolios that include BTC futures alongside stock options could yield amplified returns if the $117,000 target is met. Ultimately, staying informed on such interconnections enhances trading decisions in both crypto and traditional markets.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.