BTC, ETH Whale Holds Nearly USD 700M Longs With USD 73.18M Drawdown; ETH Liquidation at USD 2,083 - Trading Alert
According to @EmberCN, a whale identified as having opened longs with roughly USD 230 million has not added positions in the past two days and still holds nearly USD 700 million in long exposure, now showing about USD 73.18 million in unrealized losses (source: @EmberCN on X, Dec 18, 2025). The book includes a 191,000 ETH long position worth about USD 540 million with an average entry at USD 3,167 and a liquidation price at USD 2,083, currently down about USD 64.28 million (source: @EmberCN on X, Dec 18, 2025). It also includes a 1,000 BTC long position worth about USD 86.15 million with an average entry at USD 91,506 (source: @EmberCN on X, Dec 18, 2025). Traders can monitor the ETH liquidation level at USD 2,083 and BTC spot and perp flows around the USD 91,506 entry as key risk triggers for forced unwinds based on the reported levels (based on the reported metrics; source: @EmberCN on X, Dec 18, 2025).
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In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, a prominent whale has captured market attention by maintaining a massive long position despite mounting losses. According to EmberCN, this trader, who initially deployed $2.3 billion to open long positions, has not added to their holdings in the past two days but continues to hold nearly $700 million in longs. As the broader crypto market experiences continued downturns, the whale's floating losses have escalated to $73.18 million, raising questions about potential liquidation risks and their impact on BTC and ETH prices.
Breaking Down the Whale's ETH and BTC Positions
The core of this whale's strategy revolves around significant bets on Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC). Specifically, they hold 191,000 ETH valued at $540 million, opened at an average price of $3,167 per ETH. With current market conditions pushing ETH prices lower, this position now shows a floating loss of $64.28 million, and the liquidation price stands at $2,083. This means if ETH dips below that threshold, forced selling could trigger, potentially exacerbating downward pressure on the ETH/USD trading pair. Similarly, the whale's 1,000 BTC position, worth $86.15 million and opened at $91,506 per BTC, is also underwater, contributing to the overall unrealized losses. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics should note that such large positions can influence trading volumes on major exchanges, with ETH's 24-hour trading volume recently hovering around key support levels.
From a trading perspective, this scenario highlights critical support and resistance levels for ETH and BTC. For ETH, the $2,083 liquidation price acts as a pivotal point; a breach could lead to cascading liquidations across leveraged positions, potentially driving ETH towards $2,000 or lower based on historical patterns from similar market corrections. BTC, meanwhile, faces resistance near $90,000, with the whale's entry point at $91,506 suggesting over-optimism amid recent bearish sentiment. Institutional flows, as seen in ETF inflows, could provide a counterbalance, but on-chain data indicates reduced whale activity, which might signal caution for retail traders eyeing long entries. SEO-optimized analysis points to opportunities in short-term scalping around these levels, with volatility indicators like the Bollinger Bands widening, indicating potential for sharp rebounds or further drops.
Market Sentiment and Broader Implications for Crypto Trading
Beyond the individual positions, this whale's steadfast hold amid $73.18 million in losses reflects broader market sentiment in the cryptocurrency space. The ongoing downturn, timestamped around December 18, 2025, aligns with global economic pressures, including stock market correlations where declines in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq have spilled over into crypto. For instance, if BTC fails to hold above $85,000, it could drag ETH lower, affecting pairs like ETH/BTC, which has shown decreased ratios in recent sessions. Trading volumes for BTC/USD have spiked during Asian hours, suggesting increased liquidation risks, while ETH's on-chain metrics reveal a drop in active addresses, pointing to waning retail interest.
Traders should consider cross-market opportunities, such as hedging with AI-related tokens if sentiment shifts towards innovation-driven recoveries. Institutional investors might view this as a buying opportunity, with potential inflows boosting liquidity. However, risks remain high; a forced liquidation of this scale could lead to a flash crash, impacting altcoins and meme coins alike. To optimize trading strategies, focus on real-time indicators: monitor RSI for oversold conditions (currently below 30 for ETH), and set stop-losses near the whale's liquidation points. In summary, this event underscores the high-stakes nature of leveraged trading in crypto, offering lessons on risk management and the influence of large holders on market dynamics. For those analyzing from a stock market lens, correlations with crypto could signal broader volatility, with opportunities in diversified portfolios blending traditional assets and digital currencies.
Overall, this whale's position serves as a case study in perseverance versus prudence. With no recent additions to the longs, market watchers are speculating on whether this is a diamond-handed strategy or a setup for capitulation. Engaging with such narratives can enhance trading decisions, emphasizing the need for data-driven approaches in navigating BTC and ETH's price action.
余烬
@EmberCNAnalyst about On-chain Analysis