BTC Whale’s 500 BTC Short Underwater by $0.76M Ahead of CPI: Entry $109,582.5, No New Actions — Key Levels for Traders
According to @ai_9684xtpa, the counterparty “100% win-rate” whale increased a BTC short to 500 BTC (about $55.52 million) with an entry at $109,582.5 and is currently down roughly $762,000, with no further activity since the add. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866; hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8 @ai_9684xtpa also reports another “100% win-rate” trader has re-opened a BTC long after taking profits, signaling divergent positioning among tracked top wallets. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 The author flags tonight’s CPI as the next catalyst to watch for volatility that could pressure the 500 BTC short. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 Based on the disclosed 500 BTC size, each $1,000 move in BTC price implies about a $500,000 swing in unrealized PnL on the short position. Source: position size from x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 and hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8
SourceAnalysis
In the ever-volatile world of Bitcoin trading, a mysterious whale known for an astonishing 100% win rate is currently holding firm on a significant BTC short position, drawing intense attention from crypto traders worldwide. According to crypto analyst @ai_9684xtpa's tweet on October 24, 2025, this enigmatic trader has added to their short position, reaching a total of 500 BTC valued at approximately $55.52 million. The average opening price stands at $109,582.5, and as of the tweet, the position is showing a floating loss of about $762,000. This development comes amid anticipation for the upcoming CPI data release, which could trigger major BTC price movements and influence trading strategies across the market.
BTC Whale's Persistent Short Position Amid Market Uncertainty
Diving deeper into this trading saga, the whale's decision to maintain and even expand their short position highlights a bold bet against Bitcoin's short-term rally. Yesterday, the trader increased their holdings to 500 BTC without further adjustments, signaling confidence in a potential downturn despite the current unrealized losses. This stance contrasts sharply with another prominent whale, also boasting a 100% win rate, who recently closed a profitable trade and initiated a new BTC long position. Such divergent strategies among high-profile players underscore the divided sentiment in the BTC market, where bulls and bears are clashing ahead of key economic indicators like the CPI report scheduled for tonight. Traders monitoring on-chain metrics and futures data should note that this short position's resilience could indicate insider expectations of inflationary pressures or economic slowdowns impacting crypto valuations.
Implications for BTC Price Action and Trading Opportunities
From a trading perspective, this whale's activity provides valuable insights into potential BTC price trajectories. With the opening price at $109,582.5 and current floating losses mounting, any upward surge in Bitcoin could exacerbate the pain for shorts, potentially leading to a short squeeze if CPI data surprises to the downside on inflation. Conversely, if CPI figures come in hotter than expected, validating the whale's bearish outlook, we might see BTC testing lower support levels around $100,000 or even $95,000, based on recent historical patterns. Volume analysis from major exchanges shows increased futures trading activity, with open interest in BTC perpetual contracts rising, suggesting heightened volatility. For retail traders, this scenario presents opportunities in options trading, such as buying puts if aligning with the short thesis or calls for those betting on a rebound. Institutional flows, including ETF inflows, could further amplify movements, making it crucial to watch resistance at $110,000 and support at $105,000 in the coming hours.
Broadening the analysis, the interplay between these whale positions and macroeconomic events like CPI underscores Bitcoin's role as a hedge against traditional markets. Stock market correlations remain relevant; for instance, if equities dip on poor CPI data, BTC might follow suit, offering cross-market trading setups. On-chain data reveals steady accumulation by long-term holders, with metrics like the Bitcoin supply on exchanges decreasing, which could counterbalance short-term bearish pressures. However, without real-time price feeds, traders are advised to monitor live charts for exact movements—recent sessions have seen BTC fluctuating between $105,000 and $112,000, with 24-hour volumes exceeding $50 billion across spot and derivatives markets. This whale's unyielding short, combined with the rival long position, sets the stage for a pivotal showdown, potentially driving BTC to new highs or lows depending on tonight's data revelation.
Ultimately, this episode reminds traders of the high-stakes nature of crypto markets, where whale activities can sway sentiment and create ripple effects. For those eyeing entry points, consider dollar-cost averaging into BTC during dips if the long-term bullish trend holds, or hedging with stablecoins amid uncertainty. As always, risk management is key—set stop-losses around key levels and stay informed on economic calendars to navigate these turbulent waters effectively. With Bitcoin's market cap hovering near $2 trillion, such whale maneuvers not only influence immediate price action but also shape broader investor confidence in digital assets.
Ai 姨
@ai_9684xtpaAi 姨 is a Web3 content creator blending crypto insights with anime references