According to @GreeksLive, the community is predominantly bearish ahead of the CPI release. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025. Traders expect further downside toward the 118 and 115 key levels. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025. Multiple traders are already positioned short into the event. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025.

According to @MI_Algos, a live snapshot of the BTC order book on Binance was shared just minutes before the U.S. CPI and Core Inflation releases, with the data due in under 10 minutes. According to Binance, order books display resting bid and ask liquidity that traders use to gauge potential near-term support and resistance around high-impact data drops.

According to QCPgroup, a softer CPI could cement odds of a September Fed cut, while a hotter print risks stalling the rally (source: QCPgroup). QCPgroup also reports active hedging demand for short-dated BTC put options concentrated in the 115k-118k strike range (source: QCPgroup). For traders, this underscores near-term CPI event risk and notable downside protection positioning around 115k-118k in Bitcoin options (source: QCPgroup).

According to @QCPgroup, short-call covering alongside defensive positioning has added fuel to the latest move in BTC, source: @QCPgroup. @QCPgroup expects front-end volatility to stay elevated until the CPI release, then likely compress unless BTC breaks resistance decisively, source: @QCPgroup.

According to @username, the US treasury ETF $TLT is showing a bullish setup as it forms a weekly swing low, with consensus expecting US long end yields to rise. However, real yields remain at 2% and core inflation (CPI) is projected to decline further due to a recession led by the housing sector, with shelter making up 36% of CPI. This macro backdrop is driving positive sentiment for US treasuries and $TLT, which could attract traders seeking safe-haven assets or portfolio hedges. Source: @username on Twitter.

According to Edward Dowd, the multi-family housing sector in the US has reached construction activity levels not seen since 1972, but is now experiencing a decline. Dowd reports that this downturn is likely to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months, creating a risk-off environment. He highlights that CPI is trending lower, which could lead to increased volatility and liquidity shifts in both traditional and crypto markets. Traders should monitor Fed policy signals closely, as rate cuts historically drive flows into risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) once risk-off sentiment stabilizes. Source: Edward Dowd on Twitter, June 11, 2025.

According to Milk Road, Truflation, a real-time inflation tracker, is currently reading 1.34%, offering a daily updated estimate that has been leading the official CPI lower for weeks. This provides traders with a more immediate and potentially predictive measure of inflation compared to the traditional CPI figures. Source: Milk Road.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Truflation has reported an inflation rate of 1.38%, which is 45 days ahead of the official CPI releases. This rate is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, suggesting potential for economic stimulus that has not yet been factored into current market prices. Traders are advised to monitor developments closely, especially leading up to the official CPI announcement on April 11.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Truflation has released early CPI data showing a 1.38% inflation rate, which precedes the official CPI release by 45 days. This rate is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, potentially signaling further economic stimulus and indicating that current market prices may not reflect this information yet. Traders are advised to monitor developments leading to the official release on April 11.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, inflation dropped significantly in March, with @truflation reporting it now below 2%. This decrease is crucial as it may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with implications for a potential pivot. Traders are closely watching the upcoming CPI data release on April 10, as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could trigger a 'risk-on' rally in the markets.

According to Milk Road, March saw a significant drop in inflation, with Truflation reporting levels now under 2%. This development comes ahead of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on April 10, which the markets are closely monitoring as it could influence a potential Federal Reserve policy shift. A lower-than-expected CPI could trigger a risk-on rally, as traders anticipate a potential easing of monetary policy.

According to Milk Road, significant market fluctuations were observed in the cryptocurrency markets before and after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This indicates traders' reactions to inflation data which can impact interest rate expectations, leading to volatility in cryptocurrency prices.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Canada's CPI inflation increased from 1.9% to 2.6% in February, recording a month-on-month rise of 1.1%, surpassing the anticipated 2.2% YoY and 0.6% MoM. This unexpected inflation spike is noteworthy for traders as it does not yet account for the impact of retaliatory tariffs, suggesting potential further increases. Monitoring inflation is critical for market participants concerned with currency valuations and interest rate shifts.

According to Milk Road, the necessity of financing for food purchases provides a more significant insight into the state of the economy than traditional CPI reports. This observation suggests potential shifts in consumer spending and economic priorities, which are crucial for traders analyzing the impact on markets, particularly those involved in consumer staples and related sectors. Source: Milk Road Tweet.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, China's consumer prices fell by -0.7% year-over-year in February, indicating a deflationary spiral. Additionally, China's Core CPI inflation decreased by -0.1%, marking the second monthly decline in over 15 years. This economic trend follows a GDP deflator drop of -0.8% in Q4 2024, the seventh consecutive quarterly decline. These deflationary pressures may impact cryptocurrency markets, as traders might anticipate changes in monetary policy or shifts in investor sentiment towards digital assets. Source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to KookCapitalLLC, the market has already sold off following the CPI pump, suggesting a bearish outlook. This indicates that traders might be anticipating further downturns, emphasizing the importance of cautious trading strategies in the current market environment.

According to WallStreetBulls (@w_thejazz), the upcoming PPI data, recent CPI performance, and anticipated Fed rate cuts, alongside political developments involving Mexico and Canada, are expected to significantly impact the cryptocurrency market, particularly XRP, which is predicted to surge by 100%. Traders should prepare for potential market movements.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the CPI data coming in lower than expected, along with monthly data also being lower than expected, signals the start of a great bull market for Crypto and Altcoins. This suggests a favorable trading environment for these assets.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), the BTC USDT order book on Binance shows significant activity ahead of the CPI and Core Inflation Data release. This indicates traders are positioning themselves in anticipation of potential market volatility following the economic data announcement.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin is experiencing a double bottom retest with increasing volume in that area. However, there is no confirmation yet, and it might take 1-2 days to confirm. Key economic events such as Job Openings, CPI, and PPI are highlighted as major factors that could influence market sentiment and yields.