According to @ai_9684xtpa, a counterparty BTC 40x short address kept its position through the post-CPI session without closing, while a 100% win-rate whale also added size at the same time, source: X post https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 and on-chain dashboard https://hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8. The short address is now sized at 550 BTC (about $60.95M) with an average entry of $109,621 and an unrealized loss of roughly $667,000, source: HyperBot address page https://hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8 and X post https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866. The source characterizes this as a drawn-out battle between sides and highlights $109,621 as the current reference entry for the short, source: X post https://x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 and HyperBot dashboard https://hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC is facing a crucial resistance zone, so he expects limited price movement around the CPI release based on his Oct 24, 2025 market update on X. According to @CryptoMichNL, he anticipates a potential breakout next week if the FOMC ends quantitative tightening and begins rate cuts, per the same source. According to @CryptoMichNL, a potential US government shutdown could add to market volatility and act as a catalyst, as stated in his Oct 24, 2025 commentary.

According to @CryptoMichNL, CPI and broader inflation readings came in below expectations, as stated in his X post on Oct 24, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this macro surprise could trigger a Bitcoin (BTC) breakout to a new all-time high within the next 30 days, per the same X post on Oct 24, 2025. According to @CryptoMichNL, this view signals a near-term bullish bias for BTC on the back of softer inflation, as indicated in his X post on Oct 24, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the upcoming US CPI release is likely to spark volatility across risk assets, including BTC and ETH, with any outcome creating a directional bias. According to @CryptoMichNL, a hotter-than-expected CPI could trigger an initial drop followed by a rebound as a new bullish narrative emerges. According to @CryptoMichNL, a cooler-than-expected CPI would likely reinforce a market narrative around impending Fed rate cuts, supporting a constructive risk tone. According to @CryptoMichNL, recent comments from Chair Powell have reduced the market’s focus on inflation, and social media is likely to frame either CPI outcome as bullish for markets.

According to @ai_9684xtpa, the counterparty “100% win-rate” whale increased a BTC short to 500 BTC (about $55.52 million) with an entry at $109,582.5 and is currently down roughly $762,000, with no further activity since the add. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866; hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8 @ai_9684xtpa also reports another “100% win-rate” trader has re-opened a BTC long after taking profits, signaling divergent positioning among tracked top wallets. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 The author flags tonight’s CPI as the next catalyst to watch for volatility that could pressure the 500 BTC short. Source: x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 Based on the disclosed 500 BTC size, each $1,000 move in BTC price implies about a $500,000 swing in unrealized PnL on the short position. Source: position size from x.com/ai_9684xtpa/status/1981648859055984866 and hyperbot.network/trader/0xdDc7E50a83710f9c62eFB558bcD0f640314aE2F8

According to @CNBC, JPMorgan has outlined a CPI-day reaction framework for U.S. equities that maps potential moves in the S&P 500, Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar based on upside or downside inflation surprises, providing traders with a scenario-based playbook ahead of Friday’s release. Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/how-the-stock-market-will-react-to-the-cpi-report-friday-according-to-jpmorgan.html The report indicates equity, rates, and FX reactions are tiered by CPI surprise buckets, implying actionable hedging and positioning around risk-on/off shifts that can spill over to crypto beta via liquidity and dollar dynamics. Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/how-the-stock-market-will-react-to-the-cpi-report-friday-according-to-jpmorgan.html For crypto, BTC and ETH tend to respond to CPI-driven moves in front-end yields and the DXY through risk sentiment and funding conditions, so traders should monitor BTC’s correlation to U.S. stocks and the dollar around the print. Source: https://research.kaiko.com

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC has moved sideways between $100K and $120K for nearly six months, keeping price action choppy until fresh macro data such as CPI and the upcoming Fed meeting provide direction, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He highlights $112K as a crucial resistance; a decisive break above that level could signal renewed strength and the next volatile leg higher, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He frames a bullish bias around potential FOMC-driven rate cuts, adjusted monetary policy, and an improving business cycle expected to start later this quarter, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). He argues BTC around $110K is not expensive versus 2021 when BTC was $69K with zero rates, while current rates are about 4%-4.5%, implying room for upside if rates decline, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025). Trading takeaway: monitor CPI and FOMC guidance for confirmation and watch for a daily close above $112K to validate breakout momentum within the $100K-$120K range, source: @CryptoMichNL (X, Oct 23, 2025).

According to @charliebilello, the US consumer dollar’s purchasing power has roughly halved over the last 30 years due to inflation, while the S&P 500 gained about 888% after inflation, or roughly 8% per year, highlighting the real return gap between cash and equities, source: Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning. For traders, this underscores that long-horizon equity exposure has historically outpaced inflation and preserved real wealth versus holding cash, source: Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning. Crypto angle: Bitcoin has increasingly moved with US equities since 2020, with IMF research documenting a rise in BTC–S&P 500 co-movement during the pandemic, making equity strength and inflation narratives relevant to crypto risk appetite, source: International Monetary Fund 2022. Practical takeaway: monitor US CPI and the S&P 500 trend as macro inputs for BTC and ETH positioning when inflation and equity momentum influence risk-on regimes, source: International Monetary Fund 2022; Charlie Bilello via Creative Planning.

According to the source, Uptober refers to BTC’s historically strong October, but CoinGlass’s monthly return heatmap shows October is often positive yet not uniformly so, and losses can still occur. Source: https://www.coinglass.com/BitcoinMonthlyReturn For trade timing, map October macro catalysts that impact USD liquidity and risk appetite, notably the U.S. CPI release and any Federal Reserve communications; use the BLS CPI schedule and the Fed FOMC calendar to plan exposure. Sources: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm and https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm Track spot BTC ETF net flows and AUM to gauge incremental demand, as daily creations and redemptions can influence intraday direction and closing imbalances. Source: https://farside.co.uk/crypto/research/bitcoin-etf-flows/ Monitor perpetual funding rates, futures basis, and open interest to avoid crowded positioning around catalysts; dashboards for funding and OI are available. Sources: https://www.coinglass.com/FundingRate and https://www.coinglass.com/OpenInterest Liquidity risk can rise on thinner order books during off-hours, increasing wick risk; market depth analyses highlight variance by venue and time. Source: https://kaiko.com/research

According to @business, US stocks extended declines on Thursday as investors awaited an inflation report that may shape Federal Reserve policy, highlighting CPI as the next key macro catalyst; source: @business. The same CPI and Fed policy headlines flagged by @business are closely tracked by crypto traders for potential cross-asset volatility that can impact BTC and ETH liquidity and pricing around the release; source: @business.

According to QCPgroup, crypto is back on track after last week’s CPI jitters as the print confirmed tariff-led inflation pressures without major surprises, giving risk assets a green light (source: QCPgroup on X, Sep 15, 2025). The update signals a near-term risk-on bias for digital assets during Asia trade with macro focus anchored on inflation and tariffs (source: QCPgroup on X, Sep 15, 2025).

According to @CryptoMichNL, today’s CPI was a "nothing burger" with limited market impact (source: @CryptoMichNL). He states rates are in a strong downtrend and have already peaked (source: @CryptoMichNL). He adds the Federal Reserve will need to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy, implying further decline in yields (source: @CryptoMichNL). He compares the setup to Q1 2020 and says the bull market is now here for altcoins, suggesting a risk-on tilt in crypto markets (source: @CryptoMichNL).

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin is smashing through a key resistance level now, indicating a breakout that traders are monitoring, source: @rovercrc. The same source notes that all eyes are on the CPI data later today as the immediate market focus, source: @rovercrc.

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin (BTC) sold off following the most recent U.S. CPI releases, signaling elevated event risk for traders seeking to manage drawdowns and slippage around macro data (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 11, 2025). CPI is released monthly at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, and macro prints at this time often trigger outsized volatility across risk assets including BTC, so reducing leverage and position size into the release is a common risk control (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; source: CME Group education). Liquidity often thins and spreads widen in the seconds around the print, making limit orders and predefined levels preferable to market orders during the initial move (source: CME Group education). For options traders, implied volatility tends to rise into CPI and can compress after the release, so checking IV versus realized and using defined-risk structures is key when considering straddles or strangles (source: Deribit Insights; source: CME options education). Directional traders can wait for BTC to reclaim the pre-CPI VWAP or break the first 5–15 minute range before adding risk to reduce whipsaw exposure during the data digestion (source: CME Group trading education).

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC has been pushed back beneath the 20-week moving average, which he calls a crucial level, with repeated rejections underscoring its importance (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 8, 2025). He also highlights $112,000 as a key price level to watch alongside the 20-week MA for trend confirmation (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 8, 2025). He notes that if BTC cannot reclaim the 20-week MA before the CPI release, another test of the recent lows followed by a reversal higher is his base case (source: @CryptoMichNL on X, Sep 8, 2025).

According to @GreeksLive, traders should focus on Thursday’s US August CPI and Initial Jobless Claims along with the ECB deposit facility rate decision as the week’s key macro catalysts ahead of next week’s Fed meeting, where they cite 90% odds of a 25 bp cut and 10% odds of a 50 bp cut, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They highlight Monday’s expected SEC ruling on Bitwise Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF physical redemption requests and note that ETF fund flows carry significant weight during the ongoing crypto price correction, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They also list Tuesday’s US 2025 Nonfarm Payroll Benchmark Change (Initial) at 22:00 on the calendar, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. On derivatives, they report BTC implied volatility across major terms near 35% and ETH around 65% with more pronounced short-term declines, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025. They add that September typically has weaker liquidity, the correction has lasted over half a month with no sign of ending, and short-term options are a relatively cost-effective bottom-fishing tool, favoring directional calls with limited downside and unlimited upside in current conditions, source: @GreeksLive, Sep 8, 2025.

According to @bobbyong, BTC is a hedge against USD inflation and should remain up-only while the money printer runs, as stated in his X post on Sep 6, 2025. Source: Bobby Ong on X, Sep 6, 2025. Under this thesis, traders should monitor USD liquidity proxies such as US M2 money supply and the Federal Reserve balance sheet total assets to gauge directional bias for BTC. Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED M2SL; Board of Governors H.4.1 Statistical Release. CPI prints and FOMC policy decisions are near-term volatility catalysts for BTC because they inform inflation and liquidity paths that underpin this view. Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI; Federal Reserve FOMC statements.

According to @GreeksLive, the community is predominantly bearish ahead of the CPI release. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025. Traders expect further downside toward the 118 and 115 key levels. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025. Multiple traders are already positioned short into the event. Source: @GreeksLive, Community Daily Digest, Aug 12, 2025.

According to @MI_Algos, a live snapshot of the BTC order book on Binance was shared just minutes before the U.S. CPI and Core Inflation releases, with the data due in under 10 minutes. According to Binance, order books display resting bid and ask liquidity that traders use to gauge potential near-term support and resistance around high-impact data drops.

According to QCPgroup, a softer CPI could cement odds of a September Fed cut, while a hotter print risks stalling the rally (source: QCPgroup). QCPgroup also reports active hedging demand for short-dated BTC put options concentrated in the 115k-118k strike range (source: QCPgroup). For traders, this underscores near-term CPI event risk and notable downside protection positioning around 115k-118k in Bitcoin options (source: QCPgroup).