According to @username, the US treasury ETF $TLT is showing a bullish setup as it forms a weekly swing low, with consensus expecting US long end yields to rise. However, real yields remain at 2% and core inflation (CPI) is projected to decline further due to a recession led by the housing sector, with shelter making up 36% of CPI. This macro backdrop is driving positive sentiment for US treasuries and $TLT, which could attract traders seeking safe-haven assets or portfolio hedges. Source: @username on Twitter.

According to Edward Dowd, the multi-family housing sector in the US has reached construction activity levels not seen since 1972, but is now experiencing a decline. Dowd reports that this downturn is likely to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months, creating a risk-off environment. He highlights that CPI is trending lower, which could lead to increased volatility and liquidity shifts in both traditional and crypto markets. Traders should monitor Fed policy signals closely, as rate cuts historically drive flows into risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) once risk-off sentiment stabilizes. Source: Edward Dowd on Twitter, June 11, 2025.

According to Milk Road, Truflation, a real-time inflation tracker, is currently reading 1.34%, offering a daily updated estimate that has been leading the official CPI lower for weeks. This provides traders with a more immediate and potentially predictive measure of inflation compared to the traditional CPI figures. Source: Milk Road.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Truflation has reported an inflation rate of 1.38%, which is 45 days ahead of the official CPI releases. This rate is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, suggesting potential for economic stimulus that has not yet been factored into current market prices. Traders are advised to monitor developments closely, especially leading up to the official CPI announcement on April 11.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Truflation has released early CPI data showing a 1.38% inflation rate, which precedes the official CPI release by 45 days. This rate is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, potentially signaling further economic stimulus and indicating that current market prices may not reflect this information yet. Traders are advised to monitor developments leading to the official release on April 11.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, inflation dropped significantly in March, with @truflation reporting it now below 2%. This decrease is crucial as it may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with implications for a potential pivot. Traders are closely watching the upcoming CPI data release on April 10, as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could trigger a 'risk-on' rally in the markets.

According to Milk Road, March saw a significant drop in inflation, with Truflation reporting levels now under 2%. This development comes ahead of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on April 10, which the markets are closely monitoring as it could influence a potential Federal Reserve policy shift. A lower-than-expected CPI could trigger a risk-on rally, as traders anticipate a potential easing of monetary policy.

According to Milk Road, significant market fluctuations were observed in the cryptocurrency markets before and after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This indicates traders' reactions to inflation data which can impact interest rate expectations, leading to volatility in cryptocurrency prices.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Canada's CPI inflation increased from 1.9% to 2.6% in February, recording a month-on-month rise of 1.1%, surpassing the anticipated 2.2% YoY and 0.6% MoM. This unexpected inflation spike is noteworthy for traders as it does not yet account for the impact of retaliatory tariffs, suggesting potential further increases. Monitoring inflation is critical for market participants concerned with currency valuations and interest rate shifts.

According to Milk Road, the necessity of financing for food purchases provides a more significant insight into the state of the economy than traditional CPI reports. This observation suggests potential shifts in consumer spending and economic priorities, which are crucial for traders analyzing the impact on markets, particularly those involved in consumer staples and related sectors. Source: Milk Road Tweet.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, China's consumer prices fell by -0.7% year-over-year in February, indicating a deflationary spiral. Additionally, China's Core CPI inflation decreased by -0.1%, marking the second monthly decline in over 15 years. This economic trend follows a GDP deflator drop of -0.8% in Q4 2024, the seventh consecutive quarterly decline. These deflationary pressures may impact cryptocurrency markets, as traders might anticipate changes in monetary policy or shifts in investor sentiment towards digital assets. Source: The Kobeissi Letter.

According to KookCapitalLLC, the market has already sold off following the CPI pump, suggesting a bearish outlook. This indicates that traders might be anticipating further downturns, emphasizing the importance of cautious trading strategies in the current market environment.

According to WallStreetBulls (@w_thejazz), the upcoming PPI data, recent CPI performance, and anticipated Fed rate cuts, alongside political developments involving Mexico and Canada, are expected to significantly impact the cryptocurrency market, particularly XRP, which is predicted to surge by 100%. Traders should prepare for potential market movements.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the CPI data coming in lower than expected, along with monthly data also being lower than expected, signals the start of a great bull market for Crypto and Altcoins. This suggests a favorable trading environment for these assets.

According to Material Indicators (@MI_Algos), the BTC USDT order book on Binance shows significant activity ahead of the CPI and Core Inflation Data release. This indicates traders are positioning themselves in anticipation of potential market volatility following the economic data announcement.

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Bitcoin is experiencing a double bottom retest with increasing volume in that area. However, there is no confirmation yet, and it might take 1-2 days to confirm. Key economic events such as Job Openings, CPI, and PPI are highlighted as major factors that could influence market sentiment and yields.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, PCE inflation is considered the final critical indicator as both PPI and CPI inflation metrics are showing signs of rebounding. This development is crucial for traders as it may influence market positioning and trading strategies. The Kobeissi Letter also highlights their impressive track record with over 370% gains since 2020, suggesting a strong historical performance in market prediction and trading strategy formulation.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, PCE inflation is anticipated to be a critical determinant for trading strategies as both PPI and CPI inflation are experiencing an uptrend. This suggests potential adjustments in market positions to accommodate inflationary pressures. The Kobeissi Letter highlights their trading success, noting a return of over +370% since 2020, and offers subscription services for detailed trade insights. This information is crucial for traders looking to navigate inflation-driven market dynamics effectively.

According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction markets now see a 23% chance of rate hikes returning in 2025, as reported by @Kalshi. This follows recent CPI data showing a 0.5% month-over-month increase, the largest since August 2023. Additionally, PPI inflation jumped to its highest since February 2023, which may influence interest rate expectations. Traders should consider these inflation indicators and market expectations when forming their trading strategies.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Federal Reserve's recent pivot appears to be ineffective as inflation indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have risen. CPI has reached a 7-month high, and PPI is at its highest since February 2023. Additionally, interest rates paid by Americans have increased by 100 basis points since the rate cuts began, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures.