Cross-Asset Selloff: SPY -1.5%, IWM -2.9%, Bitcoin ETF IBIT -3.2%, GLD and Treasuries Also Down — Implications for BTC
According to @EricBalchunas, markets saw a broad cross-asset selloff with SPY -1.5%, IWM -2.9%, IBIT -3.2%, GLD -0.75%, TLT -0.74%, and SHY -0.06%, indicating weakness even in short-term Treasuries; source: @EricBalchunas on X, Nov 13, 2025. IBIT’s larger decline than SPY shows Bitcoin exposure lagged large-cap equities on the day, while small caps underperformed via IWM; source: @EricBalchunas on X, Nov 13, 2025. For crypto traders, the session demonstrated risk-off pressure hitting Bitcoin-linked instruments such as IBIT alongside equities and bonds; source: @EricBalchunas on X, Nov 13, 2025.
SourceAnalysis
Market Turmoil Hits Stocks and Crypto: Analyzing the Downturn from Eric Balchunas' Perspective
In a stark reminder of market volatility, financial analyst Eric Balchunas highlighted a particularly rough trading session on November 13, 2025, where virtually every major asset class experienced declines. According to Eric Balchunas' tweet, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) dropped by 1.5%, while the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) saw a steeper fall of 2.9%. Even the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), a key gateway for institutional exposure to Bitcoin, plummeted by 3.2%. Gold (GLD) wasn't spared, declining by 0.75%, and long-term Treasuries (TLT) slipped by 0.74%. Remarkably, even short-term Treasuries (SHY) edged down by 0.06%, underscoring a broad-based sell-off that spared no corner of the market. This 'fugly day,' as Balchunas aptly described it, signals a potential shift in investor sentiment, with risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies bearing the brunt of the pressure. From a trading standpoint, this synchronized downturn suggests heightened correlations across markets, where crypto traders should watch for spillover effects from equities into Bitcoin and other digital assets.
Diving deeper into the crypto implications, the 3.2% drop in IBIT reflects broader pressures on Bitcoin, which often moves in tandem with stock market indices during risk-off periods. Traders monitoring BTC/USD pairs would note that such declines could test key support levels, potentially around the $60,000 mark if the sell-off persists, based on recent historical patterns observed in similar market environments. Trading volumes in Bitcoin futures on platforms like CME might surge as hedgers step in, while spot volumes on major exchanges could indicate retail capitulation. For Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins, this equity-led weakness might amplify losses, with ETH/BTC ratios potentially compressing further. Institutional flows, often tracked through ETF inflows, could slow, as evidenced by IBIT's performance mirroring SPY's decline but with greater magnitude, highlighting crypto's higher beta. Savvy traders might look for reversal signals, such as RSI dipping below 30 on daily charts, signaling oversold conditions ripe for short-term bounces. However, without real-time data confirming current prices, it's crucial to cross-reference with live feeds for precise entry points.
Cross-Market Correlations and Trading Opportunities
Examining cross-market dynamics, the simultaneous drops in GLD and TLT point to a flight from safe-havens, which is unusual and could imply rising yields pressuring all assets. For crypto enthusiasts, this environment presents both risks and opportunities; for instance, if Bitcoin holds above critical support, it might decouple positively from stocks, attracting inflows from sidelined capital. On-chain metrics, such as increased Bitcoin transfers to exchanges during downturns, often precede volatility spikes, offering traders data-driven insights. Pair trading strategies, like long BTC/short SPY, could hedge against further equity weakness, especially given IWM's outsized 2.9% loss indicating small-cap vulnerability. Market indicators like the VIX fear gauge likely spiked, correlating with crypto implied volatility in options markets. Traders should monitor 24-hour changes in major pairs like BTC/USDT, which might show amplified moves compared to the 1.5% SPY drop, emphasizing crypto's leverage. Broader implications include potential delays in institutional adoption if such days persist, but historically, these corrections have paved the way for bull runs, as seen in past cycles.
From an AI analyst's lens, integrating artificial intelligence tools for sentiment analysis could enhance trading decisions here. AI models scanning social media and news feeds might detect bearish tones amplifying the sell-off, providing predictive edges for crypto positions. For stock-crypto correlations, algorithmic trading systems could exploit arbitrage between IBIT and spot Bitcoin prices, especially during high-volume sessions. Looking ahead, if this downturn is indeed 'overdue' as Balchunas suggests, it might reset overbought conditions, setting up for recoveries. Traders eyeing long positions should wait for confirmation above moving averages, like the 50-day SMA for BTC, while risk management remains paramount with stop-losses below recent lows. Overall, this event underscores the interconnectedness of global markets, urging diversified strategies that balance crypto's upside with equity risks.
In summary, this market snapshot from November 13, 2025, captures a pivotal moment where everything from stocks to crypto and bonds faced headwinds. By focusing on concrete data like these percentage changes, traders can navigate volatility, identifying support levels and potential rebounds. For those optimizing portfolios, blending crypto holdings with traditional assets requires vigilance, especially in correlated downturns like this one.
Eric Balchunas
@EricBalchunasBloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.