According to @nic__carter, Polymarket moved Donald Trump’s winning odds higher ahead of the election, a repricing that he says proved correct despite claims that whales were intentionally bidding the market up (source: @nic__carter). For trading, sharp repricing in Polymarket’s implied probabilities around headline events can be treated as a real-time signal for positioning and liquidity management in on-chain prediction markets (source: @nic__carter). Traders should track order book depth, spread changes, and the velocity of odds moves on Polymarket during news cycles to identify edge and manage risk (source: @nic__carter).