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Fed Seen Cutting Rates 3 Times in 2025: Liquidity Tailwind for BTC, ETH and Risk Assets | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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9/16/2025 11:00:00 AM

Fed Seen Cutting Rates 3 Times in 2025: Liquidity Tailwind for BTC, ETH and Risk Assets

Fed Seen Cutting Rates 3 Times in 2025: Liquidity Tailwind for BTC, ETH and Risk Assets

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates three times in 2025. In the prior easing cycle that began on July 31, 2019, the S&P 500 went on to set fresh all-time highs by November 2019, signaling stronger risk appetite, per S&P Dow Jones Indices. Historically, falling policy rates compress real yields and support risk-taking, per Federal Reserve Board policy documentation and U.S. Treasury TIPS data. Looser policy also tends to coincide with a softer U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which has been a tailwind for BTC and ETH in past cycles, per ICE U.S. Dollar Index data and Coin Metrics correlations. For positioning, traders can track 10-year real yields, DXY, and stablecoin net issuance as near-term liquidity gauges, per U.S. Treasury data, ICE benchmarks, and DeFiLlama analytics.

Source

Analysis

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025: A Catalyst for Crypto and Stock Market Surges?

As announced by financial analyst @MilkRoadDaily on September 16, 2025, the Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates three times in 2025, marking a significant shift in monetary policy. This development echoes the Fed's actions in 2019, when rate cuts triggered a robust market rally. Back then, stocks soared to new all-time highs, and risk assets experienced a substantial surge, driven by improved liquidity conditions. For traders eyeing cryptocurrency markets, this news could signal a pivotal moment, potentially mirroring the 2019 bull run where Bitcoin and other digital assets benefited from looser monetary policies. With no immediate real-time price data available, the focus shifts to broader market sentiment and historical correlations, suggesting that such cuts might enhance liquidity flows into high-risk sectors like crypto, boosting trading volumes and price momentum for major pairs such as BTC/USD and ETH/USD.

Diving deeper into the historical parallel, the 2019 rate cuts by the Fed came amid economic uncertainties, leading to a liquidity injection that propelled the S&P 500 up by over 28% that year, according to market data from that period. Risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, rode this wave; Bitcoin, for instance, climbed from around $3,500 in early 2019 to over $13,000 by mid-year, as per on-chain metrics tracked at the time. This precedent indicates that the anticipated 2025 cuts could similarly alleviate borrowing costs, encouraging institutional investors to allocate more capital into volatile assets. From a trading perspective, keep an eye on support levels for Bitcoin around $50,000 and resistance near $70,000, as rate cut expectations might drive speculative buying. Traders could consider long positions in ETH/BTC pairs, anticipating a shift in market dynamics where altcoins outperform amid rising liquidity. However, without current timestamps, it's essential to monitor upcoming Fed announcements for confirmation, as any deviation could introduce volatility spikes.

Implications for Crypto Trading Strategies Amid Liquidity Shifts

The projected rate cuts heading into 2026 represent a major pivot in liquidity conditions, potentially flooding markets with cheaper capital and fostering a risk-on environment. In the crypto space, this could translate to increased trading volumes on platforms like Binance for pairs involving Solana (SOL) and other layer-1 tokens, as investors seek higher yields in a low-rate regime. Historical data from 2019 shows that during rate cut cycles, crypto market cap expanded significantly, with trading volumes surging by up to 50% in some months, based on aggregated exchange reports. For stock-crypto correlations, a rising Nasdaq, often buoyed by tech stocks, has historically pulled Bitcoin along, with correlation coefficients reaching 0.7 during bullish phases. Traders might explore arbitrage opportunities between stock futures and crypto perpetuals, positioning for upside if the Fed's moves align with expectations. Yet, risks remain; if inflation rebounds unexpectedly, it could temper the cuts, leading to pullbacks in assets like XRP or ADA. To optimize trades, incorporate technical indicators such as RSI for overbought signals and moving averages for trend confirmation, ensuring entries are timed with liquidity announcements.

Beyond immediate trading tactics, the broader implications for institutional flows cannot be overlooked. With rate cuts on the horizon, hedge funds and family offices may ramp up allocations to Bitcoin ETFs and other crypto-linked products, similar to the inflows seen post-2019 cuts. According to investment flow trackers, such periods have seen billions funneled into risk assets, enhancing on-chain activity like transaction counts and wallet activations. For those trading altcoins, this environment could favor meme coins or AI-related tokens, given their sensitivity to market sentiment. However, always prioritize risk management; set stop-losses at key support levels, such as Ethereum's $2,000 mark, to guard against downside volatility. As we approach 2026, this Fed policy shift underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and crypto, offering traders a window for strategic positioning. In summary, while the 2025 rate cuts promise a liquidity boost reminiscent of 2019's market rip, staying attuned to macroeconomic indicators will be crucial for capitalizing on emerging opportunities in both stock and crypto realms.

Overall, this development invites a reevaluation of portfolio strategies, emphasizing diversification across crypto and stock assets. With potential for new highs in indices like the Dow Jones paralleling crypto surges, traders should watch for cross-market signals, such as rising gold prices indicating safe-haven shifts that could indirectly support Bitcoin as digital gold. Engaging in community discussions or following verified analysts like @MilkRoadDaily can provide timely insights, but base decisions on concrete data. As always, conduct thorough due diligence before executing trades in this evolving landscape.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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