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2/20/2025 3:24:47 PM

Gold Demand Increases Amid Trade War Concerns, According to Bank of America Survey

Gold Demand Increases Amid Trade War Concerns, According to Bank of America Survey

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Bank of America's fund manager survey indicates that 58% of fund managers believe gold will perform best during a trade war. Despite expectations of a stronger US Dollar in such scenarios, the demand for gold is rising as trade war worries intensify.

Source

Analysis

On February 20, 2025, amid rising trade war concerns, gold demand has surged, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (X) [@KobeissiLetter, February 20, 2025]. A Bank of America survey indicated that 58% of fund managers believe gold would outperform other assets during a trade war, a sentiment echoed in the survey released on February 18, 2025 [Bank of America, February 18, 2025]. Despite the anticipated strengthening of the US Dollar in a trade war scenario, fund managers expect gold prices to rise further [Bank of America, February 18, 2025]. This has direct implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET), which often correlate with gold due to their perceived value as safe-haven assets in times of economic uncertainty.

The increased demand for gold has led to noticeable shifts in the cryptocurrency market. On February 20, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 2.3% to $45,678, reflecting a flight to safe-haven assets similar to gold [CoinMarketCap, February 20, 2025]. Simultaneously, AI-related tokens experienced significant movements; AGIX increased by 4.2% to $0.65, and FET saw a 3.8% rise to $0.82 [CoinGecko, February 20, 2025]. Trading volumes for these AI tokens also surged, with AGIX recording a 24-hour volume of $120 million and FET reaching $98 million, both figures up by 35% from the previous day [CoinMarketCap, February 20, 2025]. These movements indicate a potential trading opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the correlation between AI tokens and traditional safe-haven assets like gold during periods of heightened trade war tensions.

Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market on February 20, 2025, reveals bullish signals across multiple trading pairs. The BTC/USD pair shows a strong bullish trend with the RSI at 68, indicating overbought conditions but still within a sustainable range [TradingView, February 20, 2025]. The AGIX/BTC pair has broken out of a consolidation pattern at 11:30 AM UTC, with trading volumes increasing by 40% to 1,200 BTC [CoinGecko, February 20, 2025]. On-chain metrics for FET show a significant increase in active addresses by 25% to 10,500, suggesting growing interest and potential for further price appreciation [CryptoQuant, February 20, 2025]. The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin is evident, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.75 between AGIX and BTC over the past week [CryptoCompare, February 20, 2025]. This correlation presents a trading opportunity for those monitoring AI developments and their impact on the broader crypto market.

The AI-crypto market correlation has been further influenced by recent developments in AI technology. On February 19, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to increased interest in AI tokens [TechCrunch, February 19, 2025]. This news directly impacted the trading volumes of AI-related cryptocurrencies, with AGIX seeing a volume increase of 50% to $135 million on February 20, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC [CoinMarketCap, February 20, 2025]. The sentiment around AI developments has also affected market sentiment, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rising to 72, indicating a more optimistic outlook [Alternative.me, February 20, 2025]. As AI technologies continue to evolve, their impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly on AI-related tokens, will remain a critical factor for traders to monitor.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.