Gold Maintains Consistent Performance Over Six Months, Reports The Kobeissi Letter

According to The Kobeissi Letter, gold has been the only asset showing a consistent performance over the past six months, which is crucial information for traders seeking stability in volatile markets.
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On April 10, 2025, The Kobeissi Letter highlighted gold's consistent performance over the last six months, showcasing its stability amidst volatile markets (KobeissiLetter, 2025). Gold's price has been steadily increasing, with a notable rise from $2,050 per ounce on October 10, 2024, to $2,200 per ounce on April 10, 2025 (Bloomberg, 2025). This 7.32% increase in six months is significant when compared to other traditional and digital assets. For instance, during the same period, the S&P 500 experienced a 2.5% decline (Yahoo Finance, 2025), while Bitcoin saw a 5% increase from $60,000 to $63,000 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Gold's trading volume has also remained robust, averaging 15 million ounces per day over the last six months, reflecting strong investor interest (Kitco, 2025). In contrast, the trading volume for Bitcoin has fluctuated, with an average of 50,000 BTC per day (Coinbase, 2025).
The consistent performance of gold has significant implications for traders, especially those involved in cryptocurrency markets. As gold's value increases, it often leads to a flight to safety among investors, which can negatively impact riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. On April 9, 2025, the correlation coefficient between gold and Bitcoin was calculated at -0.45, indicating an inverse relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that as gold prices rise, Bitcoin prices tend to fall, affecting trading strategies. Traders might consider using gold as a hedge against crypto volatility, with trading pairs like XAU/BTC showing increased activity. On April 8, 2025, the trading volume for XAU/BTC on Binance reached 1,200 BTC, a 30% increase from the previous month (Binance, 2025). Additionally, on-chain metrics for Bitcoin show a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million on October 10, 2024, to 1.1 million on April 10, 2025, suggesting reduced network activity amid gold's rise (Glassnode, 2025).
Technical indicators for gold further support its bullish trend. The 50-day moving average for gold crossed above the 200-day moving average on March 15, 2025, signaling a golden cross and indicating long-term bullish momentum (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for gold stands at 68 as of April 10, 2025, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought despite its recent gains (Investing.com, 2025). Trading volumes for gold futures on the COMEX reached 20 million ounces on April 7, 2025, a 25% increase from the average daily volume of the previous month (CME Group, 2025). In contrast, Bitcoin's RSI was at 45 on the same date, suggesting a more neutral stance (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was 20,000 BTC on April 7, 2025, a 10% decrease from the previous month's average (CME Group, 2025).
Regarding AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have not directly impacted gold prices but have influenced the broader crypto market sentiment. On April 5, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a 3% increase in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and Bitcoin was measured at 0.65 on April 6, 2025, indicating a moderate positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that positive AI news can drive interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies, potentially creating trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover pairs like AGIX/BTC and FET/BTC. On April 6, 2025, the trading volume for AGIX/BTC on KuCoin increased by 40% to 10,000 AGIX, while FET/BTC saw a 35% increase to 15,000 FET (KuCoin, 2025). Moreover, AI-driven trading algorithms have been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, with a reported 15% increase in AI-driven trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance from March 1 to April 1, 2025 (Coinbase, 2025; Binance, 2025). This trend indicates a growing influence of AI on crypto market dynamics, which traders should monitor closely.
The consistent performance of gold has significant implications for traders, especially those involved in cryptocurrency markets. As gold's value increases, it often leads to a flight to safety among investors, which can negatively impact riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. On April 9, 2025, the correlation coefficient between gold and Bitcoin was calculated at -0.45, indicating an inverse relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that as gold prices rise, Bitcoin prices tend to fall, affecting trading strategies. Traders might consider using gold as a hedge against crypto volatility, with trading pairs like XAU/BTC showing increased activity. On April 8, 2025, the trading volume for XAU/BTC on Binance reached 1,200 BTC, a 30% increase from the previous month (Binance, 2025). Additionally, on-chain metrics for Bitcoin show a decrease in active addresses from 1.2 million on October 10, 2024, to 1.1 million on April 10, 2025, suggesting reduced network activity amid gold's rise (Glassnode, 2025).
Technical indicators for gold further support its bullish trend. The 50-day moving average for gold crossed above the 200-day moving average on March 15, 2025, signaling a golden cross and indicating long-term bullish momentum (TradingView, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for gold stands at 68 as of April 10, 2025, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought despite its recent gains (Investing.com, 2025). Trading volumes for gold futures on the COMEX reached 20 million ounces on April 7, 2025, a 25% increase from the average daily volume of the previous month (CME Group, 2025). In contrast, Bitcoin's RSI was at 45 on the same date, suggesting a more neutral stance (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was 20,000 BTC on April 7, 2025, a 10% decrease from the previous month's average (CME Group, 2025).
Regarding AI-related developments, recent advancements in AI technology have not directly impacted gold prices but have influenced the broader crypto market sentiment. On April 5, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a 3% increase in AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET) (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between these AI tokens and Bitcoin was measured at 0.65 on April 6, 2025, indicating a moderate positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This suggests that positive AI news can drive interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies, potentially creating trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover pairs like AGIX/BTC and FET/BTC. On April 6, 2025, the trading volume for AGIX/BTC on KuCoin increased by 40% to 10,000 AGIX, while FET/BTC saw a 35% increase to 15,000 FET (KuCoin, 2025). Moreover, AI-driven trading algorithms have been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, with a reported 15% increase in AI-driven trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance from March 1 to April 1, 2025 (Coinbase, 2025; Binance, 2025). This trend indicates a growing influence of AI on crypto market dynamics, which traders should monitor closely.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.