Goldman Sachs Forecasts 25 bps Fed Cut Tomorrow and 50 bps in 2026: Key FOMC Path for Crypto Traders Watching BTC, ETH | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/10/2025 12:06:00 AM

Goldman Sachs Forecasts 25 bps Fed Cut Tomorrow and 50 bps in 2026: Key FOMC Path for Crypto Traders Watching BTC, ETH

Goldman Sachs Forecasts 25 bps Fed Cut Tomorrow and 50 bps in 2026: Key FOMC Path for Crypto Traders Watching BTC, ETH

According to @StockMKTNewz, Goldman Sachs expects Jerome Powell and the US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 0.25% tomorrow and projects a cumulative 0.50% of cuts in 2026 after an early-year pause. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Dec 10, 2025. For trading, a 25 bp cut and a shallower 2026 easing path typically lower front-end rate expectations and can pressure the US dollar, variables closely watched for crypto risk appetite in BTC and ETH. Source: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report; Bank for International Settlements Quarterly Review. Volatility often rises around the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference, with BTC and ETH reacting to shifts in the expected rate path. Source: Deribit Insights; Kaiko Research.

Source

Analysis

Goldman Sachs has made headlines with its latest predictions on US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, sparking significant interest among cryptocurrency traders and investors. According to Evan from StockMKTNewz, the investment bank anticipates that Jerome Powell and the Fed will implement a 0.25% rate cut tomorrow, December 11, 2025, followed by a more substantial 0.50% reduction in 2026 after an initial pause early in the year. This forecast comes at a pivotal time for global markets, where traditional finance intersects with the volatile world of cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. As a crypto analyst, I see this as a potential catalyst for renewed bullish momentum in digital assets, given the historical correlation between lower interest rates and increased risk appetite in crypto trading pairs.

Fed Rate Cuts and Crypto Market Correlations

Historically, Federal Reserve rate cuts have often led to surges in cryptocurrency prices, as cheaper borrowing costs encourage institutional flows into high-yield assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. For instance, during previous easing cycles, BTC has seen price appreciations exceeding 20% within weeks of announcements, driven by heightened trading volumes on major exchanges. In the context of Goldman Sachs' prediction, traders should monitor key support levels for BTC around $90,000 and resistance at $100,000, based on recent market patterns. If the 0.25% cut materializes tomorrow, we could witness immediate volatility in BTC/USD pairs, with 24-hour trading volumes potentially spiking to over $50 billion, similar to patterns observed in 2024 rate adjustments. Ethereum, often viewed as a bellwether for altcoin sentiment, might test its $4,000 resistance level, bolstered by on-chain metrics showing increased whale activity. This scenario underscores trading opportunities in leveraged positions, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions indicated by RSI levels above 70 on daily charts.

Impact on Institutional Flows and Broader Sentiment

Beyond immediate price action, the anticipated Fed moves could accelerate institutional adoption in the crypto space. Goldman Sachs' outlook suggests a dovish stance that might pause early in 2026 before resuming cuts, providing a window for strategic entries. Crypto traders can look to correlations with stock market indices like the S&P 500, where rate-sensitive sectors often mirror movements in digital assets. For example, a 0.25% cut could enhance liquidity, prompting funds to allocate more to BTC ETFs, which have already seen inflows surpassing $10 billion in 2025 according to verified market reports. On-chain data from platforms like Glassnode reveals rising accumulation addresses for ETH, hinting at long-term bullish sentiment amid lower rates. However, risks remain, including geopolitical tensions that could disrupt this narrative, emphasizing the need for diversified portfolios incorporating stablecoins like USDT for hedging.

From a trading perspective, savvy investors should consider cross-market opportunities, such as pairing BTC longs with shorts on interest-rate sensitive bonds. The 2026 projection of a 0.50% cut post-pause aligns with broader economic indicators pointing to moderated inflation, potentially fueling a multi-month rally in altcoins like SOL and AVAX. Market indicators, including the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hovering at extreme greed levels, suggest over-optimism that could lead to pullbacks, making timed entries crucial. Overall, this Fed forecast reinforces the interconnectedness of traditional and crypto markets, offering actionable insights for traders aiming to capitalize on volatility. By focusing on real-time volume spikes and price thresholds, one can navigate these developments effectively, always prioritizing risk management in this dynamic environment.

In summary, Goldman Sachs' predictions highlight a strategic moment for crypto enthusiasts. With the immediate 0.25% cut on the horizon and a larger adjustment slated for 2026, the emphasis is on monitoring market reactions closely. Traders are encouraged to leverage tools like moving averages and Bollinger Bands for precise entries, ensuring positions align with evolving sentiment. This analysis, grounded in historical precedents and current forecasts, positions crypto as a prime beneficiary of Fed policy shifts, potentially driving significant gains for those prepared to act decisively.

Evan

@StockMKTNewz

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