According to The Kobeissi Letter, US job openings in April 2025 dropped to a three-year low of 7.36 million, based on BLS data. This marks a level even below the pre-pandemic peak of Q4 2018. The tightening labor market can signal slower economic growth, which historically impacts risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors rebalance portfolios in response to macroeconomic uncertainty. Crypto traders should monitor labor market trends, as continued weakness could influence Federal Reserve policy and drive volatility in Bitcoin and altcoins. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter Twitter, BLS data)

According to The Kobeissi Letter, job postings on Indeed have dropped by 10% year-over-year, marking the lowest level in four years. Over the past three years, the decline in job postings has reached 33%, resulting in available vacancies being just 8% above pre-pandemic levels. Additionally, new job postings have fallen by 40%, which could indicate a cooling labor market, potentially affecting consumer spending and economic growth.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, gold is experiencing a rally due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. This situation has created a 'Buy the rumor, Sell the News' scenario, which traders might exploit in the short term. The assumption is that these uncertainties could resolve in the coming weeks, potentially impacting gold's price movement. Traders should also consider weakening labor markets as a factor that could influence gold's future trajectory. Source: Michaël van de Poppe via Twitter.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Japan's base pay for workers increased by 3.1% year-over-year in January, marking the largest jump in 32 years. Wages excluding bonuses and overtime rose by 3.0%, the highest since July 2024. This acceleration in salary increases is attributed to a tightening labor market in Japan, indicating potential impacts on consumer spending and inflation rates.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US job market is showing signs of underlying weakness, with a significant increase in part-time employment. In February, the number of people working part-time jobs while seeking full-time employment surged by 460,000, reaching 4.9 million, the highest level since May 2021. Over the past 2.5 years, the number of underemployed Americans has increased by 1.3 million, indicating a growing trend of underemployment in the US economy.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, China's aging population is affecting the economic labor dynamics, with the current ratio of workers to retirees at 5:1, the lowest on record. This trend, having declined since the 1970s, is anticipated to drop further to approximately 3:1, signaling potential labor shortages and increased economic pressure on the working population, which could impact investment strategies and economic stability in the region.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, the recent decrease in non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates may not reflect the immediate market reaction. He suggests that a slower labor market could lead to lower yields, which might result in an increase in Bitcoin's price (Source: @CryptoMichNL, February 7, 2025).

According to Skew Δ (@52kskew), there is significant anticipation surrounding today's employment data release due to unexpected slack in labor market data observed yesterday. This could have a notable impact on cryptocurrency trading, particularly if the employment figures are weaker than expected. Traders should prepare for potential volatility in response to these economic indicators.

According to @Bob_Iaccino, former BlackRock portfolio manager Edward Dowd discussed the economic impacts of COVID-19 policies on the labor market, highlighting shifts in employment trends and public trust dynamics, which are crucial for traders to understand market movements and investment opportunities.

According to The White House, Aldo Castaneda-Aguilar, a Mexican national, was arrested by ICE Atlanta on February 3, 2025, for convictions including homicide by vehicle and hit-and-run. This enforcement action aligns with current immigration policies and may impact sectors reliant on labor from immigrant communities, potentially affecting economic activities and labor markets. [Source: The White House]