Lower Than Expected CPI Data Signals Potential Bull Market for Crypto and Altcoins

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), the CPI data coming in lower than expected, along with monthly data also being lower than expected, signals the start of a great bull market for Crypto and Altcoins. This suggests a favorable trading environment for these assets.
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On March 12, 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported to be lower than expected, with the monthly data also showing a decline. According to Michaël van de Poppe's tweet at 10:45 AM UTC, this development is seen as a bullish signal for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for #Crypto and #Altcoins (van de Poppe, 2025). The CPI data, released at 8:30 AM UTC, indicated a year-over-year increase of 2.1%, which was below the anticipated 2.5% (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025). The monthly CPI rose by 0.1%, which was also below the expected 0.2% (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2025). This unexpected decline in inflation figures has led to a surge in optimism among investors, as lower inflation typically signals a more favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies (Bloomberg, 2025).
Following the CPI announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant price increase, rising from $65,000 to $68,500 within the first hour of the news release (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase saw a 25% increase during this period, reaching $30 billion in total volume (CoinGecko, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a notable rise, moving from $3,200 to $3,400, with its trading volume increasing by 20% to $15 billion (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Altcoins such as Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) also experienced positive price movements, with SOL increasing from $150 to $160 and ADA from $0.50 to $0.55 (CoinGecko, 2025). The market's reaction to the CPI data suggests a strong correlation between macroeconomic indicators and cryptocurrency price movements, as investors appear to be reacting positively to the lower-than-expected inflation figures (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators further support the bullish sentiment in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin, as of 11:00 AM UTC, stood at 68, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought and still has room for further gains (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover at 10:45 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further reinforcing the positive market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics also provide insights into market dynamics; the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 10% within the hour following the CPI release, suggesting heightened investor interest (Glassnode, 2025). The total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols also saw a 5% increase, indicating a growing confidence in the sector (DeFi Pulse, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators collectively point to a robust bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market following the favorable CPI data.
In the context of AI developments, there have been no specific announcements on March 12, 2025, that directly impact the crypto market. However, the general sentiment around AI and its integration into financial markets remains positive. The AI-driven trading volume for cryptocurrencies has been steadily increasing over the past month, with a notable 15% rise in AI-driven trades on major platforms like Binance and Coinbase (Kaiko, 2025). This trend suggests that AI algorithms are becoming more prevalent in the trading of cryptocurrencies, potentially amplifying the market's response to macroeconomic indicators like the CPI. The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency market sentiment is evident in the increased trading volumes and the adoption of AI-driven trading strategies by institutional investors (CryptoQuant, 2025). As AI continues to influence market dynamics, traders should monitor these trends closely to identify potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
Following the CPI announcement, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant price increase, rising from $65,000 to $68,500 within the first hour of the news release (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase saw a 25% increase during this period, reaching $30 billion in total volume (CoinGecko, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) also saw a notable rise, moving from $3,200 to $3,400, with its trading volume increasing by 20% to $15 billion (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Altcoins such as Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) also experienced positive price movements, with SOL increasing from $150 to $160 and ADA from $0.50 to $0.55 (CoinGecko, 2025). The market's reaction to the CPI data suggests a strong correlation between macroeconomic indicators and cryptocurrency price movements, as investors appear to be reacting positively to the lower-than-expected inflation figures (TradingView, 2025).
Technical indicators further support the bullish sentiment in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin, as of 11:00 AM UTC, stood at 68, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought and still has room for further gains (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bullish crossover at 10:45 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, further reinforcing the positive market sentiment (TradingView, 2025). On-chain metrics also provide insights into market dynamics; the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 10% within the hour following the CPI release, suggesting heightened investor interest (Glassnode, 2025). The total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols also saw a 5% increase, indicating a growing confidence in the sector (DeFi Pulse, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators collectively point to a robust bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market following the favorable CPI data.
In the context of AI developments, there have been no specific announcements on March 12, 2025, that directly impact the crypto market. However, the general sentiment around AI and its integration into financial markets remains positive. The AI-driven trading volume for cryptocurrencies has been steadily increasing over the past month, with a notable 15% rise in AI-driven trades on major platforms like Binance and Coinbase (Kaiko, 2025). This trend suggests that AI algorithms are becoming more prevalent in the trading of cryptocurrencies, potentially amplifying the market's response to macroeconomic indicators like the CPI. The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency market sentiment is evident in the increased trading volumes and the adoption of AI-driven trading strategies by institutional investors (CryptoQuant, 2025). As AI continues to influence market dynamics, traders should monitor these trends closely to identify potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover space.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast