NVDA, USD, Dow, and SPX Chart Patterns Signal Potential Market Top: Weekly Doji and Bearish Engulfing Patterns Analyzed

According to Omkar Godbole, recent weekly price action in major markets shows critical reversal signals: NVDA (NVIDIA) formed a weekly Doji, indicating potential indecision or market top; the US Dollar Index (USD) experienced a failed breakout, pointing to possible weakness; the Dow Jones (Dow) displays a triple top pattern, which often precedes downward moves; and E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES, SPX) posted a bearish engulfing weekly candle, suggesting a reversal may be underway. These technical signals are closely watched by traders as they could impact equity and crypto markets by altering risk sentiment and capital flows. Source: Omkar Godbole
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Traders in the stock and cryptocurrency markets are closely watching several key charts that could signal potential tops and reversals, as highlighted by technical analyst Omkar Godbole in a recent analysis. On August 3, 2025, Godbole shared insights on four critical charts, pointing to bearish patterns in major indices and assets. This comes at a time when market sentiment is shifting, with implications for risk assets including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As an expert in financial analysis, I'll dive into these chart patterns, their trading significance, and how they correlate with crypto trading opportunities, focusing on support and resistance levels, volume trends, and cross-market flows.
Analyzing NVDA's Weekly Doji: A Potential Top for AI Stocks and Crypto
The first chart focuses on Nvidia (NVDA) stock, showing a weekly Doji candlestick pattern that often indicates indecision at market highs and could signal a potential top. According to Omkar Godbole's post on August 3, 2025, this Doji appears after a strong uptrend, with NVDA closing near its opening price despite significant intraday volatility. From a trading perspective, this pattern suggests exhaustion among buyers, with key resistance around the $150 level based on recent highs. If confirmed, a breakdown below the Doji's low at approximately $140 could trigger selling pressure, targeting support at $120. Trading volume during this period showed a slight decline, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For crypto traders, NVDA's performance is crucial as it drives sentiment in AI-related tokens like Render (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET). A NVDA top could lead to reduced institutional flows into AI cryptos, potentially pressuring BTC below $60,000 and ETH under $3,000, creating short-selling opportunities in correlated pairs on exchanges like Binance.
Bearish Signals in USD Index and Their Impact on Crypto Markets
Next, the Dollar Index (USD) chart reveals a failed breakout attempt, as noted by Godbole. This pattern occurs when the index pushes above a resistance level but fails to sustain, often leading to a reversal. On the weekly timeframe analyzed on August 3, 2025, the USD tested highs near 105 but closed lower, forming a shooting star-like candle with reduced volume, indicating waning bullish momentum. Support levels to watch are around 102, with a break potentially accelerating dollar weakness. In cryptocurrency trading, a weaker USD typically boosts risk assets like BTC and ETH, as investors seek alternatives amid fiat depreciation. This failed breakout could correlate with Bitcoin's recent resilience above $58,000, offering long positions in BTC/USD pairs if USD support breaks. Institutional data from sources like CME futures show increased open interest in crypto, suggesting hedging against dollar volatility.
Dow Triple Top and SPX Emini Bearish Engulfing: Broader Market Risks for Crypto
Godbole's analysis also covers the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) with a triple top formation, a classic reversal pattern where the index fails to break higher on three attempts. As of the August 3, 2025 chart, the Dow hovered near 40,000, with each peak showing decreasing volume, hinting at seller dominance. A confirmed triple top could see the index drop to support at 38,000, impacting overall stock market sentiment. Similarly, the S&P 500 Emini futures (ES and SPX) displayed a weekly bearish engulfing pattern, where a large red candle engulfs the previous green one, signaling a potential top. This occurred with elevated trading volume, adding conviction to the bearish case, with resistance at 5,500 and support near 5,200. For crypto markets, these stock index patterns often lead to risk-off environments, where BTC and ETH face selling pressure. Historical correlations show that Dow tops have preceded 10-15% drops in Bitcoin, as seen in past cycles. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics like Bitcoin's exchange inflows, which spiked recently, indicating potential capitulation. Opportunities include shorting ETH against stablecoins or longing defensive assets like gold-backed tokens during stock downturns.
In summary, these chart patterns from Omkar Godbole's August 3, 2025 analysis underscore a cautious outlook for stocks, with direct trading implications for cryptocurrencies. By integrating technical indicators like Doji, failed breakouts, triple tops, and bearish engulfing candles, traders can identify entry points, such as shorting NVDA-linked AI cryptos or hedging with BTC puts. Market sentiment remains mixed, with institutional flows shifting toward safer assets amid these signals. Always use stop-losses around key levels and monitor volume for confirmation to navigate these potential tops effectively.
Omkar Godbole, MMS Finance, CMT
@godbole17Staff of MMS Finance.