More from André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro | Flash News

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André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.

Bitcoin: Implied Volatility Drops Below 40

Bitcoin implied volatility drops below 40, historically resolving via upside moves as mean reversion sets in over 90 days with BTC at $62975. (Source)

08-14-2026 15:06
Bitcoin: Implied Volatility Drops Below 40

Bitcoin implied volatility falls below 40 as Andre Dragosch highlights upside bias; 4h chart shows BTC at $62975 with bearish EMA structure and MACD death cross. (Source)

08-14-2026 14:58
Bitcoin: IV Mean Reversion Favors 90-Day Horizon

Bitcoin implied volatility below 40 shows stronger mean-reversion over 90 days than 7 days at $62617.16 amid bearish 4h structure. (Source)

08-14-2026 14:42
Bitcoin: Volatility Coils at Seasonal Lows

Bitcoin volatility sits at the lower end of its historical band in August, with BTC at $62628.1 testing support amid bearish MACD signals. (Source)

08-14-2026 14:12
Bitcoin: Enters August September Seasonal Lull

Bitcoin enters August September low-return period at $62633.45 with bearish EMA50 at $63914.07 and MACD death cross on 4h chart. (Source)

08-14-2026 13:49
Bitcoin: Record Choppiness Index Signals Move

Bitcoin posts highest 1D Choppiness Index in a year at $62830.7 with EMA50 resistance at $63964.89 and MACD death cross, shaping BTC price prediction and crypto market volatility. (Source)

08-14-2026 09:20
Silicon Data: Closed US Models Lose Token Share to Chinese Open Models

Silicon Data data reveals closed US model token expenditures falling while open Chinese models gain as OpenAI cuts prices and GLM 5.2 plus Kimi K3 raise effective rates. (Source)

08-14-2026 06:12
Bitcoin: Semis Bear Market to Spur Capital Rotation

Bitcoin: André Dragosch sees semis bear market until 2028 as AI trade peaks, with capital rotating into BTC amid $63629 price action. (Source)

08-12-2026 06:36
Bitcoin: Luke Dashjr BIP-110 Fork Draws Criticism

Bitcoin at $65182.88 faces BIP-110 hard fork plans from Luke Dashjr as André Dragosch highlights altcoin risks amid neutral RSI and MACD death cross. (Source)

08-10-2026 05:39
Bitcoin: 8x Rally to 126k Without Retail Fuels Next Run

Bitcoin: 8x from 16k to 126k despite absent retail sets stage for next bull market as price holds $65237.94 with EMA50 support at $64485.83. (Source)

08-09-2026 16:52
Bitcoin: BIP-110 Chain Block Time Hits 6.9 Hours

Bitcoin BIP-110 chain logs 6.9-hour average block times, far from the 10-minute standard, as BTC trades at $64818.01 with EMA50 support at $64418.5. (Source)

08-09-2026 08:37
Bitcoin: News Sensitivity Hits All-Time Lows

Bitcoin sensitivity to bad news at all-time lows signals seller exhaustion as BTC holds $63844 with bullish 4h MACD golden cross. (Source)

08-04-2026 14:07
Kevin Warsh: Bitcoin Could Enforce Market Discipline

Kevin Warsh flags Bitcoin market discipline signal, but execution hinges on BTC becoming global reserve asset and hard money standard amid $63675 price action. (Source)

08-04-2026 07:43
Strategy: Raises USD Reserve to $4B, Repurchases $STRC

Strategy lifts USD Reserve by $250M to $4.0B and buys back $81M of $STRC, expanding BTC holdings to 842138 as of August 2026. (Source)

08-03-2026 12:08
Coldcard: Fifth Wave Drains 1,432 BTC

Coldcard drains total 1,432 BTC in fifth wave, prompting immediate withdrawal calls amid Bitcoin hardware wallet vulnerabilities Coldcard. (Source)

08-03-2026 07:04
Bitcoin: June Drawdown Linked to Liquidity Squeeze

Bitcoin June drawdown tied to tighter liquidity, hawkish Fed and AI equity volatility at $64321.39 with neutral RSI and MACD golden cross on 4h chart. (Source)

07-30-2026 08:33
Bitcoin: Flat as Semiconductors Drop 28%

Bitcoin holds flat since late June while SOX falls 28.3% at $64058.52, underscoring resilience versus AI industry impact and semis meltdown for BTC price prediction. (Source)

07-30-2026 08:06
AI Trade: Capital Misallocation Signs Surface

André Dragosch flags AI trade as potential capital misallocation via Gartner Hype Cycle on Jul 29, 2026. (Source)

07-29-2026 04:11
Bitcoin: AI Misallocation Emerges as Macro Catalyst

Bitcoin analyst flags AI trade as potential capital misallocation catalyst since Covid, with BTC at $63801.52 showing bearish EMA structure on 4h chart. (Source)

07-29-2026 03:58
André Dragosch: AI Trade Unwind Risks Systemic Crisis

André Dragosch warns AI trade unwind could trigger systemic financial crisis with major Bitcoin macro implications over next decade. (Source)

07-28-2026 17:35
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