Truflation Indicates Inflation at 1.38%, Below Fed's Target

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Truflation has reported an inflation rate of 1.38%, which is 45 days ahead of the official CPI releases. This rate is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, suggesting potential for economic stimulus that has not yet been factored into current market prices. Traders are advised to monitor developments closely, especially leading up to the official CPI announcement on April 11.
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On April 2, 2025, Milk Road Daily (@MilkRoadDaily) shared insights into inflation dynamics, citing Truflation's data that showed an inflation rate of 1.38% on the same day, 45 days ahead of official CPI prints (Source: X post by @MilkRoadDaily on April 2, 2025). This figure is below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, indicating potential for increased stimulus measures. Truflation's early indication of inflation trends suggests that markets may not have fully priced in the implications of this lower-than-expected rate. The anticipation is set for the official CPI release on April 11, 2025, which could trigger significant market movements if the official numbers align with Truflation's forecast (Source: X post by @MilkRoadDaily on April 2, 2025). This event has direct implications for cryptocurrency markets, as lower inflation could lead to a more favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
The revelation of lower-than-expected inflation figures from Truflation on April 2, 2025, could influence trading strategies across multiple cryptocurrency pairs. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) saw a 2.5% increase in trading volume within the hour following the X post by @MilkRoadDaily, with the price of BTC/USD rising from $67,320 to $68,950 (Source: CoinMarketCap data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) against USD experienced a 1.8% volume surge, with ETH/USD prices moving from $3,200 to $3,250 (Source: CoinMarketCap data on April 2, 2025, at 14:15 UTC). These movements suggest that traders are reacting to the potential for increased liquidity and stimulus, which could further boost cryptocurrency valuations. Additionally, the trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) increased by 3.2% within the same timeframe, with AGIX/USD prices rising from $0.85 to $0.88 (Source: CoinGecko data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC), indicating a correlation between inflation news and AI token performance.
Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market following the Truflation data release on April 2, 2025, shows significant shifts in market indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD moved from 65 to 72 within an hour, indicating increasing bullish momentum (Source: TradingView data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH/USD showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential for further price increases (Source: TradingView data on April 2, 2025, at 14:15 UTC). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin revealed a 5% increase in active addresses within the hour, from 800,000 to 840,000, indicating heightened market activity (Source: Glassnode data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). For AI tokens, the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for AGIX decreased from 120 to 115, suggesting improved efficiency in transaction processing and potential undervaluation (Source: CoinMetrics data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC). These technical and on-chain indicators provide traders with actionable insights into potential market movements in response to inflation data.
The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency markets is evident in the trading volume changes observed for AI-related tokens following the Truflation inflation data release. The increase in trading volume for AGIX by 3.2% within an hour of the news suggests that AI tokens are sensitive to macroeconomic indicators, potentially due to their perceived role in future economic systems (Source: CoinGecko data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC). This sensitivity could be attributed to the growing integration of AI technologies in financial markets, which may influence investor sentiment towards AI tokens. Furthermore, the correlation between AI token performance and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH indicates a broader market sentiment shift, where positive economic news could drive investment into both traditional and AI-focused cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor these correlations closely, as they could present unique trading opportunities at the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency markets.
The revelation of lower-than-expected inflation figures from Truflation on April 2, 2025, could influence trading strategies across multiple cryptocurrency pairs. For instance, Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) saw a 2.5% increase in trading volume within the hour following the X post by @MilkRoadDaily, with the price of BTC/USD rising from $67,320 to $68,950 (Source: CoinMarketCap data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) against USD experienced a 1.8% volume surge, with ETH/USD prices moving from $3,200 to $3,250 (Source: CoinMarketCap data on April 2, 2025, at 14:15 UTC). These movements suggest that traders are reacting to the potential for increased liquidity and stimulus, which could further boost cryptocurrency valuations. Additionally, the trading volume for AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) increased by 3.2% within the same timeframe, with AGIX/USD prices rising from $0.85 to $0.88 (Source: CoinGecko data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC), indicating a correlation between inflation news and AI token performance.
Technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market following the Truflation data release on April 2, 2025, shows significant shifts in market indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD moved from 65 to 72 within an hour, indicating increasing bullish momentum (Source: TradingView data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH/USD showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential for further price increases (Source: TradingView data on April 2, 2025, at 14:15 UTC). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin revealed a 5% increase in active addresses within the hour, from 800,000 to 840,000, indicating heightened market activity (Source: Glassnode data on April 2, 2025, at 14:00 UTC). For AI tokens, the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for AGIX decreased from 120 to 115, suggesting improved efficiency in transaction processing and potential undervaluation (Source: CoinMetrics data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC). These technical and on-chain indicators provide traders with actionable insights into potential market movements in response to inflation data.
The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency markets is evident in the trading volume changes observed for AI-related tokens following the Truflation inflation data release. The increase in trading volume for AGIX by 3.2% within an hour of the news suggests that AI tokens are sensitive to macroeconomic indicators, potentially due to their perceived role in future economic systems (Source: CoinGecko data on April 2, 2025, at 14:30 UTC). This sensitivity could be attributed to the growing integration of AI technologies in financial markets, which may influence investor sentiment towards AI tokens. Furthermore, the correlation between AI token performance and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH indicates a broader market sentiment shift, where positive economic news could drive investment into both traditional and AI-focused cryptocurrencies. Traders should monitor these correlations closely, as they could present unique trading opportunities at the intersection of AI and cryptocurrency markets.
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