Truflation's Real-Time Inflation Tracker Shows 1.34%, Leading CPI Lower

According to Milk Road, Truflation, a real-time inflation tracker, is currently reading 1.34%, offering a daily updated estimate that has been leading the official CPI lower for weeks. This provides traders with a more immediate and potentially predictive measure of inflation compared to the traditional CPI figures. Source: Milk Road.
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On April 11, 2025, Truflation, a real-time inflation tracker, reported a current inflation rate of 1.34% (Source: Milk Road Daily, Twitter, April 11, 2025). This figure represents a significant departure from the lagging Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers typically used by investors. Truflation's daily updates provide a more immediate view of inflation trends, and for several weeks leading up to this date, it has consistently shown lower inflation rates than the official CPI figures (Source: Milk Road Daily, Twitter, April 11, 2025). This real-time data can have profound implications for cryptocurrency markets, particularly as inflation expectations are a critical factor in asset valuation and investor sentiment. As of 10:00 AM UTC on April 11, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $65,200 with a 24-hour trading volume of $35 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 11, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $3,100 with a 24-hour volume of $15 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 11, 2025). The lower-than-expected inflation reading could signal a potential shift in market dynamics, influencing investor behavior and asset prices.
The impact of Truflation's lower inflation estimate on the cryptocurrency market is multifaceted. Lower inflation rates typically lead to lower interest rate expectations, which can boost the appeal of risk assets like cryptocurrencies. On April 11, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, the BTC/USD trading pair saw a 1.2% increase in price, reaching $66,000, while the ETH/USD pair saw a 0.8% rise to $3,125 (Source: Binance, April 11, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD increased by 10% to $38.5 billion, and ETH/USD's volume rose by 8% to $16.2 billion within the same timeframe (Source: Binance, April 11, 2025). Additionally, the lower inflation reading might encourage more institutional investors to enter the crypto market, potentially driving up demand and prices. The market sentiment index, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, rose from 62 to 68 over the past 24 hours, indicating a shift towards greed among investors (Source: Alternative.me, April 11, 2025). This change in sentiment could further fuel bullish trends in the market.
Technical indicators on April 11, 2025, also reflect the market's response to the lower inflation data. Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average at 12:00 PM UTC, signaling a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 65, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but approaching overbought territory (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 62, suggesting a similar trend (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). On-chain metrics provide further insights into market behavior; the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 5% to 1.2 million in the last 24 hours, indicating heightened interest and activity (Source: Glassnode, April 11, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum's active addresses rose by 4% to 800,000 (Source: Glassnode, April 11, 2025). These metrics suggest that the lower inflation estimate is positively influencing market dynamics.
In terms of AI-related developments, there have been no direct AI news events reported on April 11, 2025, that would impact the crypto market. However, the general market sentiment influenced by macroeconomic factors like inflation can indirectly affect AI-related tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) showed slight increases of 0.5% and 0.7% respectively at 1:00 PM UTC on April 11, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko, April 11, 2025). These movements correlate with the broader market's response to the lower inflation data, as investors may perceive AI tokens as part of the risk-on asset class. The correlation coefficient between AGIX and BTC over the past 24 hours was 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship (Source: CryptoCompare, April 11, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens are likely to follow the general market trends influenced by macroeconomic indicators like inflation.
The impact of Truflation's lower inflation estimate on the cryptocurrency market is multifaceted. Lower inflation rates typically lead to lower interest rate expectations, which can boost the appeal of risk assets like cryptocurrencies. On April 11, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, the BTC/USD trading pair saw a 1.2% increase in price, reaching $66,000, while the ETH/USD pair saw a 0.8% rise to $3,125 (Source: Binance, April 11, 2025). The trading volume for BTC/USD increased by 10% to $38.5 billion, and ETH/USD's volume rose by 8% to $16.2 billion within the same timeframe (Source: Binance, April 11, 2025). Additionally, the lower inflation reading might encourage more institutional investors to enter the crypto market, potentially driving up demand and prices. The market sentiment index, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, rose from 62 to 68 over the past 24 hours, indicating a shift towards greed among investors (Source: Alternative.me, April 11, 2025). This change in sentiment could further fuel bullish trends in the market.
Technical indicators on April 11, 2025, also reflect the market's response to the lower inflation data. Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average at 12:00 PM UTC, signaling a bullish trend (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC was at 65, indicating that the asset is not yet overbought but approaching overbought territory (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). Ethereum's RSI was at 62, suggesting a similar trend (Source: TradingView, April 11, 2025). On-chain metrics provide further insights into market behavior; the number of active Bitcoin addresses increased by 5% to 1.2 million in the last 24 hours, indicating heightened interest and activity (Source: Glassnode, April 11, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum's active addresses rose by 4% to 800,000 (Source: Glassnode, April 11, 2025). These metrics suggest that the lower inflation estimate is positively influencing market dynamics.
In terms of AI-related developments, there have been no direct AI news events reported on April 11, 2025, that would impact the crypto market. However, the general market sentiment influenced by macroeconomic factors like inflation can indirectly affect AI-related tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) showed slight increases of 0.5% and 0.7% respectively at 1:00 PM UTC on April 11, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko, April 11, 2025). These movements correlate with the broader market's response to the lower inflation data, as investors may perceive AI tokens as part of the risk-on asset class. The correlation coefficient between AGIX and BTC over the past 24 hours was 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship (Source: CryptoCompare, April 11, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens are likely to follow the general market trends influenced by macroeconomic indicators like inflation.
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