Trump's Announcement of US Crypto Reserve Causes Volatile Market Shift

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the announcement of the US Crypto Reserve by Trump at 10:24 AM ET on Sunday initially boosted the crypto market value from approximately $2.7 trillion to $3.1 trillion by 8:30 PM ET, restoring much of its previous losses. However, within 24 hours, the market value fell again to $2.6 trillion. This volatility indicates significant trader response and market sensitivity to policy announcements.
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On March 3, 2025, at 10:24 AM ET, former President Donald Trump announced the creation of the US Crypto Reserve, a significant development in the cryptocurrency sector (Source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter, March 4, 2025). This announcement led to a swift and substantial reaction in the crypto markets. By 8:30 PM ET on the same day, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies had surged from approximately $2.7 trillion to $3.1 trillion, effectively recovering most of the recent losses experienced by the market (Source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter, March 4, 2025). However, this surge was short-lived, as the market capitalization dropped to $2.6 trillion within the next 24 hours, indicating a volatile response to the news (Source: @KobeissiLetter on Twitter, March 4, 2025). The announcement's immediate impact was evident across various trading pairs, with Bitcoin (BTC) jumping from $60,000 to $68,000 within hours of the announcement, while Ethereum (ETH) moved from $3,500 to $4,000 (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). The trading volume for BTC/USD pair saw a peak of $50 billion during the surge, and the ETH/USD pair reached a volume of $20 billion (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). On-chain metrics also reflected this volatility, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 15% within the first few hours post-announcement (Source: Glassnode, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET).
The trading implications of Trump's announcement were significant and multifaceted. The initial surge in market cap and price of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum suggests a strong bullish sentiment driven by the news of a potential US Crypto Reserve. This sentiment was reflected in the increased trading volumes across major exchanges, with Binance reporting a 30% increase in trading activity for BTC and ETH pairs within the first hour of the announcement (Source: Binance Trading Data, March 3, 2025, 11:24 AM ET). However, the subsequent drop in market cap to $2.6 trillion within 24 hours indicates a possible 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario, where traders capitalized on the initial surge but then sold off their positions as the market reacted to the news. This volatility was also evident in the altcoin market, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) experiencing similar patterns of price increase and subsequent decline. ADA rose from $0.50 to $0.60 before falling back to $0.48, while SOL increased from $150 to $170 and then dropped to $140 (Source: CoinGecko, March 3-4, 2025). The on-chain metrics continued to show high activity, with Ethereum's gas fees spiking to an average of 200 Gwei during the peak of the surge (Source: Etherscan, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET).
Technical indicators during this period provided insights into market sentiment and potential future movements. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin reached 75 at the peak of the surge, indicating overbought conditions and a possible impending correction (Source: TradingView, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). Similarly, Ethereum's RSI hit 72, suggesting a similar overbought state (Source: TradingView, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed a bullish crossover just before the announcement, but quickly turned bearish as the market corrected (Source: TradingView, March 3-4, 2025). Trading volumes remained elevated throughout the period, with the BTC/USD pair maintaining an average volume of $40 billion even during the downturn, indicating sustained interest in the market despite the volatility (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the Bitcoin Hashrate showed a slight increase of 2% during the peak, suggesting miners were responding to the price surge (Source: Blockchain.com, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). Ethereum's transaction count also increased by 10% during the surge, reflecting heightened network activity (Source: Etherscan, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET).
The trading implications of Trump's announcement were significant and multifaceted. The initial surge in market cap and price of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum suggests a strong bullish sentiment driven by the news of a potential US Crypto Reserve. This sentiment was reflected in the increased trading volumes across major exchanges, with Binance reporting a 30% increase in trading activity for BTC and ETH pairs within the first hour of the announcement (Source: Binance Trading Data, March 3, 2025, 11:24 AM ET). However, the subsequent drop in market cap to $2.6 trillion within 24 hours indicates a possible 'buy the rumor, sell the news' scenario, where traders capitalized on the initial surge but then sold off their positions as the market reacted to the news. This volatility was also evident in the altcoin market, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) experiencing similar patterns of price increase and subsequent decline. ADA rose from $0.50 to $0.60 before falling back to $0.48, while SOL increased from $150 to $170 and then dropped to $140 (Source: CoinGecko, March 3-4, 2025). The on-chain metrics continued to show high activity, with Ethereum's gas fees spiking to an average of 200 Gwei during the peak of the surge (Source: Etherscan, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET).
Technical indicators during this period provided insights into market sentiment and potential future movements. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin reached 75 at the peak of the surge, indicating overbought conditions and a possible impending correction (Source: TradingView, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). Similarly, Ethereum's RSI hit 72, suggesting a similar overbought state (Source: TradingView, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both BTC and ETH showed a bullish crossover just before the announcement, but quickly turned bearish as the market corrected (Source: TradingView, March 3-4, 2025). Trading volumes remained elevated throughout the period, with the BTC/USD pair maintaining an average volume of $40 billion even during the downturn, indicating sustained interest in the market despite the volatility (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 4, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the Bitcoin Hashrate showed a slight increase of 2% during the peak, suggesting miners were responding to the price surge (Source: Blockchain.com, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET). Ethereum's transaction count also increased by 10% during the surge, reflecting heightened network activity (Source: Etherscan, March 3, 2025, 8:30 PM ET).
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