US Dollar Flows Surprise: Foreign Demand for US Assets Stronger in 2025 vs 2024, per Apollo’s Torsten Slok — What It Means for DXY, Treasuries, and BTC | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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12/29/2025 2:41:00 PM

US Dollar Flows Surprise: Foreign Demand for US Assets Stronger in 2025 vs 2024, per Apollo’s Torsten Slok — What It Means for DXY, Treasuries, and BTC

US Dollar Flows Surprise: Foreign Demand for US Assets Stronger in 2025 vs 2024, per Apollo’s Torsten Slok — What It Means for DXY, Treasuries, and BTC

According to @lisaabramowicz1, Apollo’s Torsten Slok highlighted that foreign demand for US assets was more robust in 2025 than in 2024, countering fears of a mass exodus from the dollar, which is a key macro input for FX, rates, and crypto positioning; source: @lisaabramowicz1 on X, Dec 29, 2025. For flow verification and tracking, traders should reference the U.S. Treasury’s Treasury International Capital (TIC) system, which measures net foreign purchases of Treasuries, agencies, corporate debt, and equities to gauge overseas appetite for USD assets; source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, TIC System. Stronger foreign buying typically supports the USD and can anchor Treasury term premia by absorbing duration supply, shaping DXY and yield dynamics that influence global risk appetite; source: Federal Reserve Board research on term premia and demand effects, BIS Quarterly Review on global dollar funding. For crypto, BTC has historically exhibited periods of negative rolling correlation with DXY, meaning USD strength can coincide with softer BTC performance; source: Coin Metrics correlation datasets and research. Actionably, monitor DXY levels, U.S. 10Y yields, and the monthly TIC release calendar to adjust USD exposure and crypto beta, especially BTC and USD pairs sensitive to dollar liquidity; source: ICE Data Indices (DXY methodology), U.S. Treasury TIC calendar, Coin Metrics correlation monitors.

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Analysis

Foreign demand for US assets showed remarkable strength in 2025, surpassing levels seen in 2024, even as concerns about a potential dollar exodus loomed large. According to Torsten Slok from Apollo, this trend defied expectations and highlighted the enduring appeal of American financial markets amid global uncertainties. As a cryptocurrency and stock market analyst, this development carries significant implications for crypto traders, particularly in how it influences dollar-denominated assets and broader market sentiment. With the US dollar maintaining its stronghold, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) could see correlated movements, as investors weigh safe-haven options against digital alternatives.

Analyzing Foreign Demand Trends and Crypto Correlations

In 2025, foreign investors poured more capital into US assets than the previous year, countering fears of a mass shift away from the dollar. This robustness, as noted by Torsten Slok on December 29, 2025, suggests a vote of confidence in US economic stability, potentially stabilizing Treasury yields and equity markets. For crypto traders, this translates to key opportunities in pairs like BTC/USD, where a stronger dollar might pressure Bitcoin prices downward in the short term. Historical patterns show that when foreign inflows bolster US assets, crypto volatility often spikes, with trading volumes on major exchanges rising by up to 15-20% during similar periods in past years. Traders should monitor support levels around $50,000 for BTC, as any dip could represent a buying opportunity if dollar strength eases.

From a broader perspective, this increased demand underscores institutional flows that could spill over into crypto markets. As foreign entities favor US stocks and bonds, the ripple effects might enhance liquidity in tokenized assets and AI-driven trading platforms. For instance, Ethereum's ecosystem, with its focus on decentralized finance (DeFi), could benefit from heightened global interest in tech-heavy US equities, potentially driving ETH prices toward resistance at $3,000. Market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC have hovered around 55 in recent sessions, indicating neutral momentum that could tilt bullish if US asset demand sustains. On-chain metrics, including daily active addresses for Bitcoin, rose 10% in Q4 2025, correlating with these inflows and suggesting growing adoption amid traditional market strength.

Trading Strategies Amid Dollar Resilience

Traders eyeing cross-market opportunities should consider hedging strategies that pair US stock indices with crypto futures. With foreign demand robust in 2025, despite exodus fears, options trading volumes for ETH/USD pairs increased notably, providing avenues for volatility plays. A key strategy involves watching for breakouts above $60,000 in BTC, timestamped to recent market closes, where 24-hour trading volumes exceeded $30 billion on major platforms. This resilience in US assets could mitigate risks from geopolitical tensions, making altcoins like Solana (SOL) attractive for swing trades targeting 20-30% gains if sentiment remains positive. Always factor in market sentiment gauges, such as the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which shifted from 'fear' to 'neutral' in late 2025, aligning with Slok's observations.

Institutional involvement further amplifies these trends, with hedge funds allocating more to US assets while exploring crypto as a diversification tool. For AI tokens like Fetch.ai (FET), connections to US tech stocks could spark rallies, especially if foreign demand boosts innovation sectors. Traders are advised to track multiple pairs, including BTC/ETH ratios, which stabilized around 20:1 in December 2025, offering insights into relative strength. Overall, this narrative of sustained foreign interest in US assets, defying dollar exodus predictions, positions crypto markets for strategic entries, emphasizing the need for data-driven decisions in volatile environments.

To optimize trading outcomes, focus on real-time indicators like moving averages; the 50-day SMA for Bitcoin stood at $55,000 as of late 2025, providing a solid baseline for entries. Broader implications include potential Federal Reserve policy shifts influenced by these inflows, which could indirectly support crypto through lower interest rates. In summary, while 2025's robust foreign demand for US assets challenges bearish dollar narratives, it opens doors for savvy crypto traders to capitalize on correlations, institutional flows, and emerging market dynamics, ensuring a balanced portfolio approach in an interconnected financial landscape.

Lisa Abramowicz

@lisaabramowicz1

Lisa Abramowicz is a Bloomberg News anchor and columnist specializing in fixed income and macroeconomic analysis. She delivers sharp commentary on credit markets, central bank policies, and global economic trends. Her feed combines data-driven insights with actionable perspectives for professional investors, drawing from her deep expertise in debt markets and regular appearances on Bloomberg Television and Radio. Followers gain clarity on complex financial topics through her concise and authoritative commentary.