AI & TECH PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket puts Anthropic at 94.5% to lead AI model race after hires
Tom Blomfield, Monzo’s former CEO, said he’s taking leave from Y Combinator to join Anthropic’s AI compute team, alongside other recent star hires.
Polymarket odds put Anthropic at 94.5% in best AI model race
A major AI-linked memory-chip supplier debuted on Wall Street, opening at $170 and raising $26.5 billion as it ramps DRAM and high-bandwidth memory capacity amid shortages that could last to 2030.
Polymarket odds lift Troy Jackson to 57.5% in Maine Dem Senate nominee race
A recent podcast episode detailed a rapidly escalating crisis around Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, including calls for him to step down amid controversies and sexual abuse allegations.
NJ lidar bill pressures Tesla as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 85.5%
In New Jersey, lawmakers are weighing a bill requiring fully autonomous vehicles to use cameras plus two extra sensors like lidar and radar, potentially blocking Tesla’s camera-only Robotaxi.
Meta debuts Instagram Muse Image as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 84.5%
On Tuesday, Meta rolled out Muse Image inside Instagram, letting prompts remix photos and even public-profile likenesses without notifications, with opt-outs only via privacy or new settings.
Kentucky data center lease keeps Anthropic at 84.5% on Polymarket AI race
A July 6, 2026 report says Anthropic signed a 20-year lease tied to a Kentucky AI data center slated to start up in late 2027 and ramp to 401MW in 2028.
US lifts Anthropic export curbs as Polymarket best-model odds slip to 83.5%
In a letter to Anthropic cofounder Tom Brown, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said licenses are no longer required to export Mythos 5 and Fable 5 after a Commerce Department agreement.
Asia AI launches test US export curbs as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 85.5%
Two weeks after a U.S. order blocked global access to Anthropic’s Mythos and Fable models, China’s 360 unveiled the Tulongfeng tool and Sakana AI launched Fugu, pitching export-control resilience.
Apple Vision Pro exec to OpenAI, but Polymarket still has Anthropic at 85.5%
A report said Apple hardware VP Paul Meade, tied to Vision Pro and smart-glasses work, is expected to join OpenAI amid a leadership shakeup under new CEO John Ternus.
OpenAI details Jalapeño chip as Polymarket prices Anthropic at 99%
OpenAI says it’s building a custom inference chip called Jalapeño with Broadcom as the industry looks to hedge against reliance on Nvidia.
White House export standoff sidelines Anthropic as Polymarket odds hit 86.5%
After a June 12 export control order, Anthropic has kept its Mythos-class models offline for two weeks and sent executives to Washington as negotiations drag on.
Anthropic-Alibaba Claude dispute lifts Polymarket lead to 85.5%
In a June 10 letter to Senators Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren, Anthropic accused Alibaba-linked operators of running 28.8 million Claude exchanges via 25,000 fraudulent accounts from April 22 to
Core PCE jitters hit Bitcoin as Polymarket pegs Anthropic at 98.4%
Ahead of Thursday’s 8:30 a.m. ET core PCE release, Bitcoin’s one-week options skew showed a near 25-point premium for puts over calls as traders braced for downside.
Webpage access glitch coincides with Polymarket backing Anthropic at 85.5%
A football news webpage warned a required component failed to load after a client-side challenge, suggesting extensions, network issues, or browser settings as possible causes.
SK Hynix, Samsung rally lifts AI mood as Polymarket puts Anthropic at 98%
South Korean chip giants SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics climbed as investors rotated back into AI-linked stocks, boosting confidence in the hardware-to-model pipeline.
