AI & TECH PREDICTION MARKETS
Apple Vision Pro exec to OpenAI, but Polymarket still has Anthropic at 85.5%
A report said Apple hardware VP Paul Meade, tied to Vision Pro and smart-glasses work, is expected to join OpenAI amid a leadership shakeup under new CEO John Ternus.
OpenAI details Jalapeño chip as Polymarket prices Anthropic at 99%
OpenAI says it’s building a custom inference chip called Jalapeño with Broadcom as the industry looks to hedge against reliance on Nvidia.
White House export standoff sidelines Anthropic as Polymarket odds hit 86.5%
After a June 12 export control order, Anthropic has kept its Mythos-class models offline for two weeks and sent executives to Washington as negotiations drag on.
Anthropic-Alibaba Claude dispute lifts Polymarket lead to 85.5%
In a June 10 letter to Senators Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren, Anthropic accused Alibaba-linked operators of running 28.8 million Claude exchanges via 25,000 fraudulent accounts from April 22 to
Core PCE jitters hit Bitcoin as Polymarket pegs Anthropic at 98.4%
Ahead of Thursday’s 8:30 a.m. ET core PCE release, Bitcoin’s one-week options skew showed a near 25-point premium for puts over calls as traders braced for downside.
Webpage access glitch coincides with Polymarket backing Anthropic at 85.5%
A football news webpage warned a required component failed to load after a client-side challenge, suggesting extensions, network issues, or browser settings as possible causes.
SK Hynix, Samsung rally lifts AI mood as Polymarket puts Anthropic at 98%
South Korean chip giants SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics climbed as investors rotated back into AI-linked stocks, boosting confidence in the hardware-to-model pipeline.
IBM touts $4.5B AI savings as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 83.5%
Over the past three years, IBM said its “client zero” AI-and-automation program cut $4.5 billion in spending by applying the tools to its own operations.
AI data-center power crunch trims Anthropic to 92.85% on Polymarket
A new analysis of government and industry data projects U.S. data-center electricity demand could jump from 167 TWh in 2023 to about 376 TWh by 2030 as grid limits bite.
June 21 AI “ghost names” debate leaves Polymarket at 84% for Anthropic
On June 21, a commentary explained why generative AI keeps reusing fictional names like “Elena Vasquez,” linking it to probability-driven text generation and a feedback loop that can worsen “AI
Micro AGI’s in-home robot data push as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 95%
In New York City, Micro AGI is sending free cleaning crews and even a private chef into apartments while recording workers’ hands and object use to train household robots.
Trump eases Anthropic security fears as Polymarket odds slip to 94.7%
In a Friday interview, President Donald Trump said he no longer views Anthropic as a national security threat after a dispute over foreign access to its top AI models.
Japan banks warn AI cyber risk as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 96%
At a press briefing, Masahiko Kato of the Japan Bankers Association said banks may suspend ATMs or online banking if AI-driven cyberattacks worsen, citing frontier models that quickly find
Trump officials meet Anthropic as Polymarket puts it at 91% to lead AI
On Monday, Anthropic staff met senior Trump administration officials after a Friday export restriction forced it to pull its newest model for non-U.S. users.
Judge tosses xAI suit vs OpenAI as Polymarket puts Anthropic at 91.55%
On Monday in San Francisco, U.S. District Judge Rita Lin dismissed xAI’s trade-secrets lawsuit against OpenAI with prejudice, saying the claims didn’t show induced leaks tied to Grok.