ISRAEL & GAZA PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 50% in Israel PM race after security headlines
Israeli police said two suspects in Shuafat were arrested over an alleged plan to attack Jerusalem, alongside weapons finds in A-Ram and broader seizures in Beit Hanina.
Polymarket odds put Eizenkot at 51% for Israel PM ahead of Likud vote
Likud members are set to vote Monday from 11:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. on Benjamin Netanyahu’s proposal to hold party primaries, after repeated delays.
Polymarket odds swing to Eizenkot at 51% in Israel PM market on $28.9M
New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani said the city cannot execute an ICC arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu, even as he urged federal action ahead of the U.N. General Assembly in September.
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks off
As Israel’s election campaign began, President Isaac Herzog urged candidates to avoid incitement, warning “elections are not a civil war” and cautioning against sharing misinformation online.
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 49.65% to be Israel’s next PM after election
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers is set to endorse Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley in the state’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, weeks after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quit amid a finance scandal.
Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 49% after Likud vote injunction
A district court injunction halted a planned Likud convention vote over disputed primary rules, prompting party officials to cancel the session.
Polymarket odds swing to Eizenkot at 49.5% as US–Israel logistics news hits
A report says the US told Israel it will send dozens more aerial refueling planes as it weighs strike options against Iran, with disputes over Ben-Gurion Airport crowding.
Polymarket: Eizenkot jumps to 49.5% in Israel PM market on $27.6M volume
A report detailed a clash between Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas over a party-funding increase bill and whether it was being tied to a Knesset dissolution date.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM race
During a Senate confirmation hearing, Trump’s intelligence nominee Jay Clayton declined to say Trump lost in 2020, saying Biden was “certified” and “I am not an election denier.” Polymarket traders
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9M
A report said United Torah Judaism chair Moshe Gafni threatened to vote against a bill weakening the attorney general after ultra-Orthodox kindergarten funding was pulled from the agenda.
Polymarket holds 9% odds on Israel genocide guilty ruling by 2027
Israeli drone attacks and gunfire in Gaza reportedly killed at least five people, including a nine-year-old girl, even as ceasefire talks continue.
Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 40% in tight Israel PM race after US-Lebanon talks
US and Lebanese military delegations met in Beirut to discuss a US-brokered framework’s first phase for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, with more talks expected in Rome next week.
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot 39.4% leads Netanyahu in Israel PM race
Sen. Lindsey Graham reportedly died at 71 after a brief illness, his office said, as South Carolina weighs steps to appoint a temporary replacement.
Netanyahu warns on Turkey F-35s as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40%
In a CNN interview, Benjamin Netanyahu said he warned Donald Trump that a U.S. sale of F-35 jets to Turkey could upset the Middle East balance of power.
IDF account disputed in Lebanon clash as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40%
Reserve troops from the 679th Yiftah Brigade say the IDF misdescribed Tuesday’s Bint Jbeil clash, including when an Oketz dog was killed and when evacuations occurred.