UKRAINE & RUSSIA PREDICTION MARKETS
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 18.5% as ladder prices tilt later
A fact-check report reviewed a primetime speech in which President Donald Trump repeated unverified 2020 election claims, saying official assessments found no vote totals were technically altered.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18.5%
At 9 p.m. ET, President Donald Trump is expected to deliver a primetime address on elections and voting machines, as some networks reportedly skip live airing.
Polymarket puts Putin-out-by-2027 at 17% after Arizona election settlement
Maricopa County election officials agreed to a joint oversight framework after mediation, setting an interim plan for the July 21 primary as early voting began in late June.
Polymarket odds for Putin exit by June 2027 jump to 18% on $17.5M volume
A Mexico updates feed this week featured South Texas flood warnings, ICE-custody death probes, and 2026 World Cup ticket and fan-event items, with no mention of Russian leadership.
Polymarket prices 18% odds Putin is out by June 2027 on $17M volume
In a recent report, President Donald Trump said Congress could soon approve a new Russia sanctions bill and was asked if he might sign it within a week or two.
Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19.5% after Iran escalation
The US carried out a third straight night of strikes in Iran, as Donald Trump warned Tehran it would be “hit hard” and a naval blockade was reinstated.
Polymarket lifts Putin exit-by-2027 odds to 20% amid Russia fuel shortages
Across Russia, drivers are facing hours-long and even multi-day gas lines as shortages worsen, with some stations closing after reported drone strikes hit refineries as far as Omsk on July 6.
Polymarket odds: Putin out by June 2027 rises to 18% amid Ukraine war escalation
Russian missiles and drones struck Kyiv and Odesa this week, with Ukraine reporting injuries and deaths, as Zelenskyy pressed NATO on commitments amid dwindling munitions.
Polymarket odds: United Russia slips to 53.5% as Ukraine strikes reported
Ukraine’s General Staff said it struck Russia’s Syzran oil refinery in Samara and hit Sea of Azov maritime targets, with fires reported and damage under assessment.
Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18%
A Russian missile strike destroyed a residential building in Kyiv as crews cleared debris after an overnight barrage that killed at least 22 people, with Ukraine saying 68 missiles and 351 drones
Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5%
On Monday, industry sources said Ukraine’s drone strike halted Gazprom Neft’s Omsk refinery after damaging key crude distillation units, with repairs underway and no injuries reported.
Drone strikes hit Chernihiv as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 19%
On July 6, Russian drones hit two enterprises in Ukraine’s Chernihiv region, igniting fires in Koriukivka district that responders later put out with no reported casualties.
Deadly Kyiv strikes lift Polymarket odds of Putin exit by 2026 to 9.5%
Early Monday, Russia launched waves of missiles and drones at Ukraine, killing at least 18 people as Kyiv took the brunt and officials reported 60 wounded.
Hungary ouster plan nudges Polymarket Putin-exit odds to 9.5%
A report says Hungary’s government is planning a constitutional change that would make it easier to initiate the president’s removal.
Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%
A Ukrainska Pravda investigation said ex-commander Valerii Zaluzhny told President Volodymyr Zelensky he would run if an autumn election were held, though details were unverified and wartime voting
