HBAR Price Retreats to $0.25 Despite Strong July Rally and Technical Breakout Signals
Tony Kim Jul 24, 2025 19:26
HBAR trades at $0.25 after July's 100%+ surge, with technical indicators showing bullish momentum despite recent 3.9% pullback from resistance levels.
Quick Take
• HBAR currently trading at $0.25 (-1.42% in 24h) • Hedera's RSI remains in neutral zone at 61.00 following recent overbought conditions • Mainnet upgrade to version 0.63 completed with performance improvements
What's Driving Hedera Price Today?
Despite completing a successful mainnet upgrade to version 0.63 yesterday, HBAR price continues to face selling pressure following its recent parabolic move. The upgrade introduced internal performance improvements without altering HBAR's core functionality, fees, or staking mechanisms, resulting in a neutral market reaction.
The current pullback stems from profit-taking activity after HBAR's extraordinary July performance. The token surged over 100% this month, climbing from approximately $0.15 to peaks around $0.28-$0.29 before encountering resistance. Yesterday's 3.9% decline to $0.27 marked the beginning of what analysts anticipated as natural consolidation following such dramatic gains.
This retracement aligns with trader recommendations from July 19th suggesting profit-taking strategies after the 75% rally. The selling pressure intensified as HBAR price approached the $0.30 resistance level, where technical barriers have proven formidable.
HBAR Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge Despite Pullback
Hedera technical analysis reveals a complex but ultimately bullish picture. HBAR's RSI sits at 61.00, having cooled from overbought territory while maintaining neutral-to-bullish momentum. This positioning suggests the recent selling pressure may be temporary rather than a trend reversal.
The MACD indicator shows continued bullish momentum for Hedera, with the MACD line at 0.0258 above the signal line at 0.0249. The positive histogram reading of 0.0010 confirms buying pressure remains intact despite the surface-level price weakness.
Hedera's moving average structure supports the bullish thesis. The token trades above its 50-day SMA at $0.18 and 200-day SMA at $0.21, while the shorter-term 7-day SMA at $0.26 provides immediate overhead resistance. The EMA 12 at $0.25 aligns perfectly with current HBAR price levels, suggesting this could serve as a dynamic support zone.
Bollinger Bands positioning shows HBAR at 63.51% of the band width, indicating room for continued upward movement before reaching overbought extremes near the upper band at $0.31.
Hedera Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
Critical Hedera support levels emerge at $0.15 for immediate support, with stronger backing at $0.13. These levels represent significant accumulation zones from earlier in July's rally and align with previous resistance-turned-support patterns.
On the upside, HBAR resistance concentrates at $0.30, where both immediate and strong resistance converge. This level has repeatedly capped advances and represents the primary hurdle for continued bullish momentum. Breaking above $0.30 could trigger the next leg toward analyst targets of $0.42 and eventually the longer-term projection of $1.26.
The pivot point at $0.24 serves as a crucial battleground level. HBAR price action around this zone will likely determine short-term direction, with breaks below potentially triggering deeper retracements toward the $0.22 area where the 20-day SMA provides additional support.
Should You Buy HBAR Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
Based on Binance spot market data, different trading strategies emerge depending on risk tolerance and timeframe preferences.
Aggressive traders might consider the current HBAR price attractive, given the bullish technical setup and oversold bounce potential from the $0.25 support zone. Risk management requires stops below $0.22 to protect against deeper corrections, while initial targets focus on the $0.30 resistance retest.
Conservative investors should wait for either a successful break above $0.30 with volume confirmation or a deeper pullback toward the $0.20-$0.22 accumulation zone. This approach offers better risk-reward ratios while avoiding potential knife-catching scenarios.
The 24-hour trading volume of $119,412,837 on Binance spot suggests healthy liquidity for position entries and exits. However, the daily ATR of $0.02 indicates significant volatility that requires appropriate position sizing.
Long-term holders benefit from the overall strong bullish trend designation and analyst projections extending to $3.33 in macro scenarios. The recent mainnet upgrade adds fundamental strength to the technical picture.
Conclusion
HBAR price faces a critical juncture at $0.25 as bulls and bears battle for control following July's spectacular rally. While short-term weakness persists, the underlying technical structure remains bullish with key support holding and momentum indicators showing resilience. Traders should monitor the $0.24 pivot level closely over the next 24-48 hours, as breaks in either direction could establish the near-term trend. The HBAR/USDT pair offers compelling risk-reward opportunities for those who time entries around these critical technical levels.
Image source: Shutterstock.jpg)
